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Wisla Krakow crestWisla Krakow
v
Wisla Plock crestWisla Plock

Ekstraklasa | Fri 07 Aug, 19:30

Wisla Krakow v Wisla Plock Stats

Data last updated: Thu 06 Aug 2026, 05:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Wisla Krakow enter this friendly with clear advantages in match sharpness and preparation, having completed three pre-season games with a strong attacking output of ten goals. Their promotion momentum and settled tactical patterns contrast with Wisla Plock's early summer stage, marked by missing key senior players and limited match fitness. This imbalance sets the stage for a competitive encounter where Wisla Krakow's advanced rhythm and attacking cohesion are expected to challenge Wisla Plock's defensive organization and squad depth, making the home side the marginal favourites in this high-stakes pre-season test.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Wisla Krakow to Win

  • Wisla Krakow have scored 10 goals in 3 pre-season matches, showing strong attacking form.
  • Wisla Plock start their summer with several key players absent, impacting team cohesion.
  • Wisla Krakow's recent defensive improvements include consecutive clean sheets in friendlies.
  • Angel Rodado's 106 direct goal contributions highlight a potent attacking threat for Wisla Krakow.
  • Wrexham's late-season dip and squad rotation suggest Wisla Krakow's match fitness edge is significant.
Price warning

Wisla Krakow to Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 56% while the model sits nearer 40% (-15.5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 1.8.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model rates Wisla Krakow's chances at 40.1%, below the market's 47.6% implied probability, indicating the current price is short. Despite this, the football context supports the pick due to Wisla Krakow's superior pre-season preparation, attacking potency, and home advantage. The model suggests reduced staking or waiting for price improvement, as stronger line-ups or late data confirming fitness and selection would enhance value. The limited risk arises from the unpredictable nature of pre-season matches and Wisla Plock's potential to exploit defensive lapses.

Model Chance40.1%
Neutral
Market Implied Chance47.6%
Negative
Pre-season PreparationWisla Krakow advanced with 3 friendlies
Positive
Key Player AbsencesWisla Plock missing senior players
Positive
Home AdvantageWisla Krakow at home
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Wisla Krakow's superior match fitness and attacking rhythm provide a tactical edge over a Wisla Plock side still rebuilding after key absences. Their settled offensive patterns and home familiarity make them the likely winners in this early-season friendly test.

Main risk

Wisla Krakow’s attacking efficiency is evident from their ten summer goals, but their early friendly results show they remain vulnerable defensively.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match readiness and attacking threat

“Wisla Krakow's advanced preparation and attacking sharpness set them apart in this fixture, with Angel Rodado's influence potentially decisive even off the bench.”

Key Data Signals

Wisla Krakow to Win evidence

Wisla Krakow have scored 10 goals in 3 pre-season matches, showing strong attacking form.

Wisla Plock start their summer with several key players absent, impacting team cohesion.

Wisla Krakow's recent defensive improvements include consecutive clean sheets in friendlies.

Angel Rodado's 106 direct goal contributions highlight a potent attacking threat for Wisla Krakow.

What To Watch In The Data

Wisla Krakow to Win notes

  • The last ten meetings average 3.3 goals per game, supporting an expectation of an open match with multiple scoring opportunities.
  • This trend aligns with Wisla Krakow's recent high-scoring friendlies and suggests Over 2.5 Goals is a reasonable expectation based on tempo and attacking intent.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Wisla Krakow8
Avg corners for
Wisla Plock4.5
Wisla Krakow13.5
Avg total corners
Wisla Plock10
Wisla Krakow0.5
Avg yellow cards
Wisla Plock2
Wisla Krakow23.5
Avg shots
Wisla Plock8.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 69% vs implied 67% · edge +2.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Wisla Krakow average 23.5 shots and 8 corners per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Wisla Plock's lower averages suggest a more defensive posture. The card data shows Wisla Plock with a higher yellow card rate, reflecting a potentially aggressive approach that could disrupt Wisla Krakow's rhythm and create set-piece chances.

