Churchill Downs Racecards Horse Racing Tips: Friday, 3rd May 2024

All the latest betting tips for today’s racing at Churchill Downs. Scroll down to find for every horse race top three betting predictions from our top experts and also the best odds and offers. Make sure you bookmark this page as we will keep it updated with all the latest tips on Churchill Downs. Enjoy your day racing!

Top Betting Offers To Take Advantage Of At Churchill Downs Today

Churchill Downs 17:43

1m½f (1m110y) Fasig-Tipton La Troienne Stakes (Grade 1) (4yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Main Track) (Dirt) (4yo+)

• Frosty O Toole (50/1) – bet365
  Despite long odds, Frosty O Toole’s form shows some capacity for surprise under Jockey Rocco Bowen. Yet, consistency remains an issue, with this filly often finding major races overwhelming.
• Taxed (33/1) – Unibet
  Cristian A Torres rides Taxed, a horse that seems outmatched in this company. Her previous outings suggest she is better suited to less demanding competitions.
• Free Like A Girl (25/1) – Betvictor
  An underdog with heart, Free Like A Girl is helmed by Corey J Lanerie. Though facing a stiff test, her resilience might outdo expectations, provided the pace is in her favor.
• Idiomatic (4/6) – bet365
  A top contender with an impressive streak, Idiomatic, ridden by Florent Geroux, is expected to capitalize on her dominant form and favorable statistics at this track.
• Pretty Mischievous (4/1) – Unibet
  Tyler Gaffalione partners with this promising filly. With a solid record and a competitive spirit, Pretty Mischievous is poised to challenge the front-runner.
• Xigera (6/1) – bet365
  Julien R Leparoux rides Xigera, a horse with a commendable track record. Her performance today could see her challenging the leaders if she runs to her potential.
• Dorth Vader (12/1) – Betvictor
  With John R Velazquez aboard, Dorth Vader shows some potential for a place, especially at these longer odds. Her performance could surprise if she manages to find her rhythm early.

Verdict

In this high-caliber race, Idiomatic stands out as the firm favorite, supported by a stellar form line and advantageous track statistics. Pretty Mischievous and Xigera are her closest competitors, with the former having the edge due to her proven ability under pressure. Watch for Dorth Vader as a potential dark horse, whose odds might offer value for a place finish.

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Churchill Downs 18:26

5½f (5f110y) Unbridled Sidney Stakes presented by Resolute Racing (Grade 3) (3yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Turf) (3yo+)

• Run For The Hills (10/1) – bet365
  Competing under Jose L Ortiz, this mare has shown a spark of excellence. Her recent win suggests she’s entering this race in good form and could provide a competitive edge.
• Ova Charged (13/8) – bet365
  As the clear favourite, Ova Charged has demonstrated impeccable form on the turf. With Florent Geroux aboard, her dominance in similar conditions makes her a top contender.
• Stone Silent (6/1) – Unibet
  A consistent performer, Stone Silent has Junior Alvarado guiding her today. Her recent victories show she’s ready to challenge the leaders, and her odds reflect strong potential.
• Charriere (66/1) – Betvictor
  The longshot of the field, Charriere, though piloted by James Graham, may find this race beyond her current capability, as suggested by her odds.
• Elm Drive (12/1) – bet365
  Elm Drive, under the experienced Luis Saez, carries some intrigue with performances that occasionally suggest the potential to surprise in a field like this.
• Miss Speedy (9/1) – Unibet
  Another entry for Mark Casse with Irad Ortiz Jr in the saddle, Miss Speedy comes off a strong win and could be undervalued here, possibly making her a savvy pick.
• Medalla Match (20/1) – Betvictor
  With Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr riding, Medalla Match will need to outperform her previous races to make an impact today, reflected in her longer odds.
• Ag Bullet (6/1) – bet365
  Umberto Rispoli teams up with Ag Bullet, a horse with a commendable record and the ability to make a strong showing. Her betting odds suggest she’s a solid contender.
• Secret Money (10/1) – Unibet
  Competing with Tyler Gaffalione, Secret Money holds middle-ground odds. Her performance could swing either way, but she remains an outsider for a top spot.
• Tony Ann (7/1) – Betvictor
  With Flavien Prat riding, Tony Ann has shown the ability to perform well under pressure. Her odds are favorable, indicating she could potentially upset the frontrunners.

