The Primeira Liga kicks off in dramatic fashion as Porto host Vitoria de Guimaraes at the Estadio do Dragao — a match delayed by two days after the passing of club icon Jorge Costa. With new head coach Francesco Farioli at the helm, the Dragons are determined to channel recent sadness into a winning start.
Our Bet Builder combines three strong selections.
Here’s our Bet Builder pick for FC Porto vs Vitoria Guimaraes, which has been placed with Bet365:
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✅ Leg 1 – Porto to Win
Porto’s off-season has been emotionally challenging, but there are signs of resilience. Despite a curtailed pre-season due to their Club World Cup involvement, they claimed morale-boosting victories over Twente (2-1) and Atletico Madrid (1-0). Those results suggest Farioli’s players are buying into his approach quickly, even under testing circumstances.
Historically, Porto dominate this fixture. They have beaten Vitoria in eight of their last ten league and cup meetings, with the visitors’ only win in that period coming in April 2024. Even last season’s 1-1 draw at the Dragao came during a spell where Porto were rotating heavily.
Farioli’s likely starting XI looks strong on paper, with Samu Aghehowa spearheading the attack, Borja Sainz providing width, and a robust midfield of Froholdt, Veiga, and Varela capable of controlling the game. In contrast, Vitoria arrive missing key figures like Oscar Rivas and Samu, reducing their options in both defence and attack.
The visitors have enjoyed a productive pre-season under Luis Pinto, but their form has included defeats to beatable sides, hinting at vulnerabilities when facing top-tier opposition. In front of a home crowd eager for a fresh start, Porto should have too much quality and depth to let this one slip.
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✅ Leg 2 – Borja Sainz: 2+ Shots on Target
Borja Sainz is expected to play a central role in Porto’s attacking plans tonight. Operating from the wing but with license to drift inside, he offers a direct threat with both feet and has shown in friendlies that he’s willing to take shots early rather than overplay the ball.
With Porto likely to enjoy the lion’s share of possession, Sainz will see plenty of the ball in advanced positions. His ability to attack full-backs one-on-one makes him a prime candidate to create shooting chances for himself, especially against a Vitoria defence that will be without one of its most experienced centre-halves.
The tactical set-up under Farioli favours quick switches of play, meaning Sainz can often receive in space before defenders have a chance to close him down. His pre-season outings showed a sharpness in front of goal, with multiple on-target attempts across both matches. Against a side that concedes more shots away from home, his chances of hitting the target twice look strong — particularly if Porto are pressing for a decisive second goal.
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Reasoning Porto’s dominance at home, coupled with Vitoria’s key absences, sets the stage for a Dragons win. Sainz’s lively wing play and Aghehowa’s cutting edge make them prime candidates for multiple on-target efforts, creating a well-rounded Bet Builder that balances result confidence with player performance value. | |
✅ Leg 3 – Samuel Aghehowa: 2+ Shots on Target
Leading the line, Samuel Aghehowa will be the focal point of Porto’s forward play. The Nigerian forward had a breakout debut season, scoring 19 league goals, and has the physicality to trouble Vitoria’s back three from the opening whistle.
Aghehowa thrives on early service and is equally adept at testing goalkeepers from distance or inside the box. With Borja Sainz and Pepe flanking him, plus Veiga pushing up from midfield, he should receive consistent delivery in dangerous areas.
The visitors’ likely defensive trio — Borevkovic, Abascal, and Nobrega — are not the quickest, and Aghehowa’s movement into half-spaces will force them into uncomfortable situations. That should result in him finding clear shooting lanes at least a couple of times.
Given his proven finishing and Porto’s expected dominance in territory, two shots on target feels a realistic target, especially if Vitoria are forced to open up later in the match while chasing an equaliser.
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