Arsenal’s 2-2 draw with Liverpool keeps the title race close. They visit Newcastle on Saturday, and in addition to our Newcastle vs Arsenal predictions article our experts have also crafted a huge bet builder tip, which you will find below.
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Bukayo Saka to Score
Bukayo Saka has been instrumental to Arsenal’s attacking flow this season. His impact is felt on both ends of the creative spectrum; he has either scored or assisted in almost every league game he’s featured in, marking him as a vital cog in Arsenal’s forward push. Saka’s positioning on the right flank often allows him to exploit gaps left by opponents, and against Newcastle, he’ll likely find similar opportunities.
Arsenal’s approach often sees them creating around 3.4 major scoring opportunities per match, and Saka is frequently at the heart of these plays. With a strong likelihood of set-piece involvement, Saka adds yet another layer of goal threat, especially when Newcastle’s defensive lines are stretched or missing key players. The Magpies, facing potential gaps in their defence due to injuries, may struggle to keep Saka in check. His knack for breaking down compact defensive units should give Arsenal hope for finding the net, making Saka a reliable pick to get on the scoresheet.
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Reasoning This Bet Builder leverages Saka’s scoring form, Newcastle's solid home advantage, and likely bookings for physical midfielders Joelinton and Havertz, combining goal threat, resilience, and expected discipline issues in a competitive clash. | |
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Newcastle or Draw (Double Chance)
Given Newcastle’s formidable home form, backing them to either win or draw offers solid value. Despite a mixed run of results, Newcastle have consistently shown resilience on their own turf. They typically dominate possession at home, maintaining around 57% of the ball and averaging 13 shots per game, highlighting their aggressive intent, even against top sides like Arsenal.
Arsenal, while strong in attack, have shown defensive frailties, particularly when playing away. This season, they’ve conceded over one goal per game on average when on the road and have shown susceptibility to teams that press them high and exploit their defensive transitions. Newcastle’s forward line, likely led by the prolific Alexander Isak, who recently scored in the EFL Cup, will aim to capitalise on any momentary lapses from Arsenal. With creative players like Anthony Gordon making an impact since returning from injury, Newcastle’s attacking prospects look bright, especially if Arsenal’s defensive lineup is disrupted by injuries to players like Gabriel. Newcastle’s pressing style, coupled with Arsenal’s tendency to yield under intense pressure, suggests that the Magpies could gain a result.
Joelinton to be Carded
Joelinton’s aggressive style and physical presence in midfield often put him in the referee’s book. The Brazilian has already received four bookings this season and is one caution away from a suspension. Over the past few games, he’s managed to avoid another card, despite committing multiple fouls—seven in total—showing his risk of crossing the line is high.
Against Arsenal, a team known for quick transitions, Joelinton is likely to be heavily involved in disrupting play, which may lead him to accumulate fouls. His history with caution, particularly in intense encounters on home soil, adds weight to this selection. Given that he was cautioned in previous encounters with top teams like Manchester City and Tottenham, Joelinton’s aggressive approach will probably be tested once again, making it likely he could end up in the book.
Kai Havertz to be Carded
Kai Havertz’s fouling record for Arsenal this season has been notable. Despite committing fouls in every one of his league starts, he has managed to avoid a booking thus far. However, Havertz’s increased rate of fouls per game—from 1.8 last season to 2.3 in the current one—indicates a greater likelihood of picking up a card sooner rather than later. His disciplinary record includes 14 cautions last season, 11 of which came in the Premier League, suggesting that he remains a prime candidate for a yellow card.
Arsenal’s midfield will face significant pressure from Newcastle’s high-intensity style, meaning Havertz’s fouls could tip into caution territory. Considering he received a yellow at St James’ Park last season, there’s historical precedence for him struggling to stay out of the referee’s book in this environment. With Newcastle’s relentless pressing likely to test his patience and timing, a booking seems probable for Havertz.
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