Cycling betting tips: Tour de France stage 20 predictions, preview and best bets

As the curtain draws near on this year’s Tour de France, Saturday’s action promises a gripping prelude to the Champs-Elysées. With just one mountain-heavy day remaining before the final parade into Paris, Stage 20 from Nantua to Pontarlier stands as a critical moment for those hoping to snatch a final flourish of glory.. Read on to find a detailed preview and the best bet recommendation, and don’t forget to take advantage of the selected betting offers listed below to maximise your betting value.

Cycling betting tips: Tour de France stage 20 predictions

What Might Unfold in Pontarlier’s Punchy Finale?

• Campenaerts came close to a win in Carcassonne, showing clear late-Tour form.
• Saturday’s stage includes four categorised climbs and nearly 3,000m of elevation gain—perfect for puncheurs.
• With Pogacar’s 4’24” lead all but unassailable, breakaway riders will likely shape the stage result.

Our Best Bet

Covering 184.2 kilometres and skirting the Jura foothills near the Swiss frontier, the route might not reach Alpine heights, but its sharp gradients and incessant undulations are primed to test whatever reserves remain in tired legs.

The day kicks off in Nantua, a lakeside town famed for its gastronomic delights, particularly its creamy crayfish sauce—a small cultural note amidst the brutality to come. From there, riders ascend through Franche-Comté’s lush, cheese-producing valleys, heading northwards across lumpy terrain that delivers an elevation gain just shy of 3,000 metres. Though absent of super-category climbs, the parcours is far from gentle. Early in the stage, the Col de la Croix de la Serra (12.1km at 4.1%) and Côte de Valfin (5.7km at 4.2%) will begin to split the peloton, offering an early platform for attacks.

Pontarlier, the stage finish, holds its own curious place in Tour lore, having hosted one of the most bizarre episodes in recent memory. Though unlikely to see a repeat of 2001’s half-hour breakaway margin, the ingredients are in place for a chaotic day—teams without stage wins, riders eager to salvage pride, and a course that rewards ambition. The yellow jersey battle seems all but settled, with Tadej Pogacar maintaining a comfortable lead, meaning the favourites for the day are more likely to come from those hunting the breakaway.

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Best Bet for Stage 20: Victor Campenaerts to Win

At BettingTips4You, we avoid overwhelming our readers with numerous selections. Instead, we focus on quality over quantity, offering one standout prediction per event. This approach makes following our advice simple and transparent, allowing for clear accountability in tracking our success. For Stage 20, our top selection is Victor Campenaerts to take the win.

Why Victor Campenaerts is the Man to Follow

The penultimate stage has been engineered for chaos, a profile tailored to versatile attackers with sharp instincts and staying power. Campenaerts, having shown exceptional climbing form in support of his team leader Jonas Vingegaard, now finds himself in a position to pursue his own ambitions. With the general classification battle largely neutralised—Pogacar holds a commanding 4’24” buffer—teams like Visma-Lease a Bike have the liberty to send riders up the road. Campenaerts, having been instrumental in the mountains, deserves the chance to chase individual success.

The route itself is a perfect match for the Belgian’s characteristics. He thrives in rolling terrain, excels in sustained power efforts, and has the racing nous to time his attack when the breakaway splinters late in the day. The four categorised climbs on this stage aren’t severe enough to drop him, but they’re tough enough to shake off purer sprinters and light climbers who might otherwise contest a flat finale. In addition, with the Côte de Thesy—the sharpest climb—coming in the latter portion of the stage, Campenaerts’ engine could be the decisive factor as others begin to fade.

There is also a tactical dimension to consider. Campenaerts has been part of key moves throughout the race and will know how to position himself for a winning attack. Having narrowly missed out in Carcassonne due to a late surge by Tim Wellens and Julian Alaphilippe, he will be extra motivated to convert strong form into tangible reward. Given that some of the main breakaway threats have either withdrawn or are riding conservatively to preserve their GC positions, the door opens even wider for a savvy operator like Campenaerts.

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