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Championship | Tue 01 Sep, 19:45

West Ham v Wolves Stats

Data last updated: Mon 31 Aug 2026, 07:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Championship fixture features West Ham hosting Wolves in a crucial relegation battle. West Ham have turned their home ground into a stronghold with an unbeaten seven-match streak, yet their struggle to secure wins has left them vulnerable. Wolves, despite sitting at the bottom, have shown resilience by earning points in five of their last six games. Both teams are fighting intensely for survival, setting up a tightly contested encounter where narrow margins and individual moments will likely decide the outcome.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Draw

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 29%, above the 19% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • West Ham unbeaten in seven home matches but struggling to convert draws into wins
  • Wolves have collected points in five of their last six matches, showing improved form
  • Both teams have high BTTS rates at 100%, indicating offensive threats on both sides
  • West Ham averages 16.33 shots per game with 4 on target, Wolves average 17.33 shots with 5.33 on target
Price warning

Draw is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 29% while the model sits nearer 19% (-9.5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 1.67.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model assigns a 19.1% chance to a draw, reflecting the balanced nature of this relegation clash. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities and offensive potential, with Wolves slightly outperforming West Ham in recent form. The high BTTS rates and similar goal concessions suggest a tight game with scoring chances for both sides. The model views the draw as a plausible outcome given West Ham's home resilience and Wolves' recent points haul. No price warning is needed as the align reasonably with the model's assessment.

Price / value19% model chance vs 29% implied (-9.5 pts)
Negative
Recent form balanceWolves have 7 points in last 3 matches vs West Ham's 2
Positive
Home unbeaten runWest Ham unbeaten in 7 home games
Positive
Goals and BTTS ratesBoth teams have 100% BTTS rate, West Ham 67% Over 2.5, Wolves 100% Over 2.5
Neutral
Shot volumeWolves average slightly more shots and shots on target per game
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This fixture is poised for a tight contest with both sides showing defensive frailties and offensive intent. West Ham's home unbeaten streak contrasts with Wolves' recent points gain, making a draw a logical outcome. The balance in form and scoring chances suggests neither side will dominate, supporting the draw as a sound tactical and data-driven pick.

Main risk

Although he is carrying a calf injury concern, his season stats highlight a player who is constantly looking to test the keeper.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome balance

“The draw captures the equilibrium between West Ham's home resilience and Wolves' recent resurgence, reflecting a match likely decided by fine margins and tactical discipline.”

Key Data Signals

Draw evidence

West Ham unbeaten in seven home matches but struggling to convert draws into wins

Wolves have collected points in five of their last six matches, showing improved form

Both teams have high BTTS rates at 100%, indicating offensive threats on both sides

West Ham averages 16.33 shots per game with 4 on target, Wolves average 17.33 shots with 5.33 on target

What To Watch In The Data

Draw notes

  • In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 2.9, supporting an expectation of a moderately high-scoring match.
  • Wolves' 100% Over 2.5 goals rate and both teams' perfect BTTS rates in recent form suggest an open game with chances at both ends, influenced by transitions and defensive gaps.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

West Ham1.33
Avg goals scored
Wolves3
West Ham1.67
Avg goals conceded
Wolves1.33
West Ham100%
BTTS rate
Wolves100%
West Ham67%
Over 2.5 goals
Wolves100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have a 100% BTTS rate recently, with Wolves showing a 100% Over 2.5 goals rate and West Ham 67%. This indicates an open game with scoring opportunities for both sides, supported by Wolves' higher average shots and shots on target per match.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickDrawBetUK guide price · Model 19% vs implied 29% · edge -9.5 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Wolves Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Wolves to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The draw market reflects a balanced betting scenario with neither side strongly favored. The model's 19.1% chance aligns with the competitive nature of the fixture, suggesting the current pricing is reasonable without clear value or warning signals.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

West Ham8
Avg corners for
Wolves5.33
West Ham12
Avg total corners
Wolves9
West Ham2.33
Avg yellow cards
Wolves1
West Ham16.33
Avg shots
Wolves17.33
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 60% · edge +9.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
West Ham averages 8 corners per game compared to Wolves' 5.33, indicating more territorial pressure and set-piece opportunities at home. West Ham also averages 2.33 yellow cards per game versus Wolves' 1, suggesting a more aggressive defensive approach that could influence match tempo and fouls.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

West Ham

DLD
Last 50W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 1L
29 Aug 2026A Watford1-1
22 Aug 2026H Charlton1-2
16 Aug 2026A Burnley2-2

Wolves

WWD
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
29 Aug 2026H Stoke City4-1
22 Aug 2026A Preston3-1
14 Aug 2026H Blackburn2-2
Market aligned with main pickDrawBetUK guide price · Model 19% vs implied 29% · edge -9.5 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Wolves Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Wolves to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
West Ham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
West Ham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Wolves have accumulated 7 points in recent matches, showing improved momentum and offensive output with 3 goals per game. West Ham's form is less convincing with 2 points and 1.33 goals per game, reflecting struggles to convert chances and close out games despite home advantage.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5West Ham wins
0Draws
5Wolves wins
10 Apr 2026West Ham v Wolves4-0
03 Jan 2026Wolves v West Ham3-0
26 Aug 2025Wolves v West Ham3-2
01 Apr 2025Wolves v West Ham1-0
09 Dec 2024West Ham v Wolves2-1
28 Jul 2024Wolves v West Ham3-1
Market aligned with main pickDrawBetUK guide price · Model 19% vs implied 29% · edge -9.5 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Wolves to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
West Ham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 2.9 goals per game, indicating relatively open encounters. While past meetings provide context, current form and tactical setups carry more weight in this fixture, with no strong historical bias towards a decisive winner.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Championship

West Ham3
Played
Wolves3
West Ham1.3
Avg goals for
Wolves3
West Ham1.7
Avg goals against
Wolves1.3
West Ham0
Clean sheets
Wolves0
Best odds for this sectionWolves Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Wolves to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
West Ham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
West Ham to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
West Ham's season stats show a moderate attack with 1.33 goals per game and a leaky defense conceding 1.67 goals. Wolves have a slightly better defensive record conceding 1.33 goals but compensate with a stronger attack averaging 3 goals per game, suggesting a more dynamic offensive style.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Wolves732105
19West Ham23021-1
West Ham sits 19th with 2 points, while Wolves are 2nd with 7 points, indicating Wolves' better start to the season despite their lower table position in this snapshot. The standings highlight the pressure on West Ham to capitalize at home and Wolves' potential to continue their resurgence.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%West Ham Over 2.5
100%Wolves Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 2.9, supporting an expectation of a moderately high-scoring match. Wolves' 100% Over 2.5 goals rate and both teams' perfect BTTS rates in recent form suggest an open game with chances at both ends, influenced by transitions and defensive gaps.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

West Ham v Wolves prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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