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Useful next reads

full betting preview for Wisla Krakow v Wisla Plockcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Wisla Krakow2.5
Avg goals scored
Wisla Plock1
Wisla Krakow2.5
Avg goals conceded
Wisla Plock0.5
Wisla Krakow100%
BTTS rate
Wisla Plock50%
Wisla Krakow100%
Over 2.5 goals
Wisla Plock50%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 88% vs implied 80% · edge +8 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 30%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 29%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Wisla Krakow have demonstrated a strong attacking output with 10 goals in three friendlies, while Wisla Plock's scoring is less established. Both teams to score is plausible given Wisla Krakow's early defensive vulnerabilities and Wisla Plock's attacking potential, indicating a likely open game with multiple goal-scoring opportunities.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickWisla Krakow to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 56% · edge -15.5 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Wisla Krakow Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
The Wisla Krakow to Win market is priced at 2.10, reflecting a 47.6% implied chance, which is higher than the model's 40.1% probability. This suggests the price is short and sensitive, with value contingent on confirmation of team news and line-ups. The current reward the home side's fitness and form advantage but warrant cautious staking due to pre-season volatility.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Wisla Krakow

LW
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
01 Aug 2026A Piast Gliwice3-4
26 Jul 2026H GKS Katowice2-1

Wisla Plock

DW
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
31 Jul 2026H Widzew Łódź0-0
26 Jul 2026A Raków Częstochowa2-1
Market aligned with main pickWisla Krakow to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 56% · edge -15.5 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Wisla Krakow Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Wisla Krakow's recent form shows strong offensive output and improved defensive solidity, with a 100% over 2.5 goals and BTTS rate, signaling open and high-scoring matches. Wisla Plock's form is more conservative with fewer goals and a 50% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating a more cautious approach that may struggle against the home side's momentum.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Wisla Krakow wins
2Draws
4Wisla Plock wins
02 May 2025Wisla Krakow v Wisla Plock1-3
27 Oct 2024Wisla Plock v Wisla Krakow1-3
13 Apr 2024Wisla Plock v Wisla Krakow1-1
01 Oct 2023Wisla Krakow v Wisla Plock0-0
14 Jan 2023Wisla Plock v Wisla Krakow1-5
25 Apr 2022Wisla Krakow v Wisla Plock3-4
Market aligned with main pickWisla Krakow to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 56% · edge -15.5 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows a moderately high average goal count, indicating historically open encounters. While past results offer some background, current form and squad changes weigh more heavily in this fixture's outcome assessment.
Season team stats

Ekstraklasa

Wisla Krakow2
Played
Wisla Plock2
Wisla Krakow2.5
Avg goals for
Wisla Plock1
Wisla Krakow2.5
Avg goals against
Wisla Plock0.5
Wisla Krakow0
Clean sheets
Wisla Plock1
Market aligned with main pickWisla Krakow to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 40% vs implied 56% · edge -15.5 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Wisla Krakow Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Season stats highlight Wisla Krakow's balanced attack and defense, with a high goals-for average and improving defensive record. Wisla Plock's stats show a lower scoring rate and tighter defense but less offensive threat, reinforcing Wisla Krakow's advantage in creating and converting chances.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Wisla Plock421101
8Wisla Krakow321010
Wisla Krakow's 8th place and Wisla Plock's 4th place in the standings provide background context but are less decisive in this pre-season friendly. The focus remains on preparation levels and squad readiness rather than league pressure, which is minimal at this stage.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Wisla Krakow Over 2.5
50%Wisla Plock Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
The last ten meetings average 3.3 goals per game, supporting an expectation of an open match with multiple scoring opportunities. This trend aligns with Wisla Krakow's recent high-scoring friendlies and suggests Over 2.5 Goals is a reasonable expectation based on tempo and attacking intent.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Wisla Krakow v Wisla Plock prediction

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