The Club World Cup serves up a fiery all-Brazilian last-16 battle this weekend as Palmeiras and Botafogo meet in Philadelphia. Both clubs bring pedigree, recent history, and a growing rivalry into this high-stakes showdown. The São Paulo side edged their group after a last-gasp fightback against Inter Miami, while the Rio outfit qualified in style—defeating Paris Saint-Germain and showing resilience against Atletico Madrid.
With the margins expected to be razor-thin, we’ve constructed a Bet Builder combining player prop markets that offer both value and insight based on recent performance trends and tactical setups.
Here’s our Bet Builder pick for Palmeiras vs Botafogo, which has been placed with William Hill:
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🟢 Vitor Roque to Have Over 3 Shots on Target
Few young strikers in South America are attracting as much attention as Vitor Roque. Though yet to completely cement himself as Palmeiras’ undisputed starter, his impact in limited minutes has been notable, especially when Ferreira’s side look to go direct in the final third. In this tournament, Roque has consistently looked to get into high-value shooting areas, often working off the shoulder of the last defender.
Against Botafogo, Palmeiras will need cutting edge—and Roque offers just that. The 19-year-old thrives on service from the likes of Estevão and Veiga, both of whom operate in advanced creative zones. With Botafogo likely to defend with a high line and use wing-backs, there should be space in behind for Roque to exploit with his pace and positioning.
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It’s also worth noting that Botafogo allowed four shots on target to PSG’s front line in their group-stage encounter. If Palmeiras create similar openings—and history suggests they might, having racked up six shots on target in their most recent match against Inter Miami—then Roque will be central to testing John in goal.
Given Palmeiras’ struggles breaking down organised sides without direct focal points, Roque’s ability to shoot quickly under pressure will be critical. He has a shoot-on-sight mentality and tends to average over three efforts per 90 minutes in domestic and continental action. With qualification on the line and no room for caution, expect Roque to be unleashed early, making this a strong angle for player-based value.
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Reasoning Roque’s positioning and Palmeiras’ need for a direct goal threat make him a prime candidate to hit the target multiple times. Giay, meanwhile, faces a flurry of wide attacks, with Palmeiras relying heavily on their flanks. His tackling volume in similar matches suggests he’ll again rack up defensive contributions. | |
🔴 Agustin Giay to Make Over 4 Tackles
In high-intensity games like this, where midfield control often dictates the tempo, defensive metrics can provide excellent betting opportunities. Agustin Giay, known for his tireless energy and combative style, stands out in this market. The Argentine right-back or wing-back—depending on Botafogo’s formation—has been one of the most involved players defensively throughout the tournament.
He recorded five tackles against PSG, a side known for fluid movement and overlapping wide runs, and repeated similar output versus Seattle. His positioning allows him to step into midfield zones and aggressively press opponents. Palmeiras’ flanks are particularly active, with Piquerez and Estevão combining on the left, a dynamic that will keep Giay engaged in 1v1 duels throughout the match.
Considering Palmeiras generated 10 shot attempts in the final 20 minutes against Inter Miami, largely from wide channels, Giay will be busy tracking back and covering overlaps. He’s not just a reactive tackler; he actively seeks to disrupt play early and often, averaging just under five tackles per game in recent domestic matches.
What strengthens this tip further is Botafogo’s system: they often leave Giay isolated in defensive transitions, relying on him to slow down counters and force turnovers. This creates volume opportunities for tackles—particularly when facing technical players who invite contact. Given the attacking weight Palmeiras carry on the left, Giay exceeding four tackles is both statistically sound and situationally likely.
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