Cycling betting tips: Tour de France outright predictions, preview and best bets

As the peloton gathers in Lille for the Grand Départ of the 2025 Tour de France, anticipation is reaching fever pitch for what promises to be an enthralling three weeks of racing. Read on to find a detailed preview and the best bet recommendation for this clash, and don’t forget to take advantage of the selected betting offers listed below to maximise your betting value.

Cycling betting tips: Tour de France outright predictions

Can Anyone Disrupt the Yellow Jersey Hierarchy This Year?

• Vingegaard finished second overall at the Dauphiné, just 59 seconds behind Pogacar, indicating near parity in current form
• The Dane placed second in five of the eight stages at the Dauphiné, showcasing remarkable consistency
• He is the only rider in this year’s field to have previously beaten Pogacar at the Tour – and has done so twice, in 2022 and 2023

Our Best Bet

Now in its 112th edition, the Tour remains the sport’s most prestigious prize, and this year’s parcours offers a bit of everything – from punchy finishes in Brittany to brutal Alpine climbs and a return to the feared slopes of Mont Ventoux.

The course design is set to test even the most well-rounded contenders. Early climbing stages like the Mur-de-Bretagne may provoke some fireworks, but the true GC battle should come into full view during a punishing second week through the Pyrenees. From stage 12’s finish at Hautacam to the iconic Mont Ventoux summit on stage 16, there will be little room for hiding. And with stage 18’s return to the Col de la Loze, a mountain where rivalries have reached boiling point in recent years, the final showdown is likely to be shaped by both form and fortitude.

There’s no shortage of talent on display either. With previous champions and breakout youngsters all lining up, the narrative surrounding this year’s Tour is dominated by the showdown between Tadej Pogačar and Jonas Vingegaard, two men who’ve finished one-two in the last three editions. Meanwhile, up-and-comers like Florian Lipowitz are eyeing opportunities to make their mark, particularly in classifications like the white jersey, where battles may be just as fierce.

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Best Bet: Jonas Vingegaard to Win the 2025 Tour de France

At BettingTips4You, we focus on delivering a single, carefully selected prediction per event – quality over quantity is the cornerstone of our strategy. This helps keep the decision-making simple for our readers while also making our long-term performance easier to track. For this year’s Tour, our top tip is Jonas Vingegaard to win the General Classification.

Why Jonas Vingegaard is Worth Backing

Jonas Vingegaard might not enter this Tour as the odds-on favourite, but his credentials are beyond question. Despite being edged out by Pogačar at the Criterium du Dauphiné, where he finished second overall and lost 59 seconds across eight stages, there are compelling reasons to believe he is the one to back in July.

For starters, his preparation this season has been noticeably smoother than the previous year. Unlike 2024, when a crash at the Tour of the Basque Country severely disrupted his build-up, this year he has followed a more measured path, opting to race sparingly – just three events prior to the Tour – which has helped preserve his freshness for the mountains ahead. This restraint in the early part of the calendar aligns perfectly with Vingegaard’s known ability to hit peak condition right when it matters most.

Although Pogacar appears near-invincible, there’s no escaping the fact that Vingegaard is the only man who’s managed to beat him in a Grand Tour – not once, but twice. His triumphs in 2022 and 2023 weren’t merely opportunistic; they were built on calculated, sustained efforts across multiple mountain stages, often exploiting his rival’s vulnerabilities. The 2023 edition remains a clear example: Vingegaard’s devastating ride on the Col de la Loze all but shattered Pogacar’s challenge.

That same climb features again this year on stage 18, and its timing – deep into the race and amidst a sequence of punishing mountain stages – offers Vingegaard a tactical edge. The cumulative strain over stages 10 through 19 is likely to suit his methodical approach and elite climbing ability. His consistency in the Dauphiné, finishing runner-up in five of the eight stages, further underlines his readiness to compete at the very top once more.

And while Pogacar has had a prolific year, winning the Giro and World Championships, the Tour is a different beast – and historically, the double attempt has proven incredibly difficult. Vingegaard, on the other hand, comes to France with no other major races in his legs and a highly capable Visma-Lease a Bike team built around him.

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