Bet Builder Tip For England vs Latvia

England are overwhelming favourites ahead of their meeting with Latvia, and for good reason. As the Three Lions continue to adapt to Thomas Tuchel’s system, the disparity in quality between these two sides couldn’t be more stark. With that in mind, we’ve constructed a tailored Bet Builder that captures the most likely outcomes based on form, player stats, tactical set-up, and opponent weaknesses. Below, each selection is explained in depth, highlighting why these bets carry solid value.

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✅ England to Win to Nil

There’s little doubt that England should come through this contest unscathed, especially considering Latvia’s recent form against top-tier opponents. The Baltic nation conceded four in Turkey and five in Croatia during their Euro 2024 qualifying run, managing to net just once across those two fixtures. They’ve consistently struggled away from home against stronger sides and look ill-equipped to trouble the hosts at Wembley.

England, meanwhile, are enjoying a period of defensive control under Tuchel’s early stewardship. Albania barely laid a glove on them in the previous outing, producing a paltry 0.06 xG and seeing very little of the ball. With England’s backline including the likes of Colwill and Reece James, the structure is both disciplined and well-drilled. That Malta—ranked even lower than Latvia—failed to score in a recent visit to England supports the argument further. Only Italy have found the net against the Three Lions in their last four at home.

Latvia’s toothless attack, coupled with England’s rigid defensive organisation, makes a home win without conceding an excellent value selection.

✅ Over 2.5 Goals

This fixture is primed for goals, particularly from the home side. England, even when rotating personnel, maintain a fluid attacking style that overwhelms less capable defences. The 5-0 hammering of Ireland and 3-0 dismantling of Greece demonstrate their capability to hit high goal totals when given space and time, something Latvia are likely to afford them in abundance.

In their last two away matches, Latvia shipped nine goals, with Croatia and Turkey both comfortably breaching their fragile backline. Even a narrow 1-0 win over Andorra last week offered little encouragement—Latvia allowed seven shots from a side ranked among Europe’s lowest.

With a wealth of attacking talent available to Tuchel, from Kane to Bowen to Bellingham, the Three Lions are well positioned to get past the three-goal threshold. Even with minor experimentation, the tactical gulf is simply too wide for Latvia to bridge. Expect England to dominate possession and chances, with goals flowing as a result.

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✅ Jude Bellingham to Score Anytime

Bellingham has been a central figure in England’s recent matches, even if he hasn’t yet opened his account in the qualifiers. The Real Madrid midfielder was a constant menace against Albania, entering the opposition’s box on nine occasions and racking up three shots. His xG of 0.43 suggests he was unlucky not to score.

Now facing far weaker opposition in Latvia, Bellingham is well placed to finally register his name on the scoresheet. His driving runs and instinct for arriving late into the area make him a persistent threat, especially when England are camped around the opponent’s penalty area. With Latvia likely to be penned in for large spells, he should find pockets of space to exploit.

Given his goal record in past tournaments and his advanced role under Tuchel, this could be the match where he gets off the mark in style.

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✅ Harry Kane to Score 2+ Goals

Kane remains England’s talisman in front of goal and has shown no signs of slowing down. He notched his 70th international strike against Albania and has a history of filling his boots against weaker nations. Latvia’s recent defensive showings, particularly the five they conceded in Croatia and the four in Turkey, point towards a difficult evening for their backline.

When England play at home against lesser sides, it’s common for one player to bag a brace. Kane has scored multiple goals in a match 11 times for Tuchel at club level and is more than capable of repeating the feat here. He thrives in these scenarios, often finding himself on the end of multiple clear chances due to England’s dominance.

Assuming he starts, Kane’s movement and finishing ability should ensure he capitalises on the chances that come his way, making the ‘2 or more’ market an attractive option.

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