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Fulham crestFulham
v
Bournemouth crestBournemouth

Premier League | Sat 09 May, 15:00

Fulham v Bournemouth Stats

BT4Y best bet

Bournemouth to Win

  • At 2.45, Bournemouth to Win is priced at roughly 41% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 68%, so the current line is showing a +27.6-point value edge.
  • Fulham have a recent record of 2W-1D-2L, while Bournemouth come in at 3W-2D-0L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Bournemouth to Win angle: Fulham have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Bournemouth to Win angle: Bournemouth have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 80% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.45, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetUK guide price · Model 68% vs implied 41% · edge +27.6 pts
2.45
Bet HERE @ 2.45
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.3
Bet HERE @ 3.3
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

40%Fulham Over 2.5
100%Bournemouth Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Fulham

LWDLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
02 May 2026A Arsenal0-3
25 Apr 2026H Aston Villa1-0
18 Apr 2026A Brentford0-0
11 Apr 2026A Liverpool0-2
21 Mar 2026H Burnley3-1

Bournemouth

WDWWD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 6D 0L
03 May 2026H Crystal Palace3-0
22 Apr 2026H Leeds2-2
18 Apr 2026A Newcastle2-1
11 Apr 2026A Arsenal2-1
20 Mar 2026H Manchester United2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetUK guide price · Model 68% vs implied 41% · edge +27.6 pts
2.45
Bet HERE @ 2.45
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.3
Bet HERE @ 3.3
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Fulham0.8
Avg goals scored
Bournemouth2.2
Fulham1.2
Avg goals conceded
Bournemouth1.2
Fulham20%
BTTS rate
Bournemouth80%
Fulham40%
Over 2.5 goals
Bournemouth100%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 80% vs implied 86% · edge -5.3 pts
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.3
Bet HERE @ 2.3
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

2Fulham wins
4Draws
4Bournemouth wins
03 Oct 2025Bournemouth v Fulham3-1
14 Apr 2025Bournemouth v Fulham1-0
29 Dec 2024Fulham v Bournemouth2-2
10 Feb 2024Fulham v Bournemouth3-1
26 Dec 2023Bournemouth v Fulham3-0
01 Apr 2023Bournemouth v Fulham2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetUK guide price · Model 68% vs implied 41% · edge +27.6 pts
2.45
Bet HERE @ 2.45
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.3
Bet HERE @ 3.3
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Fulham4.8
Avg corners for
Bournemouth5.8
Fulham10.6
Avg total corners
Bournemouth10.2
Fulham1.2
Avg yellow cards
Bournemouth2.4
Fulham15
Avg shots
Bournemouth13.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 46% · edge +8.9 pts
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.9
Bet HERE @ 1.9
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleE. Kroupi Anytime GoalscorerE. Kroupi · 12 goals · 1.23 SOT/90
81/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
A. Semenyo 1+ Shot On TargetA. Semenyo · 1.35 shots on target/90
76/100
Bet HERE
E. Ünal 2+ ShotsE. Ünal · 3.46 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
H. Traorè To Assist / Key Pass AngleH. Traorè · 1 assists · 5.63 key passes/90
78/100
Bet HERE
R. Christie To Be FouledR. Christie · 2.01 fouls won/90
75/100
Bet HERE
S. Lukić Card RiskS. Lukić · 8 yellows · 2.84 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
E. Kroupi
E. KroupiBournemouth · Attacker
Goal threat78/100
Shots /901.72
SOT /901.23
A. Semenyo
A. SemenyoBournemouth · Midfielder
Goal threat75/100
Shots /902.1
SOT /901.35
R. Jiménez
R. JiménezFulham · Attacker
Goal threat58/100
Shots /902.12
SOT /900.79
D. Brooks
D. BrooksBournemouth · Midfielder
Goal threat44/100
Shots /902.18
SOT /900.9
E. Ünal
E. ÜnalBournemouth · Attacker
Goal threat43/100
Shots /903.46
SOT /900.77
S. Lukić
S. LukićFulham · Midfielder
Goal threat23/100
Shots /900.69
SOT /900.29
J. Kusi-Asare
J. Kusi-AsareFulham · Attacker
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
T. Adams
T. AdamsBournemouth · Midfielder
Goal threat26/100
Shots /900.41
SOT /900.35
Season team stats

Premier League

Fulham36
Played
Bournemouth36
Fulham1.2
Avg goals for
Bournemouth1.6
Fulham1.4
Avg goals against
Bournemouth1.4
Fulham8
Clean sheets
Bournemouth11
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetUK guide price · Model 68% vs implied 41% · edge +27.6 pts
2.45
Bet HERE @ 2.45
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Bournemouth5536131674
11Fulham483614616-6

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.