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Wigan crestWigan
v
Stockport County crestStockport County

League One | Sat 05 Sep, 12:30

Wigan v Stockport County Stats

Data last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026, 07:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Wigan and Stockport County face off in a League One clash where both sides have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Wigan sits low in the table with just three points, while Stockport County is positioned more comfortably with six points. Both teams have averaged a high number of shots and corners in recent matches, reflecting an open style of play. This fixture promises sustained pressure and territorial battles, increasing the likelihood of numerous corner situations as both teams seek to capitalize on set-piece opportunities and maintain offensive momentum.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Wigan averages 5.75 corners per game, Stockport County 7.75, combining for over 13 corners on average.
  • Both teams have high shot volumes, with Wigan at 17.25 and Stockport County at 16.25 shots per game, indicating attacking pressure.
  • Stockport County’s recent matches have a 75% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting open play and attacking intent.
  • The model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, with positive value at of 1.73.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners due to both teams' aggressive attacking patterns and high average corners per game. Wigan and Stockport County consistently generate numerous set-piece opportunities through sustained pressure and frequent wide attacks. The combined corner average exceeds 13 per match, supporting a strong likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners. The pricing reflects positive value with an 11.2% edge and solid at 81%. No data limitations affect this prediction, making it a robust selection based on current team trends and match tempo.

Combined Average Corners13.5 per game
Strong positive
Model Corner Chance69%
Strong positive
Value Edge+11.2%
Strong positive
Confidence Level81%
Strong positive
Data QualityComplete data for both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with frequent attacking forays from both Wigan and Stockport County, leading to numerous corner situations. The teams’ combined corner averages and attacking styles support the likelihood of exceeding 9.5 corners. This bet aligns with the tactical battle for territory and set-piece chances in a fixture where both sides seek to assert offensive pressure.

Main risk

Past meetings show Stockport's edge, but volatility means the exact 1-2 scoreline is a precise prediction with risks.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corner market analysis

“The corner count is a natural reflection of the open, attacking nature of this League One fixture. Both teams push forward aggressively, creating multiple wide attacks and set-piece chances that should easily surpass nine corners.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Wigan averages 5.75 corners per game, Stockport County 7.75, combining for over 13 corners on average.

Both teams have high shot volumes, with Wigan at 17.25 and Stockport County at 16.25 shots per game, indicating attacking pressure.

Stockport County’s recent matches have a 75% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting open play and attacking intent.

The model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, with positive value at of 1.73.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last seven meetings, the average goals stand at 2.14, indicating open games with attacking tempo.
  • This trend suggests a match environment conducive to multiple corner situations as both teams seek to exploit defensive gaps and maintain pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Wigan1.25
Avg goals scored
Stockport County2.25
Wigan1.75
Avg goals conceded
Stockport County1.5
Wigan50%
BTTS rate
Stockport County75%
Wigan50%
Over 2.5 goals
Stockport County75%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 75% vs implied 64% · edge +11.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have shown attacking intent with Stockport County’s 75% over 2.5 goals rate and Wigan’s 50%, indicating open play that often leads to more corners. The 2.14 average goals in their recent seven meetings also suggests offensive matches where corners are frequent.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 75% vs implied 64% · edge +11.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Stockport County Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Stockport County to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Wigan Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Wigan to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The Over 9.5 Corners market is priced attractively at 1.73, reflecting a 57.8% implied chance versus the model's 69% probability. This positive of 11.2% signals a strong betting opportunity without price sensitivity concerns, supported by consistent corner generation from both teams.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Wigan5.75
Avg corners for
Stockport County7.75
Wigan11
Avg total corners
Stockport County11.25
Wigan1.75
Avg yellow cards
Stockport County0.75
Wigan17.25
Avg shots
Stockport County16.25
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Wigan and Stockport County combine high shot volumes (33.5 shots per game) and corner averages (13.5), driven by sustained pressure and wide attacks. Discipline is moderate, with Wigan averaging 1.75 yellows and Stockport 0.75, indicating a balanced fouling profile that supports continuous play and corner creation.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Wigan

WLLL
Last 51W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 3L
02 Sep 2026H Milton Keynes Dons3-1
30 Aug 2026A AFC Wimbledon0-1
22 Aug 2026H Leyton Orient0-2
15 Aug 2026A Cambridge United2-3

Stockport County

LWLW
Last 52W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 2L
02 Sep 2026A Luton0-2
29 Aug 2026H Wycombe5-1
22 Aug 2026H Blackpool1-2
15 Aug 2026A Plymouth3-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 84% vs implied 74% · edge +10.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Stockport County Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Stockport County to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Wigan Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Wigan to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Recent form shows both teams producing high corner counts, with Wigan averaging 5.75 and Stockport County 7.75 corners per game. This trend aligns with their attacking output and suggests the Over 9.5 Corners market is well supported by current match rhythm and tactical approaches.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Wigan wins
3Draws
2Stockport County wins
21 Feb 2026Stockport County v Wigan4-2
11 Nov 2025Stockport County v Wigan1-1
30 Aug 2025Wigan v Stockport County1-1
26 Aug 2025Wigan v Stockport County1-0
15 Feb 2025Wigan v Stockport County0-2
05 Oct 2024Stockport County v Wigan0-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 75% vs implied 64% · edge +11.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Stockport County to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Wigan to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The seven previous meetings between Wigan and Stockport County have averaged 2.14 goals per game, reflecting open contests that often feature sustained attacks and set-piece opportunities. This historical data moderately supports the expectation of a high corner count in the upcoming fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League One

Wigan4
Played
Stockport County4
Wigan1.3
Avg goals for
Stockport County2.3
Wigan1.8
Avg goals against
Stockport County1.5
Wigan0
Clean sheets
Stockport County0
Best odds for this sectionStockport County Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 71% vs implied 59% · edge +11.8 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Stockport County to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Wigan Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Wigan to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
Season-long data reveals both sides favor attacking play that results in numerous corners. Stockport County’s higher corner average reflects their offensive control, while Wigan’s numbers also indicate frequent set-piece chances, reinforcing the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9Stockport County642023
22Wigan34103-2
While Wigan sits near the bottom of the table and Stockport County is mid-table, both teams have incentives to attack and secure points. This competitive pressure encourages offensive play and territorial battles, which typically increase corner counts.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Wigan Over 2.5
75%Stockport County Over 2.5
2.14H2H avg goals
Over the last seven meetings, the average goals stand at 2.14, indicating open games with attacking tempo. This trend suggests a match environment conducive to multiple corner situations as both teams seek to exploit defensive gaps and maintain pressure.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Wigan v Stockport County prediction

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