The final group match of the ICC Champions Trophy sees India take on New Zealand in Dubai, with both sides already assured of a place in the semi-finals. Read on to find a detailed preview and the best bet reccomandation for this clash, and don’t forget to take advantage of the selected betting offers listed below to maximise your betting value.
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Cricket betting tips: New Zealand v India in the ICC Champions Trophy 2025
Can New Zealand Upset India in Dubai’s Spin-Friendly Conditions?
- Dubai’s conditions favour bowlers – the highest first-innings total in this tournament so far has been just 241.
- India’s spinners in form – Ravindra Jadeja has maintained an economy rate of 4.11 in this competition, highlighting the difficulty batters face against slow bowling.
- Devon Conway’s importance – With Will Young dropped, Conway is expected to take on even greater responsibility at the top of the order.
Our Best Bet
Royal Challengers Bangalore To Win, Delhi Capitals Most Runs In 1st 6 Overs & Royal Challengers Bangalore Most Fours | |
4/1 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning RCB’s late-innings power hitters and improved bowling attack make them good value for the win, but Delhi’s aggressive opening pair should lead the six-over count. Expect Bengaluru’s superior stroke makers to dominate the boundary tally, especially if chasing. This triple-angle bet captures the likely flow of the match. | |
The final group match of the ICC Champions Trophy sees India take on New Zealand in Dubai, with both sides already assured of a place in the semi-finals. However, there is still plenty to play for, as the winner of this contest will top Group A and potentially secure a more favourable path in the knockout stage.
India have been dominant so far, overcoming Bangladesh and Pakistan with relative ease. Their squad depth has been a significant advantage, allowing them to rotate players without compromising performance. However, concerns linger over the fitness of key figures such as Rohit Sharma and Mohammad Shami. With the semi-finals looming, India may choose to rest them, bringing in Rishabh Pant and Arshdeep Singh as potential replacements.
New Zealand, meanwhile, have been just as impressive, dispatching Pakistan and Bangladesh with their typically disciplined approach. Their adaptability will be tested in Dubai’s slow conditions, but with a wealth of spin-bowling options at their disposal, they are well-equipped to challenge India. Daryl Mitchell’s return adds further balance to their batting lineup, although Will Young’s likely omission is a harsh call given his recent form.
The Dubai pitch has consistently assisted spinners, making run-scoring difficult. India have successfully chased in their two previous outings here, but not without challenges. A first-innings total in the range of 250-260 could prove sufficient once again, and with both teams possessing strong bowling attacks, this match is set to be a fascinating contest.
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Best Bet for Today: Devon Conway to Be New Zealand’s Top Run Scorer
Backing Devon Conway as New Zealand’s leading run-getter offers solid value, especially given the conditions and team selection dynamics.
Conway is expected to open the batting and will likely play a crucial role in navigating the sluggish Dubai surface. He is one of New Zealand’s most reliable batters, capable of building an innings methodically while also accelerating when required. His ability to handle spin will be particularly important, as India are expected to deploy multiple slow bowlers, including Ravindra Jadeja and Kuldeep Yadav, to exploit the conditions.
Additionally, New Zealand’s batting lineup has been slightly reshuffled, with Will Young making way for Daryl Mitchell. This means Conway will be tasked with anchoring the innings, further enhancing his chances of finishing as the top scorer. The surface in Dubai has already proven challenging for stroke-makers, so an opener with a solid technique and temperament is well-placed to score the bulk of the runs.
With New Zealand potentially facing a tricky adjustment to the sluggish pitch after playing on faster surfaces earlier in the tournament, Conway’s ability to adapt quickly will be vital. Given his experience in subcontinental conditions and his proven track record at the top of the order, he looks like a strong candidate to lead the run charts for his side.
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