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Villarreal crestVillarreal
v
Levante crestLevante

Friendlies Clubs | Wed 05 Aug, 09:00

Villarreal v Levante Stats

Data last updated: Tue 04 Aug 2026, 05:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Villarreal face Levante in Friendlies Clubs on Wed 05 Aug, 09:00. Villarreal’s defensive stability (9 clean sheets) combined with Levante’s league-high 40 goals conceded makes a 2-0 scoreline a logical outcome for the visitors, reflecting the current gulf in quality and momentum.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Villarreal Win

  • At 8/11, Villarreal Win implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • With Levante conceding 40 times this season, pricing leans towards a higher-scoring encounter as Villarreal look to exploit defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Villarreal.
  • Levante have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Villarreal Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Price warning

Villarreal Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 58% while the model sits nearer 27% (-30.9 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Villarreal Win sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Villarreal. With Levante conceding 40 times this season, pricing leans towards a higher-scoring encounter as Villarreal look to exploit defensive vulnerabilities.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Negative
Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points.Visible data support
Positive
Levante have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
With Levante conceding 40 times this season, pricing leans.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Villarreal Win is the preferred angle because with Levante conceding 40 times this season, pricing leans towards a higher-scoring encounter as Villarreal look to exploit defensive vulnerabilities. Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Villarreal. That doesn’t guarantee flow, but it does hint at territory: Villarreal should have the ball more often, and Levante will need to defend their box like their season depends on it.

Main risk

That doesn’t guarantee flow, but it does hint at territory: Villarreal should have the ball more often, and Levante will need to defend their box like their season depends on it.

Key Data Signals

Villarreal Win evidence

With Levante conceding 40 times this season, pricing leans towards a higher-scoring encounter as Villarreal look to exploit.

Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Villarreal.

Levante have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Villarreal Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Villarreal Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Villarreal1.5
    Avg goals scored
    Levante1.5
    Villarreal1.5
    Avg goals conceded
    Levante1
    Villarreal50%
    BTTS rate
    Levante75%
    Villarreal50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Levante75%

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Villarreal

    WL
    Last 51W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 1L
    25 Jul 2026A PSV Eindhoven3-1
    17 Jul 2026A Benfica0-2

    Levante

    WWLW
    Last 53W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 0D 1L
    01 Aug 2026H Albacete2-1
    26 Jul 2026H Al-Qadisiyah FC1-0
    17 Jul 2026H Sheffield Utd1-2
    11 Jul 2026H Leganes2-1

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    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6Villarreal wins
    1Draws
    3Levante wins
    02 May 2026Villarreal v Levante5-1
    18 Feb 2026Levante v Villarreal0-1
    03 Aug 2022Villarreal v Levante3-1
    02 Apr 2022Levante v Villarreal2-0
    03 Jan 2022Villarreal v Levante5-0
    29 Jul 2021Villarreal v Levante0-0

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    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Villarreal2
    Played
    Levante4
    Villarreal1.5
    Avg goals for
    Levante1.5
    Villarreal1.5
    Avg goals against
    Levante1
    Villarreal0
    Clean sheets
    Levante1

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%Villarreal Over 2.5
    75%Levante Over 2.5
    3.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Villarreal sit at 50% and Levante sit at 75% with the H2H average at 3.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.