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Top football tips for Friday: Friday’s World Cup qualifiers dish up meaningful tests across Europe, and our panel at BettingTips4You have combed through the slate to uncover the smartest angles. Drawing on form lines, tactical profiles and team news, four specialists deliver their strongest takes for Belgium vs North Macedonia, Sweden vs Switzerland, Iceland vs Ukraine, and Kosovo vs Slovenia. Each pick is built on grounded reasoning and match-relevant data, so you can see exactly why we like the selections.
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Rationale (Herrin Kendrick): Belgium’s chance creation under Garcia, De Bruyne’s orchestration and a 17-goal surge across four qualifiers point to a goals-tilted home win against an overmatched visitor.
Summary: Red Devils dominance → Belgium win & over 2.5.
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Rationale (Linus Bergström): Swiss cohesion and Xhaka’s control meet Sweden’s midfield issues and goalkeeping uncertainty. Yakin’s structure travels well; the visitors are a fair win pick.
Summary: Stability + transitions → Switzerland to win.
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Rationale (Tyler Morris): Iceland’s aggressive wing use and Ukraine’s counter-combinations should generate chances both ways in Reykjavík. Profiles favour a trade of punches.
Summary: Open shapes + urgency → BTTS.
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Rationale (Wolfgang Shotten): Kosovo’s home surge and Muriqi’s focal play meet Slovenia’s mixed qualifying form. Side with the hosts but guard the stalemate.
Summary: Host momentum + safety net → Kosovo DNB.
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Rationale: Reykjavík should deliver chances at both ends, while Pristina profiles as controlled. Pairing Over 2.5 in Iceland with Under 3.5 in Kosovo targets two consistent match patterns.
- 17 – Belgium have scored 17 goals in four qualifiers under Rudi Garcia.
- 5 in 6 – Switzerland have won five of their last six matches in 2025.
- 26 – Kosovo have hit 26 goals in their last 11 games in all competitions.
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Belgium vs North Macedonia
Herrin Kendrick; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Belgium arrive with momentum and menace. Rudi Garcia’s men have rattled in 17 goals across four group matches, including back-to-back 6–0 wins. The structure behind that output is equally telling: Kevin De Bruyne returns as primary orchestrator, flanked by the direct running of Jeremy Doku and the sharp movement of Leandro Trossard, while Charles De Ketelaere provides penalty-box craft. Even with Youri Tielemans sidelined, a double pivot of Amadou Onana and Nicolas Raskin offers ball recovery and vertical supply, ensuring territorial dominance.
Historically, North Macedonia have struggled in this head-to-head and are yet to beat the Red Devils. They are improving under Blagoja Milevski and can carry a threat through Enis Bardhi, Eljif Elmas, Bojan Miovski and Aleksandar Trajkovski, but sustained defending in Brussels is a different problem. Belgium have struck three or more in each of their last three home qualifiers and will push the full-backs on, compressing the visitors in their defensive third. With Thibaut Courtois restoring authority behind Zeno Debast and Arthur Theate, the platform is there for the hosts to win with room to spare. Given the recent scoring trends and the gulf in chance creation, combining the match result with a goal line makes sense at this price point.
Best bet – Belgium to Win & Over 2.5 Goals
Sweden vs Switzerland
Linus Bergström; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Sweden’s task is steep. Jon Dahl Tomasson remains under scrutiny after a flat start, including a 2–0 defeat to Kosovo and a 2–2 draw with Slovenia. The situation in goal adds uncertainty: Robin Olsen is absent, so Viktor Johansson should earn the gloves in Stockholm. Up top, the Blågult still carry punch through Alexander Isak, Viktor Gyökeres and Anthony Elanga, but the biggest issue has been control and protection in the middle third. Switzerland, by contrast, are admirably stable. Murat Yakin has overseen a run of five wins from six in 2025 and two clinical qualifying victories (4–0 v Kosovo, 3–0 v Slovenia).
