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Villarreal vs Levante: Goals at Both Ends Point to an Open La Liga Test. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Villarreal's recent 3-1 win and strong attacking stats, including 10 goals in six games and 5.5 shots on target, support their chances to win. Levante's defensive vulnerabilities and lower possession make Villarreal's sustained pressure likely to yield points despite defensive risks.
A 3-0 scoreline fits Villarreal's recent attacking form and Levante's defensive concessions, but relies on Villarreal keeping a rare clean sheet. Levante's ability to score and Villarreal's defensive frailty make this an exact score prediction vulnerable to a single goal against.
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REGISTER FREE & UNLOCK TIP →Already registered? Log in18+ · Historical results only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Betting involves risk.Compare form, H2H, goals trends and key data for Villarreal v Levante.
Villarreal’s 3-1 win at Malaga changed the mood around a difficult start, but Sunday’s meeting with Levante at Estadio de la Ceramica offers a sharper test of whether that result marked genuine progress or merely a welcome interruption.
Villarreal vs Levante — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Villarreal's recent win rate matches Levante's, indicating a balanced contest.
Levante look stronger on recent form, while Villarreal remain vulnerable after weaker results.
Levante carry the stronger defensive profile, while Villarreal remain vulnerable in the likely scoreline.
Levante hold the stronger overall profile, leaving Villarreal needing a sharper performance.
Three Punchy Stats
- Villarreal have scored 10 goals and conceded 11 in six La Liga matches, a near-even balance that helps explain why their games have offered attacking promise without much security.
- Levante average 14.8 attempts and 5.2 shots on target across their last 10 league games despite holding only 42.1% possession, evidence that limited possession has not prevented them creating chances.
- Both teams have scored in Villarreal’s last 10 home league matches, a sequence that fits neatly with two sides currently conceding at close to two goals per game across their respective 10-match samples.
Scoring Comparison
Recent attacking records for Villarreal and Levante are shown below.
Defensive Comparison
Recent defensive records for Villarreal and Levante are shown below.
The sides begin the weekend level on five points, although Villarreal have played six league matches to Levante’s five. Neither defence has been convincing, while both teams have shown enough attacking threat to make this fixture less straightforward than their league positions suggest.
Villarreal finally found some reward
One victory from six La Liga matches explains Villarreal’s place in 14th, but their attacking figures provide more encouragement than the results alone.
They have scored 10 league goals, while their longer-term average of 1.8 goals from 12.7 attempts and 5.5 shots on target across their last 10 league games suggests they are capable of producing sustained attacking output. The problem has been what happens at the other end: opponents have also averaged 1.8 goals against them during that sequence.
That balance has been particularly uncomfortable at home. Villarreal have lost their last two league matches at Estadio de la Ceramica, 3-2 against Deportivo La Coruna and 2-1 against Real Betis. More strikingly, both teams have scored in each of their last 10 home league games.
The Malaga performance at least offered a response. Villarreal had 63% possession, registered seven shots on target and scored three times, with Pape Gueye contributing twice from the bench and Alberto Moleiro also finding the net. Gueye, now on four goals across the broader statistical sample provided, has strengthened his case for a starting place.
Levante carry more threat than their possession suggests
Levante’s 15th-place position also needs context. They have taken five points from five games and scored seven times, including five in one match against Real Betis.
Their attacking numbers across the last 10 league fixtures are quietly substantial: 14.8 attempts and 5.2 shots on target per game, producing 1.7 goals on average. They have done that while averaging only 42.1% possession.
That contrast matters. Levante do not need to dominate the ball to generate shooting volume, which may suit them against a Villarreal side averaging 57.2% possession over its own 10-game sample. Possession could belong to the hosts without necessarily meaning control of the dangerous moments.
The 4-2 defeat to Barcelona reinforces both sides of Levante’s profile. They had only 26% of the ball but still managed seven shots on goal and scored twice through Ivan Romero and Roger Brugue. Romero is expected to return to the starting side, while Brugue has four goals across Levante’s last 10 league matches.
Defensive vulnerability shapes the contest
The clearest connection between the teams is defensive rather than attacking.
Villarreal have conceded 11 goals in six league matches this season; Levante have allowed nine in five. Their broader averages are similarly loose, with Villarreal conceding 1.8 goals per game across their last 10 league outings and Levante 2.0.
Neither figure is rescued by a particularly restrictive shot profile. Villarreal’s opponents have averaged 13.8 attempts, while Levante have faced 13.4. That suggests the goals conceded are not simply the product of freakish finishing against them: both sides have regularly allowed opponents enough opportunities to create problems.
Absences add another layer. Villarreal remain without Juan Foyth, while Santi Comesana is expected to miss out after leaving the Malaga game early. Levante are again missing Karl Etta Eyong and Alejandro Primo.
Other Opportunities in This Market
Over 2.5 Goals: Settles as a win if the match produces at least three total goals between both teams in normal time (e.g., 2-1, 3-0, 2-2). It covers a broader range of winning scorelines than an exact score bet, but trades away higher odds and loses if the game yields zero, one, or two total goals.