Verdict

Ova Charged remains the primary selection, with her sterling record on turf and recent form signaling a strong race today. For those looking at potential upsets, Stone Silent and Ag Bullet provide compelling cases with solid form and advantageous draws. Miss Speedy and Tony Ann also merit attention for those seeking value in their selections.

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Churchill Downs 19:09

1m½f (1m110y) Alysheba Stakes presented by TwinSpires (Grade 2) (4yo+) (Main Track) (Dirt) (4yo+)

• Money Supply (10/1) – bet365
  Guided by Tyler Gaffalione, Money Supply has shown versatility in recent outings. The horse’s performance at various distances suggests potential, making him a possible threat at longer odds.
• Steal Sunshine (11/1) – Betvictor
  Steal Sunshine, ridden by Paco Lopez, is an interesting choice. His form fluctuates, but his best performances hint at a capacity to surprise in this challenging field.
• First Mission (11/8) – bet365
  Currently the favorite, First Mission consistently demonstrates top form under Florent Geroux’s skilled guidance. His strong track record on dirt makes him the one to beat today.
• Call Me Fast (33/1) – Unibet
  A definite outsider, Call Me Fast will need to improve significantly to contend here. Flavien Prat will have to coax a career-best performance from him against this stellar lineup.
• Il Miracolo (10/1) – bet365
  With John R Velazquez in the saddle, Il Miracolo comes into this race off a promising win. His ability to handle the dirt track could see him outperforming his odds.
• Tumbarumba (17/2) – Unibet
  Tumbarumba, with Luis Saez aboard, shows consistent form and could be on the verge of a breakthrough. His recent efforts suggest he’s ready for a top finish.
• Tapit Trice (3/1) – bet365
  Another strong contender, Tapit Trice ridden by Irad Ortiz Jr, has shown flashes of brilliance. His tactical speed and stamina make him a serious threat in this race.
• T O Saint Denis (20/1) – Betvictor
  The underdog with Ryusei Sakai, T O Saint Denis faces a tough task against more proven competitors. His recent form doesn’t inspire confidence, but surprises are not unheard of.
• Pipeline (12/1) – Unibet
  Pipeline, under Jose L Ortiz, could be the dark horse. While his form is mixed, his best could see him making an unexpected push for the front.
• Trademark (15/2) – Betvictor
  Trademark, piloted by Joel Rosario, has shown good form this season. His adaptability on the track could make him a savvy pick for those looking beyond the favorites.

Verdict

First Mission is set as the frontrunner today with consistent performance and favorable conditions. However, Tapit Trice and Tumbarumba are well positioned to challenge, bringing competitive form and potential to the race. Trademark also warrants attention, with recent improvements suggesting he could disrupt the favorites. Keep an eye on Il Miracolo as a potential upset, given his recent upswing in form.

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Churchill Downs 20:03

1m1f Modesty Stakes presented by Derby City Gaming & Hotel (Grade 3) (4yo+ Fillies & Mares) (Turf) (4yo+)

• Fast As Flight (16/1) – bet365
  Fast As Flight, under the guidance of Jose L Ortiz, shows consistent middle-of-the-pack finishes but could leverage experience to challenge the field.
• Aspen Grove (9/1) – Unibet
  With Tyler Gaffalione riding, Aspen Grove comes off a series of strong placings. She’s shown ability on turf and could be in contention if she handles the pace well.
• Forever After All (33/1) – Betvictor
  Despite being a long shot, Adam Beschizza’s mount has shown sporadic flashes of form. This race might be a stage for a potential surprise performance.
• Heavenly Sunday (5/2) – bet365
  The favorite, ridden by Florent Geroux, Heavenly Sunday has excelled at this distance and track, making her the one to beat today.
• Mouffy (7/1) – Unibet
  Mouffy, with Frankie Dettori aboard, consistently runs strong races and will look to capitalize on any pace battle upfront.
• Surprisingly (11/2) – bet365
  Surprisingly has been very consistent and with Flavien Prat in the saddle, she is expected to be near the front when it counts.
• Join The Dance (25/1) – Betvictor
  An outsider with John R Velazquez riding, Join The Dance could improve but would need to find a new level to truly compete here.
• Be Your Best (10/1) – Unibet
  Be Your Best under Irad Ortiz Jr has shown potential and could offer value at these odds if she can handle the jump in class.
• Papilio (7/1) – bet365
  With Javier Castellano, Papilio has been pegged by many as a horse with the potential to make a significant impact today, particularly with her strong showing in recent races.
• Sparkle Blue (15/2) – Betvictor
  Sparkle Blue, steered by Jorge Ruiz, enters with solid form and could be a contender for at least a place, with potential to upset.
• Caroline Street (20/1) – Unibet
  Despite longer odds, Caroline Street, piloted by Joel Rosario, has shown some promise and could be a dark horse if conditions favor her style.
• Queens Command (14/1) – bet365
  Queens Command with Luis Saez could surprise many. She’s shown capabilities at shorter distances and might adapt well here.

