Cycling betting tips: Tour de France King of The Mountain Winner outright predictions, preview and best bets

The Tour de France has reached its most punishing phase, with the final week promising a relentless barrage of climbs that could decide the fate of every classification. Read on to find a detailed preview and the best bet recommendation for this clash, and don’t forget to take advantage of the selected betting offers listed below to maximise your betting value.

Cycling betting tips: Tour de France King of The Mountain Winner outright predictions

Can Anyone Challenge the Alpine Climb Masters This Week?

• Arensman won stage 14 after a solo breakaway in the Pyrenees, finishing ahead of Pogacar and Vingegaard.
• The final three summit finishes each offer 80 mountain points – the highest of the race – and suit Arensman’s climbing style.
• Pogacar has advanced 67 points in the green jersey race over the past week, indicating his energy is divided across classifications.

Our Best Bet

Our Tour De France Tips

After the peloton wound its way into Carcassonne at the end of stage 15, a rest day provides momentary relief before hostilities resume on the unforgiving slopes of the Alps.

As the race heads into its final seven days, a trio of decisive mountain-top finishes – on stages 16, 18 and 19 – looms large. These stages will not only test the mettle of the general classification contenders, but also play a crucial role in shaping the destiny of the polka dot jersey.

Tadej Pogacar, who has worn the yellow jersey with unwavering authority, now sets his sights on an audacious triple – with both the green and polka dot jerseys within touching distance. While he has surged 67 points closer to the green jersey in just seven days, his eight-point deficit to Lenny Martinez for the King of the Mountains classification looks even more vulnerable as the high-altitude tests intensify.

But it’s not just about Pogacar. With the terrain increasingly suited to climbers who thrive in thin air and long, grinding ascents, others are poised to capitalise. Among them, a quiet but calculated Dutchman, Thymen Arensman, may be the one ready to disrupt expectations in the days ahead.

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Best Bet: Thymen Arensman to Win King of the Mountains

At BettingTips4You, we believe in the power of precision. Instead of offering a long list of speculative punts, we focus on one premium selection per event – the tip we judge to offer the best value and strongest reasoning. For the final week of the Tour de France, our top recommendation is for Thymen Arensman to win the King of the Mountains classification.

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Why This Bet Stands Out

Arensman’s triumph on stage 14 was no fluke; it was the product of tactical timing, physical resilience, and terrain-specific excellence. While Pogacar remains a formidable force in every classification, his ambitions are spread across multiple targets. Arensman, on the other hand, appears laser-focused on the climbs – and the route ahead plays directly into his hands.

The final week contains three summit finishes, with stages 16, 18 and 19 each offering 80 points to the first man over the final climb. This is precisely the type of profile where a rider like Arensman can shine. His stage 14 victory, achieved through a long-range solo attack, showcased his ability to not only get into the breakaway, but to finish it off on brutal gradients.

Lenny Martinez, the current polka dot jersey holder, sits just eight points ahead of Pogacar – a slender lead that is particularly vulnerable considering the mountain stages to come. However, Martinez is not guaranteed to feature prominently in those summit battles. Arensman, buoyed by confidence and now on the radar as a climbing threat, has proven that he can match and even surpass Pogacar when given the chance, as seen at Superbagnères.

Furthermore, his team, Ineos Grenadiers, have already committed resources to give Arensman freedom in the mountains, especially with Carlos Rodriguez having slipped down the GC. This creates space for the Dutchman to chase points without team responsibilities pulling him back – a strategic edge not to be underestimated.

While Pogacar eyes multiple jerseys, Arensman can zero in on one. His ability to time his efforts and read the race has already brought him glory in the Pyrenees. The Alps could be where he completes the job.

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