Both Teams to Score (BTTS Yes): Requires both Villarreal and Levante to score at least once before the final whistle. The market settles independently of which team wins, but loses if either side fails to score, forfeiting the protection offered by single-team outcomes.
📊 Market Explainer
Match Result Market
Selection: Villarreal to win. Choose the home win, draw or away win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded from settlement.
Correct Score Market
Selection: Villarreal vs Levante 3-0. Predict the exact score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties do not count unless the bookmaker states otherwise.
🎯 Pick 1: Villarreal to win @ 1/2
Villarreal enter this fixture seeking to convert recent attacking productivity into consistent points following a 3-1 victory away at Malaga. Although a tally of five points from six league fixtures leaves them in 14th position, the hosts have recorded 10 league goals this season while maintaining a longer-term average of 1.8 goals per game across their last 10 league outings. Generating 12.7 attempts and 5.5 shots on target per match across that sample indicates that their frontline regularly tests opposing backlines, supported by recent contributions from Pape Gueye and Alberto Moleiro.
Levante present a counter-attacking profile, averaging 14.8 attempts and 5.2 shots on target across their last 10 league fixtures despite holding just 42.1% possession. However, their defensive record shows significant vulnerability, having conceded nine goals in five league matches this term and allowing 2.0 goals per game across their previous 10 league outings. Opponents against Levante average 13.4 attempts per match, demonstrating that they regularly concede opportunities. With Villarreal averaging 57.2% possession and coming off a Malaga performance where they held 63% possession with seven shots on target, the hosts possess the sustained territorial volume to break down a visitor side that routinely yields high shot counts.
The principal concern for Villarreal lies in their own defensive instability, having conceded 11 goals in six league games and failing to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 home league matches. Missing Juan Foyth alongside expected absence Santi Comesana further tests their defensive depth. Nevertheless, Levante’s overall defensive yield and missing personnel in Karl Etta Eyong and Alejandro Primo make them susceptible over 90 minutes. Villarreal’s superior chance creation provides a defensible platform to secure all three points at home.
🎯 Tactical Indicators
- Villarreal have scored 10 goals in six league games, averaging 12.7 attempts and 5.5 shots on target across their last 10 league outings.
- Levante concede an average of 2.0 goals per match across their previous 10 league games while facing 13.4 attempts per contest.
- Villarreal generated 63% possession and seven shots on target in their recent 3-1 victory away at Malaga.
Risk Factor: Villarreal have conceded in 10 consecutive home league games and remain without defender Juan Foyth, creating opportunities for Levante to disrupt the match result.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Averaging 5.5 shots on target and 1.8 goals per game across their last 10 league fixtures.
Conceding 2.0 goals per game and allowing 13.4 attempts per match over their last 10 outings.
⚔️ Pick 2: Villarreal vs Levante 3-0 @ 10/1
A 3-0 scoreline requires Villarreal to replicate their peak attacking form while achieving an elusive clean sheet at Estadio de la Ceramica. The home side’s capacity to score three goals is well supported by recent evidence; they put three past Malaga last time out and have registered 10 goals in six league fixtures this season. Their 10-game league average of 1.8 goals per match, combined with 5.5 shots on target per game, demonstrates that they create sufficient volume to capitalise on brittle defences. Given that Levante have conceded nine goals in five matches this season and average 2.0 goals conceded across their last 10 league outings, Villarreal scoring three times fits their statistical trajectory.
The main challenge for this exact prediction is predicting zero goals for Levante. The visitors have scored seven goals in five games, including two in a 4-2 defeat to Barcelona despite holding only 26% possession, and average 5.2 shots on target per match. Furthermore, Villarreal have conceded in 10 consecutive home league matches and allowed 11 goals in six league games overall this season. Recommending a shutout for the hosts therefore relies on Villarreal controlling possession to limit Levante’s overall attempts rather than established defensive solidity.
Missing defensive options such as Juan Foyth underline Villarreal’s backline vulnerability, meaning a single Levante goal from forward Roger Brugue or Ivan Romero would defeat this selection. However, if Villarreal dominate the ball as they did with 63% possession against Malaga, they can restrict Levante’s transition attempts. At 10/1, the 3-0 outcome provides a plausible exact score scenario, though correct-score markets remain inherently fragile to a single opposition breakthrough.
Risk Factor: A single Levante goal would defeat this 3-0 prediction given Villarreal's defensive vulnerabilities.
Frequently Asked Questions
What does backing Villarreal in the Match Result market mean?
It means betting on Villarreal to win after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no draw or Levante win.
How does the Correct Score market work for Villarreal vs Levante?
You must predict the exact final score after normal time; 3-0 means Villarreal score three and Levante none.
What happens if the match ends 3-1 to Villarreal?
A 3-1 result causes the 3-0 Correct Score bet to lose immediately as exact scores are required.
Why are Villarreal favoured despite only one win in six games?
They have strong attacking stats with 10 goals in six games and Levante concede 2.0 goals per match.
Does Levante's low possession mean they don't create chances?
No, Levante average 14.8 attempts and 5.2 shots on target despite only 42.1% possession.
How does Villarreal's home record affect betting analysis?
Both teams have scored in each of Villarreal's last 10 home league matches, showing defensive weaknesses.
