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SC Freiburgv
RB LeipzigBundesliga | Sat 16 May, 14:30
SC Freiburg v RB Leipzig Stats
BT4Y best bet
RB Leipzig to Win
- At 2.3, RB Leipzig to Win is priced at roughly 44% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +26.5-point value edge.
- SC Freiburg have a recent record of 2W-1D-2L, while RB Leipzig come in at 4W-0D-1L across the same last-five lens.
- The result profile supports the RB Leipzig to Win angle: SC Freiburg have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
- The result profile supports the RB Leipzig to Win angle: RB Leipzig have taken 4 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 80% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 2.3, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 44% · edge +26.5 pts
2.3
Bet HERE @ 2.3Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
60%SC Freiburg Over 2.5
80%RB Leipzig Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
SC Freiburg
LDLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 103W 2D 5L
10 May 2026A Hamburger SV2-3
03 May 2026H VfL Wolfsburg1-1
26 Apr 2026A Borussia Dortmund0-4
19 Apr 2026H 1. FC Heidenheim2-1
12 Apr 2026A FSV Mainz 051-0
RB Leipzig
WLWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 recordLast 108W 0D 2L
09 May 2026H FC St. Pauli2-1
02 May 2026A Bayer Leverkusen1-4
24 Apr 2026H Union Berlin3-1
18 Apr 2026A Eintracht Frankfurt3-1
11 Apr 2026H Borussia Mönchengladbach1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 44% · edge +26.5 pts
2.3
Bet HERE @ 2.3Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
SC Freiburg1.2
Avg goals scoredRB Leipzig2
SC Freiburg1.8
Avg goals concededRB Leipzig1.4
SC Freiburg60%
BTTS rateRB Leipzig80%
SC Freiburg60%
Over 2.5 goalsRB Leipzig80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 71% · edge +4.6 pts
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
0SC Freiburg wins
3Draws
7RB Leipzig wins
14 Jan 2026RB Leipzig v SC Freiburg2-0
08 Mar 2025SC Freiburg v RB Leipzig0-0
26 Oct 2024RB Leipzig v SC Freiburg3-1
06 Apr 2024SC Freiburg v RB Leipzig1-4
12 Nov 2023RB Leipzig v SC Freiburg3-1
06 May 2023SC Freiburg v RB Leipzig0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 44% · edge +26.5 pts
2.3
Bet HERE @ 2.3Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
SC Freiburg2.8
Avg corners forRB Leipzig6.6
SC Freiburg7.6
Avg total cornersRB Leipzig11.4
SC Freiburg1.4
Avg yellow cardsRB Leipzig2.2
SC Freiburg9.6
Avg shotsRB Leipzig18
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Model 61% vs implied 48% · edge +13.8 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
I. MatanovićSC Freiburg · Attacker
Goal threat72/100
Shots /902.24
SOT /901.09
C. BaumgartnerRB Leipzig · Midfielder
Goal threat70/100
Shots /902.27
SOT /901.13
Y. DiomandeRB Leipzig · Attacker
Goal threat65/100
Shots /901.43
SOT /900.9
B. GrudaRB Leipzig · Midfielder
Goal threat57/100
Shots /901.69
SOT /901.3
C. HarderRB Leipzig · Attacker
Goal threat59/100
Shots /902.98
SOT /901.28
Cyriaque Kalou IriéSC Freiburg · Attacker
Goal threat18/100
Shots /901.57
SOT /900.52
E. BanzuziRB Leipzig · Midfielder
Goal threat22/100
Shots /901.21
SOT /900.6
Season team stats
Bundesliga
SC Freiburg33
PlayedRB Leipzig33
SC Freiburg1.4
Avg goals forRB Leipzig2
SC Freiburg1.7
Avg goals againstRB Leipzig1.3
SC Freiburg6
Clean sheetsRB Leipzig11
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 44% · edge +26.5 pts
2.3
Bet HERE @ 2.3Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 65 | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 22 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 44 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | -9 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
