As Friday unfolds, the Tour de France enters a pivotal chapter with Stage 13 bringing a singular challenge that promises to shake up the general classification. Read on to find a detailed preview and the best bet recommendation, and don’t forget to take advantage of the selected betting offers listed below to maximise your betting value.
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Cycling betting tips: Tour de France stage 13 predictions
Will the Slopes of Peyragudes Reshape the Tour de France?
- Florian Lipowitz has been one of the strongest riders on mountain finishes behind Pogacar and Vingegaard, signalling readiness for a breakthrough.
- The final kilometre of today’s climb averages a staggering 13%, with ramps touching 20%—a pure climber’s dream and a punishing test for others.
- Remco Evenepoel, despite time trial success earlier, was dropped on both of Stage 12’s climbs, underlining his limitations on this type of terrain.
Our Best Bet
Florian Lipowitz to Win Stage 13 | |
20/1 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Lipowitz has been consistently strong in the mountains and today’s pure uphill time trial plays to his strengths. With Remco Evenepoel struggling on similar climbs and Pogacar unlikely to go full gas, Lipowitz offers outstanding value to seize his chance and claim a memorable win on the Peyragudes summit. |
With nine stages still ahead, today’s menu offers a solitary but significant test that could widen the margins among the podium contenders. The riders will face an uphill time trial, covering a total of 10.9km from Loudenvielle to the Peyragudes ski station—a route designed not for the faint-hearted but for those whose climbing legs are still fresh after nearly two weeks of relentless racing.
This is no ordinary race against the clock. Instead of the flat or rolling terrain typically suited to specialists in aerodynamics and pacing, today’s course tilts upward almost from the gun. A brief 3km flat opening will quickly give way to an unrelenting 8km climb averaging close to 8%, capped off by a brutally steep final kilometre that ramps up to an average gradient of 13%—with segments peaking at 20%. It’s the kind of finale that doesn’t just test fitness but mental resolve, turning a technical discipline into a raw contest of strength.
With the start set for 12:10pm and broadcast live on TNT Sports and ITV4, cycling fans are in for a compelling afternoon. The mountain setting is not only visually arresting—familiar to James Bond fans from Tomorrow Never Dies—but also strategically vital. Tadej Pogacar continues to hold a commanding lead after a dominant display on the Hautacam during Stage 12, pulling over three minutes clear of his closest rival Jonas Vingegaard. While Pogacar’s overall lead appears unassailable, there is still fierce competition for podium places and stage honours, and today’s ascent could have dramatic consequences for several hopefuls.
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Best Bet for Stage 13: Florian Lipowitz to Win
At BettingTips4You, we adopt a quality-first approach when it comes to our selections. Rather than overwhelming readers with a myriad of possibilities, we identify a single, standout pick that offers the best value and highest chance of success. For today’s thrilling mountain time trial, our top recommendation is Florian Lipowitz to win Stage 13.
This focused strategy makes betting more straightforward and reliable. By offering one carefully considered prediction per event, we provide clarity for punters and maintain transparency when assessing our long-term performance. And with Stage 13 offering a specialist challenge—short, steep, and merciless—the opportunity is ripe for a climber with power, form, and intent.
Why Lipowitz is Worth Backing for Victory on the Peyragudes Climb
Florian Lipowitz has steadily emerged as a serious force in this year’s Tour, and all signs suggest he is primed to make his mark in this uniquely grueling test. The German talent has already displayed significant strength on the first mountain summit finish, firmly placing himself in contention behind the elite duo of Pogacar and Vingegaard. What distinguishes Lipowitz, however, is his aptitude for short, punishing climbs—precisely the type of challenge presented by today’s course.
While general classification heavyweights like Remco Evenepoel and Primož Roglič are likely to adopt a cautious approach to safeguard their positions, Lipowitz has less to lose and more to gain. He remains within striking distance of the podium and has shown he can match the tempo of the top contenders on mountainous terrain. Evenepoel, despite winning Stage 5’s time trial, has shown vulnerability on steep gradients and was dropped decisively on Stage 12. A similar scenario could unfold here, giving Lipowitz a clear edge.
Pacing will be crucial, especially given the 13% average gradient on the final kilometre. Lipowitz’s climbing rhythm, combined with his ability to accelerate on sustained slopes, makes him an ideal candidate to thrive. With the ascent to Peyragudes offering little room for tactical slip-ups, the winner will almost certainly be the rider with the purest climbing legs—and Lipowitz fits that profile.
Unlike Pogacar, who may not need to go all-out given his comfortable lead, Lipowitz will be targeting this stage outright. His team, Red Bull-Bora-Hansgrohe, have been building towards this kind of opportunity, and the course layout gives their young climber the best possible shot at a breakthrough stage win. If ever there was a time for Lipowitz to rise to the occasion, this is it.
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