Championship 2025/26 outright relegation predictions: Which side is heading for trouble this season?

As the curtain rises on the 2025/26 EFL Championship season, anticipation is high for what promises to be yet another fiercely competitive campaign across England’s second tier. With clubs boasting varying levels of ambition, resources and expectation, the Championship remains a division where margins are slim and every point matters. Read on to find our best bet for Championship 2025/26 outright winner market.

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Championship outright relegation betting tips

Can Oxford Defy the Odds or Is Trouble Brewing?
  • Oxford had the second-worst expected goals figure in the Championship last season.
  • The U’s managed just two wins on the road across the entire campaign.
  • No Oxford player scored more than six goals in 2024/25, and top creator Ruben Rodrigues has left.

Our Best Bet

Oxford United to be relegated
13/5 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Oxford United survived last season by a slim margin and enter this campaign with weaker attacking options following key departures. Their poor expected goals performance and dreadful away record are red flags. Despite some signings, the squad lacks depth and proven quality. At 5/2, relegation is a strong value pick.

From promotion hopefuls dreaming of Premier League lights to teams scrapping to avoid the plunge into League One, the storylines are compelling and ever-changing.

This season features returning clubs like Birmingham and Wrexham, looking to extend their upward momentum, alongside others like Southampton and Leicester, both seeking swift returns to the top flight after recent relegations. Yet, amid the excitement of fresh signings and new managerial philosophies, the relegation narrative often provides the most dramatic twists. A few poor results or an injury crisis can spell disaster, and history has shown us that survival is far from guaranteed, regardless of past pedigree.

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Oxford United, Charlton and Preston all find themselves among the clubs closely monitored in the relegation markets, with bookmakers sensing potential vulnerability. Despite moments of promise in recent months, these clubs will need to produce consistent performances from the outset to avoid being pulled into a prolonged survival battle. The stage is set – and the stakes couldn’t be higher.


Best Bet: Oxford United to Be Relegated

Here at BettingTips4You, we don’t believe in overwhelming our readers with a dozen conflicting tips. Instead, we offer one clear, thoroughly researched prediction for each event. It keeps things straightforward and allows us to maintain full accountability over the quality of our advice. For the 2025/26 EFL Championship season, our top relegation tip is for Oxford United to go down – currently available at 5/2.

There are several reasons why the U’s look vulnerable this time around. While they managed to survive last season, finishing 17th, the reality is that they were only four points clear of the relegation line – and even that required a favourable set of results in the final third of the campaign. Their expected goals data was the second-worst in the division, a concerning underlying metric that often predicts future decline if left unaddressed.

Although Oxford experienced a bounce when Gary Rowett was appointed midway through last season, his arrival merely papered over deeper issues. The club have seen Ruben Rodrigues, their most inventive attacking influence, depart for Vitoria in Portugal. No player in the squad managed more than six goals last season, highlighting an ongoing lack of firepower up front.

While new signings Brian De Keersmaecker and Brodie Spencer bring a degree of versatility and midfield depth, there’s little to suggest that these additions will significantly move the needle in what is now an even more competitive Championship. Last year, Oxford managed only two away victories. With a stronger field this time around, relying on their home form alone might no longer be enough.

The odds reflect the danger – Oxford are second favourites for the drop behind Sheffield Wednesday – and with such a narrow escape last season, the signs are ominous. They might find themselves lacking the quality and consistency required to sustain another survival push, especially with their attack appearing light and creative options having diminished.

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Steve Harrington
Steve Harrington is a sportswriter whose heart beats for football. With a passion that began in the grassroots, he's witnessed the magic of the game from local pitches to grand stadiums. Over the past 7 years, Steve has lent his expertise to several online publications, chronicling the ever-evolving world of football. Beyond his professional pursuits, he holds a special affection for Burnley Football Club, cherishing every triumph and tribulation. Steve believes in the power of storytelling and its ability to bring the beautiful game closer to its ardent fans.