Verdict

Heavenly Sunday stands out as the top pick given her proven track record and current form. However, Papilio and Surprisingly are seen as strong contenders who could pose significant challenges. Mouffy and Sparkle Blue also have the potential to impact the race significantly, making this a competitive field where an upset is quite possible.

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Churchill Downs 21:04

7f Eight Belles Stakes presented by Sysco (Grade 2) (3yo Fillies) (Main Track) (Dirt) (3yo)

• Impel (7/4) – bet365
  Trained by Brad H Cox and ridden by Florent Geroux, Impel is one of the favorites with a strong record. Her excellent form could see her lead this race.
• All Things Go (16/1) – Unibet
  All Things Go, piloted by Rocco Bowen, has had mixed results but could show improvement. Her odds reflect an outsider status but she may surprise.
• Lady Moscato (12/1) – bet365
  With Keith J Asmussen onboard, Lady Moscato has shown potential in previous outings. She’s capable of making a strong run for the places.
• Trial (33/1) – Betvictor
  The least favored in the race, Trial, ridden by Joel Rosario, would need to outperform her past form significantly to contest here.
• Accommodate Eva (20/1) – bet365
  Corey J Lanerie teams up with Accommodate Eva. She’s shown she can compete but will need to step up to challenge the leaders.
• Asternia (14/1) – Unibet
  Asternia, under Emmanuel Esquivel, has improved recently and could be a dark horse in this race, offering good value at these odds.
• Denim And Pearls (13/8) – bet365
  Another strong contender from Brad H Cox’s stable, Denim And Pearls is ridden by Flavien Prat. She’s well-regarded with high expectations to perform.
• Do Gooder (25/1) – Betvictor
  Javier Castellano will look to guide Do Gooder beyond recent form levels. This filly will need to find extra to be competitive.
• Halina’s Forte (9/1) – bet365
  Jose L Ortiz rides Halina’s Forte, a filly with potential to upset. Her recent improvement suggests she could contend at good odds.
• Tanya Showers (11/1) – Unibet
  Tanya Showers, guided by Irad Ortiz Jr, comes off a strong win and could carry that momentum into a solid showing here.
• My Mane Squeeze (7/1) – bet365
  My Mane Squeeze, with Luis Saez, shows consistent form and could be well-placed to challenge the top picks.
• R Harper Rose (10/1) – Betvictor
  Ridden by Tyler Gaffalione, R Harper Rose has shown she can compete at this level and could provide value for a place.

Verdict

While Impel is expected to perform strongly, Denim And Pearls could very well take the top spot with her consistent form and proven ability at this distance. My Mane Squeeze and Halina’s Forte are also in contention to upset, making this a competitive and intriguing race.

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Churchill Downs 21:51

1m½f (1m110y) Edgewood Stakes presented by TwinSpires (Grade 2) (3yo Fillies) (Turf) (3yo)

