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Borussia Mönchengladbach crestBorussia Mönchengladbach
v
Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund

Bundesliga | Sat 21 Nov, 14:30

Borussia Mönchengladbach v Borussia Dortmund Stats

Data last updated: Thu 22 Oct 2026, 01:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Borussia Mönchengladbach face Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga on Sat 21 Nov, 14:30. Borussia Dortmund have dominated this fixture recently, winning five of the last six meetings. Dortmund’s defensive stability and superior away form make them strong favourites here. Gladbach average just 1.

BT4Y best bet

Borussia Dortmund to Win Analysing the current trajectory of both clubs reveals a significant gulf in momentum

  • At 5/6, Borussia Dortmund to Win Analysing the current trajectory of both clubs reveals a significant gulf in momentum implies roughly 55%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Gladbach are on a five-match winless slide and have struggled for goals at home, averaging just 1.27 per game.
  • Borussia Dortmund have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
  • Borussia Dortmund have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Borussia Dortmund to Win Analysing the current trajectory of both clubs reveals a significant gulf in momentum angle more.
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 18 in the table, while Borussia Dortmund sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Borussia Dortmund to Win Analysing the current trajectory of both clubs reveals a significant gulf in momentum sits against roughly 55% implied by the current price. Borussia Dortmund have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Gladbach are on a five-match winless slide and have struggled for goals at home, averaging just 1.27 per game.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 55% implied
Strong positive
Borussia Dortmund have the stronger recent points return, taking 11.Visible data support
Positive
Borussia Dortmund have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Gladbach are on a five-match winless slide and have.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Borussia Dortmund Win is the preferred angle because gladbach are on a five-match winless slide and have struggled for goals at home, averaging just 1.27 per game. Borussia Dortmund have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. It’s a meeting of different ambitions, but equally high emotional stakes.

Main risk

It’s a meeting of different ambitions, but equally high emotional stakes.

Key Data Signals

Borussia Dortmund to Win Analysing the current trajectory of both clubs reveals a significant gulf in momentum evidence

Gladbach are on a five-match winless slide and have struggled for goals at home, averaging just 1.

Borussia Dortmund have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.

Borussia Dortmund have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Borussia Dortmund Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 18 in the table, while Borussia Dortmund sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Borussia Dortmund to Win Analysing the current trajectory of both clubs reveals a significant gulf in momentum notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Borussia Mönchengladbach1.6
    Avg goals scored
    Borussia Dortmund1.8
    Borussia Mönchengladbach3.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Borussia Dortmund0.8
    Borussia Mönchengladbach80%
    BTTS rate
    Borussia Dortmund40%
    Borussia Mönchengladbach100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Borussia Dortmund60%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Borussia Mönchengladbach

    LLLLL
    Last 50W 0D 5L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 6L
    18 Oct 2026H 1899 Hoffenheim1-2
    11 Oct 2026A 1. FC Köln1-2
    19 Sep 2026H FSV Mainz 053-4
    12 Sep 2026A SC Freiburg0-5
    05 Sep 2026H SV Elversberg3-4

    Borussia Dortmund

    DDWWW
    Last 53W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 0L
    17 Oct 2026A Union Berlin0-0
    09 Oct 2026H Werder Bremen2-2
    19 Sep 2026A VfB Stuttgart1-0
    12 Sep 2026H SC Paderborn 073-0
    05 Sep 2026A 1899 Hoffenheim3-2

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Borussia Mönchengladbach Over 2.5
    60%Borussia Dortmund Over 2.5
    3.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Borussia Mönchengladbach sit at 100% and Borussia Dortmund sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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