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Dagenham & Redbridge crestDagenham & Redbridge
v
Waltham Abbey crestWaltham Abbey

FA Cup | Tue 22 Sep, 19:45

Dagenham & Redbridge v Waltham Abbey Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 08:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This FA Cup tie features Dagenham & Redbridge hosting Waltham Abbey in a midweek clash. Waltham Abbey arrives with solid recent form, having secured four points and scored four goals in their last outings, while conceding just 0.5 goals per game. Dagenham & Redbridge have struggled for goals and points recently, managing only one point and one goal, with a tendency for both teams to score in their matches. The tactical battle will likely see Waltham Abbey aiming to exploit their defensive solidity and attacking momentum to claim an upset on the road.

BT4Y match pick

Waltham Abbey to Win

  • Waltham Abbey has earned 4 points recently with 4 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per game.
  • Dagenham & Redbridge have 1 point and 1 goal in recent matches, showing limited attacking threat.
  • Waltham Abbey’s recent matches show a 50% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, indicating attacking potential.
  • Dagenham & Redbridge’s matches have a 100% BTTS rate, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Waltham Abbey to win with a strong 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and defensive record compared to Dagenham & Redbridge. The of 6.25 imply only a 16% chance, creating a significant of 54%. Waltham Abbey’s ability to limit goals conceded and capitalize on scoring opportunities underpins this . No data limitations affect this assessment, making the pick a compelling value bet based on form and defensive solidity.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance16%
Strong positive
Value Edge54%
Strong positive
Recent Defensive FormWaltham Abbey concedes 0.5 goals per game
Positive
Recent Offensive FormWaltham Abbey scores 4 goals recently
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Waltham Abbey’s recent defensive resilience and effective attack give them a tactical edge in this FA Cup fixture. Their ability to limit goals conceded while scoring regularly contrasts with Dagenham & Redbridge’s struggles, making Waltham Abbey a strong candidate for the win despite the underdog .

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and form-based analysis

“Waltham Abbey’s solid defensive shape combined with their recent scoring form makes them a dangerous opponent capable of pulling off an upset in this cup tie.”

Key Data Signals

Waltham Abbey to Win evidence

Waltham Abbey has earned 4 points recently with 4 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded per game.

Dagenham & Redbridge have 1 point and 1 goal in recent matches, showing limited attacking threat.

Waltham Abbey’s recent matches show a 50% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, indicating attacking potential.

Dagenham & Redbridge’s matches have a 100% BTTS rate, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

What To Watch In The Data

Waltham Abbey to Win notes

  • In the last head-to-head meeting, the average goals scored were 2, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Waltham Abbey’s recent 50% Over 2.5 Goals rate and Dagenham & Redbridge’s 100% BTTS rate in recent games suggest a match with attacking intent and goal opportunities, supporting a trend towards multiple goals in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Dagenham & Redbridge wins
1Draws
0Waltham Abbey wins
19 Sep 2026Waltham Abbey v Dagenham & Redbridge1-1
Market aligned with main pickWaltham Abbey to WinBetfred guide price · Model 16% vs implied 16% · edge -0.1 pts
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The single previous meeting between these teams featured 2 goals on average, providing limited but relevant context. This modest scoring history combined with current form suggests Waltham Abbey’s improved defensive and attacking balance may tip the scales in their favor for this encounter.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Dagenham & Redbridge

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
19 Sep 2026A Waltham Abbey1-1

Waltham Abbey

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Waltham Abbey yet.

Market aligned with main pickWaltham Abbey to WinBetfred guide price · Model 16% vs implied 16% · edge -0.1 pts
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Waltham Abbey’s recent form shows clear superiority with 4 points and 4 goals scored while conceding only 0.5 goals per game, contrasting with Dagenham & Redbridge’s single point and goal. This form gap highlights Waltham Abbey’s momentum and defensive solidity as decisive factors in the upcoming match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Dagenham & Redbridge1
Avg goals scored
Waltham Abbey-
Dagenham & Redbridge1
Avg goals conceded
Waltham Abbey-
Dagenham & Redbridge100%
BTTS rate
Waltham Abbey-
Dagenham & Redbridge0%
Over 2.5 goals
Waltham Abbey-
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Waltham Abbey’s recent matches have a 50% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating potential for multiple goals, while Dagenham & Redbridge’s games always see both teams scoring. This combination suggests an open game with goal-scoring chances for both sides, supporting a lively goals market in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickWaltham Abbey to WinBetfred guide price · Model 16% vs implied 16% · edge -0.1 pts
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The current of 6.25 for Waltham Abbey to win significantly undervalue their 70% , presenting a clear value opportunity. This discrepancy suggests the market underestimates Waltham Abbey’s recent form and defensive strength, making the away win a price-sensitive bet worth considering with standard stakes.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Dagenham & Redbridge Over 2.5
-Waltham Abbey Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
In the last head-to-head meeting, the average goals scored were 2, indicating moderate scoring. Waltham Abbey’s recent 50% Over 2.5 Goals rate and Dagenham & Redbridge’s 100% BTTS rate in recent games suggest a match with attacking intent and goal opportunities, supporting a trend towards multiple goals in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.