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Wrexham crestWrexham
v
Birmingham crestBirmingham

Championship | Fri 28 Aug, 20:00

Wrexham v Birmingham Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 02:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Wrexham face Birmingham in Championship on Fri 28 Aug, 20:00. Both teams have scored and conceded in their opening league matches, with Wrexham's freshness and Birmingham's recent defensive strain supporting a Both Teams To Score outcome. Wrexham and Birmingham arrive with similar form, leaving fine margins likely to decide the result.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 4/6, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 75%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Wrexham show a 100% BTTS rate and Birmingham show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Wrexham average 1 goals scored and Birmingham average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 75% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Wrexham show a 100% BTTS rate and Birmingham show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price75% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Strong positive
Wrexham show a 100% BTTS rate and Birmingham show a.Visible data support
Positive
Wrexham average 1 goals scored and Birmingham average 1, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Wrexham show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Birmingham show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Risk Factor: Selection fails if Birmingham replicate a 0-0 defensive setup or Wrexham fail to score as in their cup loss.

Main risk

Risk Factor: Selection fails if Birmingham replicate a 0-0 defensive setup or Wrexham fail to score as in their cup loss.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Wrexham show a 100% BTTS rate and Birmingham show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Wrexham average 1 goals scored and Birmingham average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Wrexham1
Avg goals scored
Birmingham1
Wrexham1
Avg goals conceded
Birmingham1
Wrexham100%
BTTS rate
Birmingham50%
Wrexham0%
Over 2.5 goals
Birmingham50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 29%
2
Check odds @ 2
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Birmingham to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Wrexham to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Wrexham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Birmingham Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Wrexham9.5
Avg corners for
Birmingham7.5
Wrexham15.5
Avg total corners
Birmingham10
Wrexham2
Avg yellow cards
Birmingham1
Wrexham15
Avg shots
Birmingham9
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 55% · edge +14.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Wrexham

DD
Last 50W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 0L
22 Aug 2026H Watford1-1
17 Aug 2026A Cardiff1-1

Birmingham

DD
Last 50W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 0L
22 Aug 2026H Bristol City2-2
15 Aug 2026A Sheffield Utd0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 64% · edge -2.4 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Birmingham to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Wrexham to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Wrexham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Birmingham Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Wrexham wins
2Draws
2Birmingham wins
12 Apr 2026Birmingham v Wrexham2-0
03 Oct 2025Wrexham v Birmingham1-1
23 Jan 2025Wrexham v Birmingham1-1
16 Sep 2024Birmingham v Wrexham3-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Birmingham to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Wrexham to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Championship

Wrexham8
Played
Birmingham8
Wrexham1.1
Avg goals for
Birmingham1.5
Wrexham1.5
Avg goals against
Birmingham1.4
Wrexham2
Clean sheets
Birmingham1
Best odds for this sectionBirmingham to WinBet365 guide price · Model 34% vs implied 35% · edge -0.9 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
Wrexham to WinBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Wrexham Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Birmingham Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Season data supports Birmingham to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Birmingham1182511
14Wrexham108242-3
Wrexham sit in position 14, while Birmingham sit in position 10, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Wrexham Over 2.5
50%Birmingham Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Wrexham sit at 0% and Birmingham sit at 50% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Wrexham v Birmingham prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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