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VfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart
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Everton crestEverton

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 08 Aug, 16:00

VfB Stuttgart v Everton Stats

Data last updated: Fri 07 Aug 2026, 05:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

VfB Stuttgart face Everton in a pre-season friendly that offers both teams a chance to sharpen their squads ahead of the competitive season. Stuttgart have shown promising recent form with strong attacking output and solid defensive displays, while Everton have been more conservative, scoring fewer goals. The match will test Stuttgart's offensive rhythm against Everton's disciplined defense, with both sides likely experimenting with line-ups and tactics. The friendly nature adds an element of unpredictability, but Stuttgart's momentum and home advantage set an intriguing stage for a competitive encounter.

BT4Y best bet

VfB Stuttgart to Win

  • VfB Stuttgart have accumulated 13 points recently, showing strong form compared to Everton's 7 points.
  • Stuttgart average 5 goals scored and concede only 1 in recent matches, indicating solid attack and defense.
  • Everton's recent matches show lower scoring with 1.5 goals for and 0.5 against on average.
  • Stuttgart have a 100% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals recently, suggesting attacking openness.
  • Everton's BTTS rate is only 25%, indicating fewer games with both teams scoring.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors VfB Stuttgart to win based on their superior recent form and attacking efficiency. Stuttgart's perfect over 2.5 goals rate and higher goal output contrast with Everton's more cautious scoring and defensive record. The home side's momentum and offensive create a strong probability of victory. No price warnings apply, and data quality is solid, supporting a confident stance on Stuttgart's chances in this friendly encounter.

Recent Form PointsVfB Stuttgart 13 vs Everton 7
Strong positive
Goals For (Recent)VfB Stuttgart 5 vs Everton 1.5
Strong positive
Goals Against (Recent)VfB Stuttgart 1 vs Everton 0.5
Neutral
Over 2.5 Goals RateVfB Stuttgart 100% vs Everton 50%
Positive
BTTS RateVfB Stuttgart 60% vs Everton 25%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

VfB Stuttgart's recent attacking prowess and consistent form provide a clear tactical and statistical edge over Everton. Their ability to score and control matches suggests they will capitalize on home advantage to secure the win in this friendly.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Stuttgart's offensive rhythm and recent scoring trends make them the natural favorites here, especially given Everton's cautious approach and lower goal involvement.”

Key Data Signals

VfB Stuttgart to Win evidence

VfB Stuttgart have accumulated 13 points recently, showing strong form compared to Everton's 7 points.

Stuttgart average 5 goals scored and concede only 1 in recent matches, indicating solid attack and defense.

Everton's recent matches show lower scoring with 1.5 goals for and 0.5 against on average.

Stuttgart have a 100% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals recently, suggesting attacking openness.

What To Watch In The Data

VfB Stuttgart to Win notes

  • Over the recent matches, Stuttgart have maintained a 100% rate of games with over 2.5 goals, indicating a high-tempo and open style.
  • Everton's 50% rate suggests more balanced or defensive games.
  • This trend points to a likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture, driven by Stuttgart's attacking approach and Everton's potential defensive vulnerabilities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

VfB Stuttgart5
Avg goals scored
Everton1.5
VfB Stuttgart1
Avg goals conceded
Everton0.5
VfB Stuttgart60%
BTTS rate
Everton25%
VfB Stuttgart100%
Over 2.5 goals
Everton50%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 62% · edge +13.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Recent data shows Stuttgart's matches consistently exceed 2.5 goals, with a 100% rate, while Everton's games are more restrained at 50%. Stuttgart's 60% BTTS rate versus Everton's 25% indicates the home side's matches often feature goals at both ends, suggesting an open game with scoring opportunities for both teams.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickVfB Stuttgart to WinBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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VfB Stuttgart Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The VfB Stuttgart to Win market reflects in their recent form and attacking output. While no explicit are provided, the model's 74% chance indicates a strong probability, making this a sensible selection rather than a speculative one. The lack of price warnings suggests the market is aligned with the football read.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

VfB Stuttgart

DWWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 0L
01 Aug 2026H Paris FC2-2
29 Jul 2026A Kickers Offenbach8-1
25 Jul 2026A Hollenbach5-0
19 Jul 2026A Balingen7-0
05 Jan 2026H FC Luzern3-2

Everton

WLDW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
01 Aug 2026A Hamburger SV2-1
28 Jul 2026A Stoke City0-1
25 Jul 2026A Bolton0-0
18 Jul 2026A Dundee4-0
Market aligned with main pickVfB Stuttgart to WinBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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VfB Stuttgart Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
VfB Stuttgart's recent form is impressive, with 13 points and 5 goals scored compared to Everton's 7 points and 1.5 goals. Stuttgart's defensive solidity, conceding only 1 goal recently, complements their attack, indicating balanced performances. Everton's lower scoring and points tally suggest they may struggle to match Stuttgart's intensity and effectiveness in this match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0VfB Stuttgart wins
0Draws
0Everton wins
Market aligned with main pickVfB Stuttgart to WinBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
No previous head-to-head matches exist between VfB Stuttgart and Everton, so historical data offers no direct insight. The analysis must rely on recent form and tactical context rather than past meetings, increasing the importance of current season and friendly match indicators.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

VfB Stuttgart5
Played
Everton4
VfB Stuttgart5
Avg goals for
Everton1.5
VfB Stuttgart1
Avg goals against
Everton0.5
VfB Stuttgart2
Clean sheets
Everton2
Market aligned with main pickVfB Stuttgart to WinBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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VfB Stuttgart Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Season-long attacking and defensive profiles support Stuttgart's edge, with higher goal production and a stronger over 2.5 goals trend. Everton's more conservative scoring and lower BTTS rate reflect a cautious style. Stuttgart's season stats align with their recent form, reinforcing their capability to secure a win in this friendly encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%VfB Stuttgart Over 2.5
50%Everton Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the recent matches, Stuttgart have maintained a 100% rate of games with over 2.5 goals, indicating a high-tempo and open style. Everton's 50% rate suggests more balanced or defensive games. This trend points to a likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture, driven by Stuttgart's attacking approach and Everton's potential defensive vulnerabilities.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.