Granit Xhaka is the metronome, Fabian Rieder and Remo Freuler balance the midfield, and Breel Embolo leads a front line supported by Ruben Vargas and Dan Ndoye. That blend of physicality and intelligence typically travels well. Sweden’s wing-back corridors can be targeted by Switzerland’s angled runs and early service from Ricardo Rodríguez and Silvan Widmer, forcing Swedish centre-backs into uncomfortable coverage jobs. The visitors’ experience in tournament football and their production in transition give them a reliable edge here. With the Swiss pressing structure smothering build-up and Xhaka dictating tempo, an away win is a fair expectation.
Best bet – Switzerland to Win
Iceland vs Ukraine
Tyler Morris; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
Expect an open, competitive clash in Reykjavík. Iceland were excellent against Azerbaijan (5–0) and notably led France before losing 2–1, which underlines their capacity to create against high-calibre opponents. The attacking spine is coherent: Andri Guðjohnsen and Daniel Guðjohnsen offer complementary movement, Isak Bergmann Jóhannesson contributes ball progression and end product, and Hákon Arnar Haraldsson brings vertical running from midfield. That blend tends to generate shots and second phases around the box. Ukraine, meanwhile, are full of technicians. Heorhiy Sudakov and Oleksandr Zubkov were standouts in their last outing; Vladyslav Vanat is expected to start centrally, with Artem Dovbyk an alternative finisher if plans shift.
Sergiy Rebrov’s side lost to France before drawing with Azerbaijan, but their broader form includes a statement 3–1 win over Belgium earlier this year. Structurally, Iceland’s willingness to push wing-backs high leaves room for counters, precisely where Ukraine’s quick combinations thrive. Conversely, Ukraine’s full-backs can be pressed, inviting turnovers that feed Icelandic transitions. With both teams needing points to pursue France, game state should promote forward intent rather than caution. The stylistic matchup points more towards shot volume than suppression. The fairest angle, given the profiles and recent evidence, is that both sides land a punch.
Best bet – Both Teams to Score
Kosovo vs Slovenia
Wolfgang Shotten; Sports journalist at BettingTips4You
Rationale:
The market may still be a touch slow to fully rate Kosovo’s rise. From a ranking nadir less than a decade ago, they have pieced together real momentum: promotion in the UEFA Nations League, sustained improvements in chance creation, and now a signature 2–0 win over Sweden. Home performances have been marked by energy and organisation, with Mergim Vojvoda anchoring the defensive line and Vedat Muriqi leading the attack as all-time top scorer. Franco Foda’s side have won eight of their last eleven in all competitions, netting 26 goals across that stretch. Slovenia are far from pushovers—Jan Oblak, Jaka Bijol and Benjamin Šeško headline a spine with real quality—but the qualifying start has been sluggish (draw v Sweden, 0–3 v Switzerland).
Matjaž Kek’s men usually look most secure when able to sit and spring, yet Kosovo’s recent press-and-punch approach at home complicates that plan. The Dardanians’ ball-winning in midfield and early deliveries to Muriqi can pin Slovenia deeper than they prefer, especially if wing supply to Žan Vipotnik and Šeško is disrupted. Accounting for Kosovo’s trend line and Slovenia’s form wobble, the pragmatic stance is to side with the hosts while guarding against the draw.
Best bet – Kosovo Draw No Bet
🧲 Friday Super Double
For today’s Daily Super Double, we’ve paired two alternative selections from our featured matches:
- Iceland vs Ukraine – Over 2.5 Goals
- Kosovo vs Slovenia – Under 3.5 Goals
Rationale:
Reykjavík should produce chances both ways, with Iceland’s aggressive wing use and Ukraine’s counter-quality pointing to a goals-lean. In Pristina, however, Slovenia’s structure and Kosovo’s game management suggest a stricter ceiling. Pairing Over 2.5 in Iceland with Under 3.5 in Kosovo targets contrasting but consistent match patterns.
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