Cycling betting tips: Tour de France stage seven predictions, preview and best bets

As we enter the seventh day of racing in the 2025 Tour de France, the peloton rolls out from Saint-Malo with a taxing day in store. Read on to find a detailed preview and the best bet recommendation, and don’t forget to take advantage of the selected betting offers listed below to maximise your betting value.

Cycling betting tips: Tour de France stage seven predictions

Can the Final Climb Shift the Momentum Once Again?

• Mathieu van der Poel last won on the Mur-de-Bretagne four years ago, and returns in the yellow jersey looking to repeat that feat.
• Thursday’s effort saw Van der Poel retake the overall lead, but he remained close enough to conserve energy late in the day.
• The final 2km of the climb average 6.9%, but the first kilometre’s 10% gradient suits Van der Poel’s high-power surges.

Our Best Bet

The 196.6km route winds its way towards Mûr-de-Bretagne Guerlédan in Brittany, where the stage will be decided on a punishing uphill finish that is set to test both form and resolve. Gone are the punchy Norman roads of previous days, replaced by the long, rolling terrain of western France and a finale built for climbers with an explosive edge.

Today’s route marks a return to a familiar battlefield, one that has delivered drama in past editions and promises another fierce duel among the overall contenders. The final 20 kilometres feature two ascents of the Côte de Mûr-de-Bretagne — a climb that begins aggressively with a harsh gradient before gradually easing off. It’s a configuration that rewards not just power, but racecraft, especially with teams expected to save energy early and deliver their leaders perfectly into the base of the final climb.

Coverage begins at 11.25am on both ITV4 and TNT Sports, and after Ben Healy’s spectacular solo win in Vire Normandie on Thursday — which landed our readers a winning tip at an outstanding 28/1 — the momentum is high. Today, a very different stage awaits, but the stakes are equally significant, with the yellow jersey hanging in the balance and the terrain built to stir up the general classification once again.

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Best Bet For Stage 7: Mathieu van der Poel To Win Stage Seven

At BettingTips4You, we take a different approach to tipping. Rather than flood you with multiple selections, we focus on one standout tip per event — quality over quantity. This not only keeps things straightforward for our readers but also allows us to track and assess our results with clarity and integrity. After landing yesterday’s 28/1 tip on Ben Healy, we turn our attention to Stage 7 with confidence.

Why Mathieu van der Poel Is Our Pick for Stage 7

Van der Poel may have spent significant energy on Thursday in a bold attempt to manage the breakaway, but that effort also hints at his deep form and determination. The Dutchman reclaimed the yellow jersey by a single second and now returns to a climb that carries personal resonance: the Mur-de-Bretagne, where he secured his maiden Tour stage win four years ago and honoured his family legacy in the sport.

The terrain on Friday plays perfectly into Van der Poel’s hands. The double ascent of the Mur is steep and decisive at the start but becomes more manageable towards the summit. That combination mirrors the type of finish in which he excels — tough enough to reduce the field, yet not so mountainous as to neutralise his powerful surge. His ability to pace the effort over varying gradients gives him a strategic edge, particularly with a fast run-in that will favour strong positioning and late acceleration.

While Tadej Pogacar remains a formidable rival and the stage may well see him launch attacks, the effort he will need to gain meaningful time could work against him in a tactical finish. If this becomes a battle of explosive bursts in the final few hundred metres, Van der Poel, despite his exertions, remains uniquely positioned to deliver.

Alpecin’s squad are expected to manage the pace of the stage more tightly than on Thursday, particularly with the yellow jersey to defend. If they can marshal the race and keep things compact into the base of the final climb, Van der Poel will be the one to beat. He’s already demonstrated his capability this week, and with the memory of his 2021 triumph on this very slope still fresh, the motivation to repeat history will only sharpen his ambition.

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