• Pink Polkadots (14/1) – bet365
  Tyler Gaffalione rides this filly, who has had mixed results but could surprise given the right conditions. Her long odds reflect her outsider status, but she may exceed expectations.
• Band Of Gold (20/1) – Unibet
  With Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr, Band Of Gold has shown some potential, though her recent form has been less than inspiring. She needs to step up significantly to compete here.
• Scalable (16/1) – bet365
  Scalable, under Frankie Dettori, could be well-placed for an upset. Her odds suggest she’s not among the favorites, but she has shown sparks of competitiveness.
• Buchu (4/1) – bet365
  A strong contender, Buchu comes into this race with solid form and a recent win. Martin Garcia’s mount could very well dominate if she runs to her potential.
• Mo Fox Givin (10/1) – Unibet
  Junior Alvarado rides this filly who has demonstrated ability but needs to find more to seriously challenge for the win. Her mid-tier odds reflect her potential to place.
• Pounce (10/1) – bet365
  Pounce, ridden by Javier Castellano, has shown promise and could be among the frontrunners. She is well-regarded by those looking for a potential upset.
• Maxisuperfly (33/1) – Betvictor
  Abel Cedillo’s mount is considered a long shot. Maxisuperfly would need to dramatically improve to make an impact in this race.
• Kalispera (12/1) – Unibet
  Kalispera could provide value at these odds. With Joel Rosario aboard, she has the capability to outperform her recent races.
• Hard To Justify (2/1) – bet365
  The morning-line favorite, Hard To Justify has strong credentials and is expected to perform well. Flavien Prat will likely have her in contention from the outset.
• Dynamic Pricing (6/1) – Unibet
  Another runner from Chad C Brown’s stable, Dynamic Pricing will need to show improvement to contend but has the potential under Irad Ortiz Jr.
• Way To Be Marie (12/1) – bet365
  Way To Be Marie, ridden by Florent Geroux, could surprise many. Her training suggests she could be peaking at the right time.
• Simply In Front (25/1) – Betvictor
  An outsider in this field, Simply In Front would need to show a drastic improvement to factor in the finish under Luis Saez.
• Dancing N Dixie (20/1) – Unibet
  Dancing N Dixie, with Jose L Ortiz, is another horse that could outperform her odds if she taps into her latent potential.
• Ragtime Lady (33/1) – bet365
  Ben Curtis rides this long shot. Ragtime Lady has shown flashes of ability and could be an interesting choice for those seeking a high-value bet.

Verdict

Buchu stands out as a top contender with recent wins and strong form, making her a serious threat in this field. Hard To Justify is expected to perform well, but don’t overlook Dynamic Pricing and Way To Be Marie, both of whom have potential for a strong showing.

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Churchill Downs 22:51

1m1f Longines Kentucky Oaks (Grade 1) (3yo Fillies) (Main Track) (Dirt) (3yo)

• Gin Gin (50/1) – Unibet
  Piloted by Florent Geroux, Gin Gin faces stiff competition and will need a significant step up in performance to contend in this elite field.
• Where’s My Ring (12/1) – bet365
  Jose Lezcano rides this filly who showed improvement last time out. If she continues on this trajectory, she could be a surprising contender.
• Regulatory Risk (20/1) – Unibet
  With Jose L Ortiz aboard, Regulatory Risk has shown some potential but will need to find more to challenge the top picks.
• Thorpedo Anna (6/1) – bet365
  Thorpedo Anna enters as one of the more fancied runners, guided by Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr. Her recent win indicates she’s in form and could be a serious threat.
• Lemon Muffin (25/1) – Betvictor
  Keith J Asmussen will need to coax a much-improved performance from Lemon Muffin to make an impact against this quality field.
• Fiona’s Magic (33/1) – Unibet
  Fiona’s Magic, ridden by Luis Saez, looks to rebound from a disappointing last race. Her odds reflect her outsider status.
• Tarifa (9/2) – bet365
  Flavien Prat rides Tarifa, one of the race favorites. Her record suggests she’s ready to compete at this level, with a strong chance to lead the pack.
• Everland (25/1) – Betvictor
  Abel Cedillo pilots Everland, who faces a tough task on her dirt debut but has shown enough on other surfaces to suggest she could adapt.
• Into Champagne (40/1) – Unibet
  Into Champagne, under Julien R Leparoux, will need to improve significantly to factor today, given her tough competition.
• Ways And Means (6/1) – bet365
  With Tyler Gaffalione aboard, Ways And Means looks to build on a strong showing last time out and could be a prime contender.
• Power Squeeze (8/1) – Unibet
  Daniel Centeno rides this in-form filly who has been improving and winning consistently. She might continue her streak here.
• Just F Y I (11/2) – bet365
  Just F Y I, ridden by Junior Alvarado, is well-backed to make a significant impact based on her strong recent form.
• Leslie’s Rose (5/1) – Unibet
  With Irad Ortiz Jr, Leslie’s Rose comes off a major win and looks set to challenge for top honors.
• Our Pretty Woman (12/1) – Betvictor
  Ridden by Joel Rosario, Our Pretty Woman could leverage her front-running style to stay competitive in this field.
• Candied (16/1) – bet365
  Candied, with Luis Saez, could surprise if she returns to her form from earlier victories.

Verdict

In a field brimming with potential, Tarifa appears particularly strong given her consistent record and top form. Leslie’s Rose and Just F Y I are also likely to be major players, with both coming off significant preparatory races. Keep an eye on Ways And Means and Power Squeeze for potential upsets.

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