Cycling betting tips: Tour de France stage four predictions, preview and best bets

The Tour de France rolls into its fourth day with tension, fatigue, and ambition riding together in the peloton. Read on to find a detailed preview and the best bet recommendation, and don’t forget to take advantage of the selected betting offers listed below to maximise your betting value.

Cycling betting tips: Tour de France stage four predictions

Will Normandy’s Climbs Spark Stage Four Fireworks at the Tour de France?

• Five categorised climbs are squeezed into the final 40km, priming the stage for puncheurs like Pogačar to make decisive moves.
• The Rampe Saint-Hilaire hits a brutal average gradient above 10%, peaking at 12%, with only 5km to the finish—an ideal launchpad for explosive climbers.
• Tadej Pogačar was the quickest GC rider on stage two’s similar terrain, confirming his readiness for punchy finales.

Our Best Bet

As the route shifts from the northern coastal breezes to the rolling terrain of Normandy, today’s action promises far more attrition than the relatively flat run-in of yesterday. Starting in the historical city of Amiens and ending in Rouen—birthplace of Jacques Anquetil—stage four brings a change in rhythm and geography. Riders will no longer battle purely for position in the wind but must also contend with relentless gradients in the final 40 kilometres, where five categorised climbs lie in wait.

This 174km trek, with over 2,000 metres of elevation, will test legs and tactical nous alike. Unlike the early stages that offered some respite for pure sprinters, today’s profile leans heavily towards puncheurs—those specialists who thrive on short, steep ramps and fast-finishing undulations. With strong winds always a threat across the exposed Picardy plains, any team willing to take a risk could force echelons, turning the calm countryside into a battleground.

The significance of this stage goes beyond geography. The exit of Jasper Philipsen following a collarbone injury on Monday has reshuffled team strategies, notably for Alpecin-Deceuninck, who now rally entirely around Mathieu van der Poel. Meanwhile, yellow jersey hopefuls may not risk all today, keeping one eye on Wednesday’s decisive time trial. Nonetheless, with a finale as sharp as the Rampe Saint-Hilaire and a punchy drag to the line, we are unlikely to see a quiet procession into Rouen.

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Best Bet for Stage Four: Tadej Pogačar to Win

At BettingTips4You, we only highlight one clear recommendation per event. We believe in focusing on precision rather than overload, and this strategy also allows for proper accountability. Our standout choice for today’s contest is Tadej Pogačar to win stage four of the 2025 Tour de France.

With the parcours sharply favouring puncheurs, and the Rampe Saint-Hilaire looming in the final kilometres, Pogačar emerges as the ideal candidate to take the spoils. He has already shown intent and sharpness on stage two, finishing as the fastest among general classification contenders on terrain not dissimilar to today’s. The final 40km—with its concentrated climbs—will create a natural selection process, and Pogačar’s explosive climbing ability on double-digit gradients sets him apart.

While others may hold back slightly with an eye on the looming time trial, the Slovenian thrives on seizing such transitional opportunities. His UAE Team Emirates-XRG squad are stacked with climbing talent, giving him not only the legs but the tactical structure to attack or control as needed. Riders like João Almeida and Tim Wellens have already demonstrated solid form, ensuring Pogačar will not be isolated when the action unfolds. With the terrain not suited to traditional sprinters and the finish coming after a series of lung-bursting efforts, it feels tailor-made for his blend of aggression and finesse.

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