Football Stats Hub

Worksop Town crestWorksop Town
v
AFC Telford United crestAFC Telford United

FA Cup | Tue 22 Sep, 19:45

Worksop Town v AFC Telford United Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 08:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This FA Cup tie between Worksop Town and AFC Telford United promises an open and attacking encounter. Both sides have shown a strong tendency for high-scoring games recently, with each team featuring in matches that consistently see multiple goals. The stakes of a knockout cup fixture often encourage offensive intent, and both teams have demonstrated resilience and willingness to commit players forward. While defensive solidity may be tested, the match is set to deliver an entertaining contest with goal-scoring opportunities at a premium.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams have recorded 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • Recent fixtures for both sides have seen both teams scoring consistently (100% BTTS rate).
  • Their last four head-to-head meetings averaged 3.5 goals per game.
  • Recent form shows both teams scoring and conceding around two goals per match.
  • The FA Cup knockout setting often leads to open play and attacking football.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a strong 78% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting the attacking tendencies of both Worksop Town and AFC Telford United. Recent form data supports this, with both teams having a perfect record of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in all recent games. The head-to-head average of 3.5 goals further reinforces the likelihood of a high-scoring game. This combination of tactical openness and statistical evidence makes Over 2.5 Goals a compelling selection with clear value at the offered .

Recent Over 2.5 Rate100% for both teams
Strong positive
BTTS Rate100% for both teams
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.5 goals per game
Strong positive
Model Probability78% chance of Over 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Value Edge23.9% positive edge at 1.85 odds
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and lively FA Cup clash with both Worksop Town and AFC Telford United pushing forward aggressively. The recent trend of high-scoring matches and mutual goal-scoring form suggests Over 2.5 Goals is a sensible call. The data supports a game where both sides find the net and create multiple chances, making this a tactically and statistically sound pick.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness

“Both teams have demonstrated attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities recently, making Over 2.5 Goals a logical expectation for this FA Cup fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have recorded 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

Recent fixtures for both sides have seen both teams scoring consistently (100% BTTS rate).

Their last four head-to-head meetings averaged 3.5 goals per game.

Recent form shows both teams scoring and conceding around two goals per match.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last four head-to-head meetings averaged 3.5 goals, indicating a history of open and high-scoring encounters.
  • This recent sample suggests a tempo and tactical approach conducive to multiple goals, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals trend for this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Worksop Town2
Avg goals scored
AFC Telford United2
Worksop Town2
Avg goals conceded
AFC Telford United2
Worksop Town100%
BTTS rate
AFC Telford United100%
Worksop Town100%
Over 2.5 goals
AFC Telford United100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both teams have consistently featured in matches with multiple goals and both teams scoring, as evidenced by their 100% BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals rates in recent games. This trend indicates a match likely to see open play and goal-scoring from both sides, aligning well with the Over 2.5 Goals selection.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Worksop Town to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
2
Check odds @ 2
AFC Telford United to WinBetUK guide price · model 31%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 1.85 with a of 78%, indicating a strong value opportunity. The positive of nearly 24% suggests the underestimate the likelihood of a high-scoring game, making this a price-sensitive pick worth backing with standard stakes.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Worksop Town

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
19 Sep 2026A AFC Telford United2-2

AFC Telford United

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
19 Sep 2026H Worksop Town2-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 69% vs implied 77% · edge -8.1 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Worksop Town to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
2
Check odds @ 2
AFC Telford United to WinBetUK guide price · model 31%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Recent form strongly supports Over 2.5 Goals, with both Worksop Town and AFC Telford United scoring and conceding around two goals per match. Their perfect record in recent high-scoring games highlights a pattern of open contests and defensive vulnerabilities that favor a goal-rich encounter.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Worksop Town wins
1Draws
1AFC Telford United wins
19 Sep 2026AFC Telford United v Worksop Town2-2
15 Aug 2026Worksop Town v AFC Telford United2-1
07 Feb 2026Worksop Town v AFC Telford United3-1
25 Oct 2025AFC Telford United v Worksop Town2-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Worksop Town to WinBetfred guide price · model 44%
2
Check odds @ 2
AFC Telford United to WinBetUK guide price · model 31%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The head-to-head sample of four matches shows an average of 3.5 goals per game, confirming a pattern of open contests with multiple scoring opportunities. This historical data supports the expectation of a high-scoring match between these two sides.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

FA Cup

Worksop Town1
Played
AFC Telford United1
Worksop Town2
Avg goals for
AFC Telford United2
Worksop Town2
Avg goals against
AFC Telford United2
Worksop Town0
Clean sheets
AFC Telford United0
Best odds for this sectionWorksop Town to WinBetfred guide price · Model 44% vs implied 50% · edge -6.5 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
AFC Telford United to WinBetUK guide price · model 31%
3
Check odds @ 3
Season-long trends show both teams maintain aggressive attacking profiles coupled with defensive openness, resulting in frequent high-scoring matches. This consistent pattern underpins the expectation for Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting their ongoing style and output across competitions.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Worksop Town Over 2.5
100%AFC Telford United Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
The last four head-to-head meetings averaged 3.5 goals, indicating a history of open and high-scoring encounters. This recent sample suggests a tempo and tactical approach conducive to multiple goals, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals trend for this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.