Vasco DA Gama

Cruzeiro

Serie A | Sun 30 Aug, 01:20

Vasco DA Gama v Cruzeiro Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 15:05 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Vasco DA Gama face Cruzeiro in Serie A on Sun 30 Aug, 01:20. This balance supports a Both Teams To Score YES outcome in a competitive cup fixture. Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro: Wasteful Hosts Face Serie A’s Form Side. They also average 54.3% possession, virtually identical to the visitors’ 54.4%.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

At 20/23, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
Vasco DA Gama show a 40% BTTS rate and Cruzeiro show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Vasco DA Gama average 0.4 goals scored and Cruzeiro average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. Vasco DA Gama show a 40% BTTS rate and Cruzeiro show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 54% implied

Positive

Vasco DA Gama show a 40% BTTS rate and Cruzeiro.Visible data support

Positive

Vasco DA Gama average 0.4 goals scored and Cruzeiro average.Visible data support

Positive

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Vasco DA Gama show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Cruzeiro show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Vasco DA Gama show a 40% BTTS rate and Cruzeiro show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Vasco DA Gama average 0.4 goals scored and Cruzeiro average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Vasco DA Gama0.4

Avg goals scored

Cruzeiro1.6

Vasco DA Gama1.8

Avg goals conceded

Cruzeiro0.8

Vasco DA Gama40%

BTTS rate

Cruzeiro60%

Vasco DA Gama40%

Over 2.5 goals

Cruzeiro60%

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 56% · edge +7.7 pts

1.8

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%

2.05

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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%

1.33

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Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 33%

3.75

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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%

1.75

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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 40% for Vasco DA Gama and 60% for Cruzeiro, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 56% · edge +7.7 pts

1.8

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Cruzeiro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%

2.08

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Cruzeiro to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%

Check odds @ 3

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%

2.05

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Vasco DA Gama Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.72

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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 48%

1.57

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Vasco DA Gama to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Vasco DA Gama4.8

Avg corners for

Cruzeiro5.2

Vasco DA Gama8.6

Avg total corners

Cruzeiro7.6

Vasco DA Gama1.6

Avg yellow cards

Cruzeiro3

Vasco DA Gama15.6

Avg shots

Cruzeiro17.2

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

2.62

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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 42%

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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 48%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Vasco DA Gama

LLDDL

Last 50W 2D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 3D 6L

23 Aug 2026A Palmeiras1-4

16 Aug 2026H Santos0-3

09 Aug 2026A Bahia0-0

26 Jul 2026H Mirassol1-1

16 Jul 2026A Vitoria0-1

Cruzeiro

WWWWL

Last 54W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 107W 2D 1L

23 Aug 2026H Flamengo2-1

16 Aug 2026A Corinthians2-1

09 Aug 2026H Mirassol3-1

31 Jul 2026A Coritiba1-0

26 Jul 2026H Botafogo0-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 79% vs implied 64% · edge +15 pts

1.57

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Cruzeiro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%

2.08

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Cruzeiro to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%

Check odds @ 3

Vasco DA Gama Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.72

Check odds @ 1.72

Vasco DA Gama to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

2.35

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DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Vasco DA Gama wins

5Draws

3Cruzeiro wins

15 Mar 2026Cruzeiro v Vasco DA Gama3-3

27 Sep 2025Vasco DA Gama v Cruzeiro2-0

27 Apr 2025Cruzeiro v Vasco DA Gama1-0

29 Sep 2024Cruzeiro v Vasco DA Gama1-1

16 Jun 2024Vasco DA Gama v Cruzeiro0-0

22 Nov 2023Cruzeiro v Vasco DA Gama2-2

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 56% · edge +7.7 pts

1.8

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Cruzeiro to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%

Check odds @ 3

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%

2.05

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Vasco DA Gama to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Vasco DA Gama27

Played

Cruzeiro27

Vasco DA Gama1.3

Avg goals for

Cruzeiro1.4

Vasco DA Gama1.5

Avg goals against

Cruzeiro1.4

Vasco DA Gama3

Clean sheets

Cruzeiro5

Best odds for this sectionCruzeiro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts

2.08

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Cruzeiro to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%

Check odds @ 3

Vasco DA Gama Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.72

Check odds @ 1.72

Vasco DA Gama to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

Season data supports Cruzeiro Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
6	Cruzeiro	42	27	12	6	9	0
16	Vasco DA Gama	31	27	8	7	12	-7

Vasco DA Gama sit in position 16, while Cruzeiro sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Vasco DA Gama Over 2.5

60%Cruzeiro Over 2.5

2.2H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Vasco DA Gama sit at 40% and Cruzeiro sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Vasco DA Gama v Cruzeiro Stats

Match Report

Both Teams To Score YES

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Vasco DA Gama

Cruzeiro

Next step

Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

Vasco DA Gama v Cruzeiro Stats

Match Report

Both Teams To Score YES

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Vasco DA Gama

Cruzeiro

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Prediction context

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