Bet Builder Tip For Mirassol vs Fluminense

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We have built a measured, data-led Bet Builder for Mirassol vs Fluminense, blending match outcome and player output with a sensible goals angle. As always, stake sensibly and consider your risk appetite.

Here’s our Bet Builder pick for Mirassol vs Fluminense, which has been placed with Bet365!

Bet Builder • Mirassol vs Fluminense
Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A • Thu 1:00am
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Odds6/1
Fluminense To Win
Match Result
Why this pick

Fluminense are trending upwards under Luis Zubeldía, putting together a five-game unbeaten sequence across competitions and dismantling Atlético Mineiro 3-0 at the weekend. The Tricolor have tightened their structure with Martinelli and Hércules offering improved protection, while the front line now links more fluently. Mirassol deserve credit for a superb debut top-flight season and an unbeaten home record, yet their recent wobble—just one win in five and a heavy 3-0 loss at Corinthians—shows defensive cracks. With the visitors’ renewed clarity out of possession and cleaner chance creation through Canobbio, Moreno and Acosta into John Kennedy, Fluminense look well placed to edge this contest over 90 minutes.

John Kennedy 1+ Shot On Target
Player Shots on Target
Why this pick

Kennedy is projected to lead the line and profiles ideally for a low-threshold SOT market. His strengths lie in sharp movements off the shoulder, attacking cut-backs, and hitting first-time finishes. Fluminense’s width via Canobbio and Moreno, plus central rotations involving Acosta, should provide steady service. Mirassol’s open, front-foot style creates spaces to exploit in transition, and their recent dip has included loose defensive phases. A single accurate effort is all that is required; with Fluminense generating more entries under Zubeldía and Kennedy occupying central channels, the striker has multiple pathways to test Walter at least once.

Both Teams To Score
Goals Market
Why this pick

Mirassol are fearless at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, and their attacking numbers back it up: 42 goals this season and six across their last five fixtures. Fluminense’s recent improvement has not eliminated defensive concessions (31 allowed in 25 league matches), and their own attack is humming—nine goals in five outings. The tactical blend points to chances at both ends: hosts who commit bodies forward and visitors who break with pace. Expect Mirassol to craft openings through Danielzinho and wide combinations, while Fluminense’s transitions and Kennedy’s penalty-area movement provide the away threat. The BTTS angle neatly captures that balance.

Builder Rationale

Form and context align: Fluminense’s upward curve supports the win leg, Kennedy’s role offers reliable SOT potential, and Mirassol’s bold home approach alongside Flu’s attacking rhythm underpins BTTS. A coherent, form-led treble.

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Mirassol vs Fluminense Bet Builder Tip

FT Result – Fluminense

Fluminense travel in stronger nick, and their recent results capture a side finding structure and punch under new leadership. A run of five unbeaten across all fronts, sparked by Zubeldía’s arrival, hints at a tactical framework that is starting to bed in. The commanding win against Atlético Mineiro was not just three points; it underlined organisation without the ball and cleaner patterns in possession. Mirassol’s unbeaten home record deserves respect, yet the hosts’ dip—one victory in five league outings—cannot be ignored. The 3-0 defeat at Corinthians showcased defensive looseness and an inability to reset once behind.

Fluminense’s numbers—33 scored, 31 shipped—show areas to refine, but their recent balance is improving, with the double pivot of Martinelli and Hércules offering better protection and progression. With Kennedy’s runs stretching the back line and wide support from Canobbio and Moreno, the visitors should generate enough territory and quality chances to edge a competitive fixture. The incentive is clear too: closing the gap on a direct rival in the standings adds steel to their approach. Taking Fluminense to win in 90 minutes is a pragmatic call grounded in current momentum and a tightening of standards since the coaching change.

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John Kennedy – 1+ Shot on Target

John Kennedy leads the line in the projected XI and fits the profile for a shots-on-target angle. His game is built on timing runs off the shoulder, occupying centre-backs, and finishing quickly on limited touches. In a Fluminense side that now looks more cohesive between lines, service into the striker should arrive from both flanks—Canobbio and Moreno—and through the inside channels when Acosta rotates positions. Mirassol’s defending has frayed slightly in recent weeks, and their open style invites transitions against them.

That blend typically yields at least one clear effort for a striker who plays on the front foot. A “1+ SOT” selection does not demand volume; it requires a single accurate attempt testing the goalkeeper. With Kennedy spearheading counters and attacking the six-yard area on cut-backs, the probability is enhanced by the number of entries Fluminense are creating under Zubeldía. Even if Mirassol control spells of possession at home, the Tricolor’s capacity to break at speed should produce the one clean look Kennedy needs to hit the target.


Both Teams to Score – Yes

Backing both sides to find the net aligns with the statistical profile. Mirassol have been fearless at their ground, staying unbeaten and posting 42 goals this season, including six across their last five. They seldom die wondering, and that ambition typically yields chances. Fluminense, meanwhile, are building attacking fluency—nine strikes in their last five across competitions—and they demonstrated their ceiling with three past Atlético Mineiro.

The defensive numbers support the angle as well: Fluminense have conceded 31 in 25 league fixtures, indicating that while they are improving, they still offer opponents moments. Mirassol’s recent 3-0 defeat away from home was a setback, but on their own pitch they are much more assertive in possession and committed to getting bodies into the box. With overlaps from full-backs and midfield runners—Guilherme and Danielzinho can progress play—the hosts should engineer enough situations to trouble Fábio. Conversely, transitions favour Fluminense, whose wide players can isolate full-backs and feed Kennedy. The tactical mix points towards both nets bulging.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.