Newcastle will be aiming to keep their Europa League qualification hopes alive when they visit Old Trafford for their penultimate game of the season on Wednesday. The hosts, who have dropped to eighth after a poor run of form, could move level on points with Newcastle and Chelsea if they win.
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Man Utd vs Newcastle Ultimate Bet Builder
Alexander Isak to Score Anytime
Rationale:
With Manchester United needing victories in both their remaining matches and additional help to secure a top-six or top-seven finish due to their poor goal difference (-4), their encounter with Newcastle United becomes crucial. Newcastle’s Alexander Isak stands out as a potent threat. Though Manchester United need a win, they are hampered by the absence of key players, making their defence particularly vulnerable.
Alexander Isak has been in scintillating form, netting eight goals in his last eight matches since the international break. His scoring prowess is reflected in his impressive average of 1.07 expected goals (xG) per 90 minutes. This statistic underscores his efficiency in an attack-oriented Newcastle side that is expected to cause considerable problems for a fragile Manchester United defence.
Manchester United’s defensive struggles are highlighted by their concession of the fifth-highest expected goals against (xGA) this season, averaging 1.96 per game. This defensive frailty, exacerbated by the continued absence of key defensive personnel, makes them susceptible to conceding goals. Given Isak’s recent form and the chances he consistently generates, he appears to be a smart choice to find the back of the net anytime during the match.
Dan Burn to Score Anytime
Rationale:
Considering Manchester United’s significant issues with set-piece defence, betting on a centre-back like Dan Burn to score is a compelling option. Manchester United have the worst record in the league for xG conceded from set-plays, making them highly vulnerable in these situations. Newcastle, while not in the top five for creating set-piece opportunities, are still quite effective, and Burn, given his stature and positioning, is a major threat.
Dan Burn, Newcastle’s tallest player and a key figure in their set-piece strategy, has already scored twice this season and maintains an xG per 90 of 0.11. His recent form shows he has taken eight shots in his last 10 league appearances, including at least one shot in each of his last three games. These numbers suggest that Burn is not just a defensive stalwart but also an offensive asset, particularly in set-piece scenarios.
Manchester United’s defensive woes in set-pieces, combined with Burn’s presence in the box, make this a highly promising bet. At odds of 16/1, backing Dan Burn to score anytime presents a high-value opportunity, banking on Manchester United’s continued defensive lapses from set-pieces.
Alejandro Garnacho to Have 6+ Shots
Rationale:
In a season marked by inconsistency and poor form for Manchester United, Alejandro Garnacho has emerged as a beacon of hope. The young Argentine has been a relentless force in attack, leading his team with 94 attempts on goal in the Premier League. Garnacho’s propensity to take on defenders and create shooting opportunities for himself makes him a crucial player for United’s offensive strategies.
Garnacho’s recent performances underscore his aggressive approach. He had seven shots against Arsenal over the weekend and has managed to have at least six shots in three of his last four games, all of which were played at Old Trafford. This trend highlights his willingness to shoot frequently and his central role in Manchester United’s attacking endeavours.
Given Manchester United’s pressing need to secure points and Garnacho’s pivotal role in their attacking setup, it’s highly plausible that he will continue to take numerous shots. His determination to impact the game, coupled with Newcastle’s defensive setup, should provide him with ample opportunities to reach and exceed the six-shot mark.
Kieran Trippier to Register an Assist
Rationale:
Kieran Trippier’s role as Newcastle United’s primary set-piece taker and his ability to deliver precise crosses make him a strong candidate to register an assist against Manchester United. Trippier’s proficiency in dead-ball situations and open play crosses is critical to Newcastle’s offensive strategies, particularly given Manchester United’s noted vulnerabilities in defending set-pieces.
Newcastle possess several aerial threats, including Alexander Isak, who is in excellent scoring form. Trippier’s accuracy in crossing and set-piece delivery increases the likelihood of creating scoring opportunities. His consistency in providing quality service into the box has already been demonstrated throughout the season, making him a reliable source for assists.
Furthermore, Manchester United’s defensive record from set-pieces has been poor, ranking as the worst in the league for xG conceded from such situations. This susceptibility enhances the probability that Trippier will find one of his teammates in a scoring position, thereby boosting his chances of registering an assist in this crucial fixture.
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