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VfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart
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Viking crestViking

UEFA Champions League | Wed 09 Sep, 17:45

VfB Stuttgart v Viking Stats

Data last updated: Tue 08 Sep 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Champions League clash features VfB Stuttgart hosting Viking in a fixture where Viking arrive with strong momentum and clear tactical . Viking have demonstrated clinical finishing and defensive resilience in recent matches, while Stuttgart are yet to find form, creating a tactical mismatch. The stakes are high as both teams seek early group-stage points, but Viking's attacking efficiency and defensive discipline give them an edge in this contest, setting up a compelling encounter with potential for an away victory.

BT4Y best bet

Viking to Win

  • Viking hold a 69.1% to win, reflecting strong in their performance.
  • Viking have scored 2.5 goals per game recently, with a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating attacking potency.
  • Viking average 9.5 shots and 5.5 shots on target per game, showing sustained offensive pressure.
  • Viking maintain a solid defensive record, conceding 1.5 goals per game, supporting their ability to control matches.
  • Viking's players like Z. Daland contribute significantly to goal threat and shot volume, enhancing their attacking options.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors Viking to win due to their superior recent form, attacking efficiency, and defensive solidity. Viking's 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate and high shot volume underline their offensive threat, while their defensive discipline limits opponents' chances. The model's 69.1% win probability far exceeds the implied market chance, indicating clear value. This is bolstered by key players delivering consistent goal threats and creative support. The data quality is solid, with no significant limitations, reinforcing the reliability of this prediction.

Recent FormViking unbeaten with 4 points and strong goal scoring
Strong positive
Attacking StatsHigh shots (9.5) and shots on target (5.5) per game
Strong positive
Defensive RecordConceding 1.5 goals per game, showing resilience
Positive
Model Win Probability69.1%, significantly above market implied chance
Strong positive
Key Player ContributionsZ. Tripić and J. Daland provide goal threat and shot volume
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Viking's combination of attacking firepower and defensive discipline makes them the logical choice to secure victory. Their recent form and player contributions suggest they can exploit Stuttgart's struggles effectively, making Viking to win a compelling tactical and statistical selection.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Viking's consistent offensive pressure and defensive organization position them well to capitalize on Stuttgart's early-season vulnerabilities, making their win a strong prospect in this Champions League opener.”

Key Data Signals

Viking to Win evidence

Viking hold a 69.1% to win, reflecting strong in their performance.

Viking have scored 2.5 goals per game recently, with a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating attacking potency.

Viking average 9.5 shots and 5.5 shots on target per game, showing sustained offensive pressure.

Viking maintain a solid defensive record, conceding 1.5 goals per game, supporting their ability to control matches.

What To Watch In The Data

Viking to Win notes

  • Over the last matches, Viking have maintained a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating a trend towards open, high-tempo games with multiple scoring chances.
  • This trend suggests the fixture is likely to feature several goals, driven by Viking's attacking style and defensive gaps in Stuttgart.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

VfB Stuttgart

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for VfB Stuttgart yet.

Viking

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
26 Aug 2026H Dinamo Zagreb3-1
18 Aug 2026A Dinamo Zagreb2-2
Market aligned with main pickViking to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 24% vs implied 9% · edge +15 pts
11
Check odds @ 11
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Viking Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Viking's recent form is impressive, with 4 points gained and consistent goal scoring, contrasting with Stuttgart's lack of points and uncertain offensive output. This form disparity highlights Viking's momentum and heading into the fixture, favoring their chances to secure a win.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
34VfB Stuttgart000000
35Viking000000
Both teams sit near the bottom of the group standings early in the competition, but Viking's better recent results and goal difference provide them with a psychological and tactical edge. The standings underscore the importance of this match for Viking to consolidate their position.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

VfB Stuttgart-
Avg goals scored
Viking2.5
VfB Stuttgart-
Avg goals conceded
Viking1.5
VfB Stuttgart-
BTTS rate
Viking100%
VfB Stuttgart-
Over 2.5 goals
Viking100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Viking's recent matches have featured a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, scoring 2.5 goals per game while conceding 1.5, indicating open games with multiple scoring opportunities. This attacking trend supports the likelihood of a high-scoring encounter with both teams contributing to the goal tally.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickViking to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 24% vs implied 9% · edge +15 pts
11
Check odds @ 11
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Viking Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
The Viking to Win market shows strong value with a of 69.1% against an implied market chance of 9.1%, indicating a significant pricing discrepancy. This suggests the market underestimates Viking's chances, making the selection a positive value bet without price sensitivity concerns.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0VfB Stuttgart wins
0Draws
0Viking wins
Market aligned with main pickViking to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 24% vs implied 9% · edge +15 pts
11
Check odds @ 11
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
No previous head-to-head meetings exist between VfB Stuttgart and Viking, so historical data offers no direct insight. The focus shifts to current form, tactical setups, and player performances to assess the likely outcome.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

VfB Stuttgart-
Avg corners for
Viking3
VfB Stuttgart-
Avg total corners
Viking10
VfB Stuttgart-
Avg yellow cards
Viking2.5
VfB Stuttgart-
Avg shots
Viking9.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Viking average 3 corners and 2.5 yellow cards per game, reflecting active offensive pressure and a moderately aggressive defensive approach. Their high shot volume (9.5 shots, 5.5 on target) demonstrates sustained attacking intent, while discipline remains balanced to avoid excessive fouling.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

VfB Stuttgart0
Played
Viking2
VfB Stuttgart0
Avg goals for
Viking2.5
VfB Stuttgart0
Avg goals against
Viking1.5
VfB Stuttgart0
Clean sheets
Viking0
Market aligned with main pickViking to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 24% vs implied 9% · edge +15 pts
11
Check odds @ 11
Load more odds for this section
Viking Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Viking's season stats reveal a potent attack averaging 2.5 goals per game and a solid defense conceding 1.5, supporting their ability to control matches and convert chances. Stuttgart's limited data and lack of points suggest struggles in both scoring and defending, reinforcing Viking's statistical advantage.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-VfB Stuttgart Over 2.5
100%Viking Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last matches, Viking have maintained a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating a trend towards open, high-tempo games with multiple scoring chances. This trend suggests the fixture is likely to feature several goals, driven by Viking's attacking style and defensive gaps in Stuttgart.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.