As Portugal and Spain prepare to meet in Sunday night’s UEFA Nations League final at Munich’s Allianz Arena, punters are eyeing value in what promises to be a fiercely contested decider. The Iberian rivals are set for a high-octane clash, with both sides coming off dramatic semi-final victories. Spain edged France in a thrilling 5-4 win, while Portugal came from behind to beat hosts Germany 2-1.
With sparks expected to fly in Germany, we’ve crafted a Bet Builder tip designed for value and drama.
Here’s our Bet Builder pick for Portugal vs Spain, which has been placed with William Hill:
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⚽ Bet 1: Lamine Yamal To Score
The teenage sensation Lamine Yamal is enjoying a meteoric rise, and Sunday’s final presents another stage for him to shine. Still just 17, the Barcelona winger has become a pivotal part of Luis de la Fuente’s plans, and he continues to repay that faith with standout performances. His brace against France in the semi-final was not only decisive in getting Spain to the final but also underlined his clinical edge in big moments.
Yamal has now netted five times across his last five appearances for club and country, which includes three goals in his last three games for Spain in 2025 alone. He operates in an advanced role on the right, regularly drifting into central areas where his quick feet and direct running often expose defensive weaknesses. Portugal, although potent in attack, have looked vulnerable in recent matches, and their back line struggled at times to cope with German movement in the semi-final.
Given Spain’s aggressive approach – they’ve hit 14 goals in their last four outings – and Yamal’s electric form, backing the youngster to find the net again offers both logic and value. His confidence is sky-high, and with Portugal likely to press high, space in behind could be his to exploit.
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🟨 Bet 2: Nuno Mendes To Be Carded
Nuno Mendes, Portugal’s left-back, will almost certainly be one of the busiest men on the pitch on Sunday. He’s expected to go head-to-head with Nico Williams or Yamal – both of whom possess pace, flair, and a direct approach that invites fouls. Mendes is a powerful presence going forward, but his tendency to be aggressive in duels and occasionally mistimed in challenges makes him a regular candidate for cautions.
Spain’s wide threats have been instrumental in their attacking success, with their wingers drawing full-backs into one-on-one scenarios frequently. Mendes, who already showed signs of defensive strain against Germany, will be under immense pressure to keep his flank secure while also offering width for his own side. That dual responsibility heightens the risk of fouls, particularly when Spain break quickly.
This tactical setup all but guarantees that Mendes will be involved in multiple defensive actions – a situation ripe for disciplinary trouble. In a final where margins are thin and challenges often tighten, the odds favour the Paris Saint-Germain man going into the referee’s book.
Back Our Portugal vs Spain Ultimate Bet Builder Tip Here
Portugal vs Spain Ultimate Bet Builder Tip | |
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Reasoning Lamine Yamal is in blistering form and thrives in high-pressure games. With Portugal’s defence set for a stern test, bookings for Mendes and Inácio – both tasked with stopping pacey Spanish attackers – look likely. This Bet Builder offers value by combining goal threat with the discipline angles of a fiery final.
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🟨 Bet 3: Gonçalo Inácio To Be Booked
Centre-back Gonçalo Inácio will likely have his hands full against Spain’s multi-pronged attacking machine. With La Roja averaging over three goals per game across their last four, their movement off the ball and variety in attack have caused havoc for opposition defences. Inácio will be tested aerially, physically, and in terms of positioning, particularly by the fluidity of Spain’s front line.
Moreover, Spain are not afraid to draw defenders out of shape. Pedri’s ability to drift between the lines, along with the dynamic runs from the likes of Oyarzabal and Williams, puts constant mental and physical strain on centre-halves. This increases the likelihood of late tackles or tactical fouls when Spain transition quickly.
Inácio will also be charged with keeping Ronaldo’s back covered when Portugal push forward, which means he could easily find himself in recovery runs against Spanish counters. These are the moments where yellow cards are most often dished out. In a game of this magnitude and pace, Inácio being shown a card looks more likely than not.
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