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Utrecht crestUtrecht
v
PSV Eindhoven crestPSV Eindhoven

Eredivisie | Sun 30 Aug, 11:15

Utrecht v PSV Eindhoven Stats

Data last updated: Sat 29 Aug 2026, 07:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Utrecht hosts PSV Eindhoven in an Eredivisie clash where attacking intent is clear from both sides. PSV sits second in the league with seven points, showcasing a potent offense, while Utrecht, despite a lower rank, has demonstrated resilience and goal-scoring ability. Both teams have started the season with matches featuring multiple goals, setting the stage for an open, high-tempo encounter. Tactical approaches suggest offensive freedom, increasing the likelihood of a goal-rich game at this early season juncture.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Both Utrecht and PSV have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals this season.
  • Utrecht averages 1.67 goals scored and concedes 3 per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • PSV boasts a strong attack with 3 goals per game and a solid defense conceding 1.33 goals on average.
  • The last 10 meetings between these teams have averaged 4.2 goals per match, highlighting a history of high-scoring games.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a favorable bet with a 58% chance, exceeding the implied market probability of 52.4%, offering a positive . Both teams have consistently participated in high-scoring matches this season, each with a perfect 100% over 2.5 goals rate. The historical head-to-head average of 4.2 goals per game further supports the likelihood of a goal-laden fixture. This combination of recent form, attacking potency, and past encounters underpins the model's in this selection.

Model Chance58%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance52.4%
Positive
Value Edge5.6%
Positive
Recent Over 2.5 Goals Rate100% both teams
Strong positive
H2H Average Goals4.2 goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking match as PSV Eindhoven's strong offensive form meets Utrecht's vulnerable defense. The high average goals in recent meetings and both teams' current scoring trends suggest a lively game with multiple goals. This bet aligns well with the tactical and statistical outlook for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and match tempo

“This fixture promises a dynamic contest with both sides showing attacking prowess and defensive frailties, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling consideration based on their recent performances and historical encounters.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Both Utrecht and PSV have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals this season.

Utrecht averages 1.67 goals scored and concedes 3 per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

PSV boasts a strong attack with 3 goals per game and a solid defense conceding 1.33 goals on average.

The last 10 meetings between these teams have averaged 4.2 goals per match, highlighting a history of high-scoring games.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 matches between Utrecht and PSV Eindhoven, the average goals per game stand at 4.2, well above the 2.5 threshold.
  • This trend, combined with both teams' recent matches featuring high goal totals, suggests a fast-paced game with frequent scoring opportunities and a strong chance of exceeding 2.5 goals again.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Utrecht3.67
Avg corners for
PSV Eindhoven8.33
Utrecht10
Avg total corners
PSV Eindhoven10
Utrecht2
Avg yellow cards
PSV Eindhoven0.67
Utrecht12.67
Avg shots
PSV Eindhoven21.67
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
PSV Eindhoven averages over 8 corners per game compared to Utrecht's 3.67, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Shot data shows PSV's high volume with 21.67 shots and 8.67 on target per match, while Utrecht also contributes with 12.67 shots and 4.33 on target, supporting an open game with numerous attacking opportunities and set-piece situations.

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Eredivisie fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Utrecht1.67
Avg goals scored
PSV Eindhoven3
Utrecht3
Avg goals conceded
PSV Eindhoven1.33
Utrecht100%
BTTS rate
PSV Eindhoven100%
Utrecht100%
Over 2.5 goals
PSV Eindhoven100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 52% · edge +5.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams have started the season with matches consistently exceeding 2.5 goals and featuring goals from both sides, reflecting open play and defensive vulnerabilities. The historical average of 4.2 goals in their last 10 meetings further reinforces the expectation of multiple goals and BTTS scenarios in this game.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionPSV Eindhoven to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
PSV Eindhoven Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Utrecht Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetUK guide price · model 18%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced at reflecting a 52.4% implied chance, while the model estimates a higher 58% probability, indicating a modest positive value. This suggests the market slightly underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game, making the bet an attractive option without significant price sensitivity concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Utrecht

DLL
Last 50W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 2L
22 Aug 2026A Sparta Rotterdam3-3
15 Aug 2026H AZ Alkmaar1-4
09 Aug 2026A Groningen1-2

PSV Eindhoven

WWD
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
23 Aug 2026H Groningen5-1
15 Aug 2026A Excelsior2-1
08 Aug 2026H Fortuna Sittard2-2
Best odds for this sectionPSV Eindhoven to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
PSV Eindhoven Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Utrecht Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetUK guide price · model 18%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Recent form data shows both teams have featured in matches with over 2.5 goals at a 100% rate this season, underscoring their offensive focus and defensive openness. Utrecht has scored 1.67 goals per game but conceded 3, while PSV scores 3 and concedes 1.33, indicating a pattern of high-scoring encounters likely to continue.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Utrecht wins
3Draws
7PSV Eindhoven wins
04 Apr 2026PSV Eindhoven v Utrecht4-3
21 Dec 2025Utrecht v PSV Eindhoven1-2
15 Feb 2025PSV Eindhoven v Utrecht2-2
01 Dec 2024Utrecht v PSV Eindhoven2-5
21 Jan 2024Utrecht v PSV Eindhoven1-1
12 Aug 2023PSV Eindhoven v Utrecht2-0
Best odds for this sectionPSV Eindhoven to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetUK guide price · model 18%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
The head-to-head record over the last 10 meetings shows an average of 4.2 goals per match, indicating a history of open and high-scoring games between these teams. This historical trend supports the expectation of a goal-rich encounter in this fixture.
Season team stats

Eredivisie

Utrecht3
Played
PSV Eindhoven3
Utrecht1.7
Avg goals for
PSV Eindhoven3
Utrecht3
Avg goals against
PSV Eindhoven1.3
Utrecht0
Clean sheets
PSV Eindhoven0
Best odds for this sectionPSV Eindhoven to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
PSV Eindhoven Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Utrecht Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Season-long statistics reveal Utrecht's defense concedes an average of 3 goals per game, while PSV maintains a strong attack with 3 goals scored per match and a relatively solid defense conceding 1.33. These figures support the expectation of a high-scoring match, consistent with the Over 3.5 Goals selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2PSV Eindhoven732105
15Utrecht13012-4
PSV Eindhoven's second-place position with 7 points reflects strong early-season form and offensive efficiency, while Utrecht's 15th place with 1 point indicates struggles, particularly defensively. The standings highlight a clash between a high-scoring contender and a team vulnerable at the back, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Utrecht Over 2.5
100%PSV Eindhoven Over 2.5
4.2H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 matches between Utrecht and PSV Eindhoven, the average goals per game stand at 4.2, well above the 2.5 threshold. This trend, combined with both teams' recent matches featuring high goal totals, suggests a fast-paced game with frequent scoring opportunities and a strong chance of exceeding 2.5 goals again.

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