For the second consecutive season, the Manchester Derby FA Cup final sees Manchester City aiming for consecutive victories over Manchester United.
Our head of football content, Tyler Morris, has provided a comprehensive preview in our Match Predictions section, and we have also created a bold 54/1 Ultimate Bet Builder to make the most of the many betting opportunities available around this huge clash.
We have used BetVictor to create this bet builder, and new customers can take advantage of their sign-up offer using the button below.
FA Cup Final Ultimate Bet Builder
Under 4.5 Cards
Rationale: Historically, FA Cup finals have tended to be low on cards. This trend could be attributed to referees being more lenient or players being cautious due to the significance of the occasion. Recent finals support this observation, with five of the last six featuring fewer than 4.5 cards. Last season’s derby between these two sides saw only four cards, and previous finals such as Liverpool vs. Chelsea in 2022 had just one card. Furthermore, the appointment of Andy Madley as referee bolsters confidence in this bet.
Madley has averaged just 3.5 cards per game this season, and his recent form has been even more lenient, averaging 2.4 cards per game over his last 19 matches. The Manchester derby itself typically sees low card counts, averaging three cards per game in the last ten encounters, with nine of those games going under 4.5 cards. These factors combined make under 4.5 cards a solid bet for this final.
Phil Foden To Score Anytime
Rationale: Phil Foden has been in stellar form for Manchester City, finishing the season with 26 goals across all competitions. His recent performances have been particularly impressive, scoring five times in his last five matches. Foden has a knack for finding the net against Manchester United, having scored a brace in the last derby, which adds up to six goals in his last four starts against them.
His ability to perform in high-pressure situations and his scoring record against United make him a prime candidate to find the back of the net in this crucial match. Given City’s attacking prowess and Foden’s current form, betting on him to score anytime offers good value.
Alejandro Garnacho To Have 3+ Shots
Rationale: Alejandro Garnacho has been a bright spark for Manchester United, particularly in the latter stages of the season. He averaged 2.8 shots per game in the Premier League, but this figure increased to 3.8 across his final nine league appearances. Garnacho has managed at least three shots in seven of his last 11 Premier League matches, and in the FA Cup semi-final against Coventry, he registered four attempts in just 68 minutes.
While accuracy has occasionally been an issue, his volume of attempts has been consistently high. Given City’s defensive setup, Garnacho is likely to get opportunities to shoot, and predicting him to have three or more attempts is a reasonable bet based on his recent form and shot frequency.
Erling Haaland to Score
Rationale: Erling Haaland has been a revelation in the Premier League, finishing as the top scorer with 27 goals. His ability to find space and his clinical finishing make him a constant threat. Haaland has excelled in big matches, often stepping up when it matters most.
Given Manchester United’s defensive vulnerabilities, Haaland is well-positioned to exploit any lapses. His physical presence and goal-scoring instinct mean he is likely to be at the end of many of City’s attacking moves. Betting on Haaland to score is a logical choice, considering his form and United’s defensive record.
Best bet: Erling Haaland to Score
Kevin De Bruyne To Have 2+ Shots On Target
Rationale: Kevin De Bruyne has been a pivotal player for Manchester City, known for his ability to create and take shots. He averaged 2.4 shots per game this season, with a high accuracy rate. De Bruyne had multiple attempts in eight of his final 11 appearances and registered at least five shots in three of his last seven league games.
His proficiency in finding space and testing the goalkeeper makes him a strong candidate to have two or more shots on target. De Bruyne’s role in City’s midfield allows him to get into shooting positions regularly, making this a promising bet.
Casemiro to Get Carded
Rationale: Casemiro’s aggressive style of play and crucial role in breaking up opposition attacks make him a likely candidate for a booking. Throughout the season, he has accumulated numerous yellow cards, reflecting his combative nature. In a high-stakes final, Casemiro’s task will be to disrupt City’s fluid midfield, which often involves tactical fouls.
His propensity for tough tackles and the intensity of the match increase the chances of him receiving a yellow card. Given the pressure to control the midfield, Casemiro’s aggressive interventions are expected to attract the referee’s attention.
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