Liverpool remain favourites to reach the EFL Cup final despite a first-leg deficit. With home advantage, they should dominate Tottenham, while plenty markets offer intriguing betting opportunities for the second leg. Make sure to check out our match preview for a complete analysis on this massive game, and read on to find our bet builder tip on this EFL Cup semi-final.
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Liverpool to Win & Both Teams to Score
Liverpool have been a dominant force at Anfield, winning 13 of their last 15 matches in front of their home crowd. Their attacking prowess has been evident, with at least two goals scored in every one of those victories. However, their defensive solidity has not been as consistent, with just one clean sheet in their last five home outings. This suggests that while Liverpool are strong favourites to claim the three points, they may struggle to keep Spurs from finding the net.
Tottenham have endured difficulties in recent weeks, but their attacking play has remained relatively steady. They have scored in six consecutive matches across all competitions, showing an ability to create chances even against defensively disciplined opponents. Son Heung-min continues to be the key figure in their forward line, and despite injury problems in the squad, Spurs have enough quality to trouble Liverpool’s backline. Given Liverpool’s attacking efficiency and defensive lapses, as well as Tottenham’s ability to score even in challenging fixtures, backing a home win with both teams scoring provides a strong balance of logic and value.
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Cody Gakpo to Have 2+ Shots on Target
Cody Gakpo has been in excellent form recently, with six goals in his last nine appearances. His confidence in front of goal has translated into consistent shot volume, averaging three attempts per match in this competition. He has registered at least two shots in six of his last seven league outings, demonstrating his willingness to test opposition goalkeepers.
Given Liverpool’s attacking intent and the necessity to recover from a first-leg deficit, Gakpo is likely to be heavily involved in their offensive play. Over half of his efforts on goal have been on target this season, which makes the chances of him registering at least two accurate shots particularly high. Tottenham’s defensive frailties, exacerbated by injuries to key players at the back, will further increase his opportunities to find space and shoot. As Liverpool are expected to dominate possession and push forward, Gakpo should have multiple chances to work the Spurs goalkeeper.
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Reasoning Liverpool’s strong home form suggests a win, but defensive lapses mean Spurs can score. Gakpo’s shot volume remains high, Bergvall threatens on counters, and Mac Allister’s fouling rate makes a booking likely. | |
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Lucas Bergvall to Have 1+ Shots on Target
Lucas Bergvall was the match-winner in the first leg, scoring the only goal of the game, and his performance highlighted his attacking instincts. The young midfielder registered two shots in that fixture, both of which were on target. His recent form also suggests he is not afraid to take chances, having attempted a shot in each of his last three league appearances.
Despite Tottenham’s struggles, they are likely to create a few moments of danger in attack. Bergvall has already demonstrated his ability to step up in crucial games, and with Liverpool needing to be proactive in attack, Spurs could find space on the counter. If they do manage to break forward, Bergvall could once again be one of the players testing the Liverpool defence and goalkeeper. With his confidence boosted from his recent performances, a shot on target from him appears to be a reasonable expectation.
Alexis Mac Allister to Be Shown a Card
Disciplinary statistics suggest Alexis Mac Allister is a strong candidate to receive a booking in this fixture. The Liverpool midfielder has been shown six yellow cards in 22 league matches and has been booked twice in his last three games across all competitions. His aggressive style of play, combined with a high number of fouls—26 in his last 10 league outings—indicates a strong likelihood of another caution.
With Spurs needing to find a way back into the tie, they may attempt to frustrate Liverpool, particularly in midfield. Mac Allister’s role in breaking up play and disrupting opposition attacks increases his risk of picking up a booking, especially if the game becomes stretched or if Liverpool’s defensive line is exposed. The intensity of the fixture, coupled with the likelihood of Tottenham pushing forward on the counter, makes Mac Allister a prime candidate for a yellow card.
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