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AZ Alkmaar crestAZ Alkmaar
v
GO Ahead Eagles crestGO Ahead Eagles

Eredivisie | Sat 29 Aug, 17:45

AZ Alkmaar v GO Ahead Eagles Stats

Data last updated: Fri 28 Aug 2026, 08:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

AZ Alkmaar visit De Adelaarshorst to face GO Ahead Eagles in a high-stakes Eredivisie clash. AZ come off a commanding 5-1 cup final win, carrying momentum but facing a tough test given their recent away vulnerabilities. GO Ahead Eagles boast a 13-match home scoring streak and have consistently produced over 2.5 goals in their last five home games, leveraging width and aerial strength. AZ's possession-based style and shot volume contrast with the Eagles' direct wide play and set-piece threat, setting up a tactical battle where AZ's quality aims to overcome the home side's resilience and goal threat.

BT4Y best bet

AZ Alkmaar Win & Over 2.5 Goals

  • AZ Alkmaar have won their last six away matches against GO Ahead Eagles by 2+ goals.
  • GO Ahead Eagles have scored in 13 consecutive home Eredivisie games and seen over 2.5 goals in their last five home matches.
  • AZ Alkmaar average 15.6 shots per game compared to GO Ahead Eagles' 11.6, indicating higher offensive pressure.
  • GO Ahead Eagles exploit aerial duels, winning 13.5 per match, while AZ are defensively weak in the air.
  • AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in their last 13 league meetings with GO Ahead Eagles, showing historical control.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies strong value in AZ Alkmaar winning with over 2.5 goals, supported by AZ's superior shot volume and possession control combined with GO Ahead Eagles' consistent home scoring and high goal games. AZ's recent cup final form and historical control at this venue reinforce the likelihood of an away win with multiple goals. The price reflects a significant , as the implied chance is well below the model's 37.2% probability. The absence of data limitations adds to this selection.

Model Chance37.2%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance11.8%
Strong positive
Shot Volume AdvantageAZ 20.67 vs Eagles 15
Positive
GO Ahead Eagles Home Scoring Streak13 consecutive games
Strong positive
Historical H2H controlAZ unbeaten in last 13 meetings
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This bet combines AZ Alkmaar's attacking firepower and historical success against GO Ahead Eagles with the hosts' prolific home scoring, suggesting a competitive, high-scoring match. AZ's ability to control possession and generate more shots should ultimately secure a narrow victory with goals at both ends, reflecting tactical control meeting home resilience.

Main risk

Go Ahead Eagles can make this game frantic, but that can also leave gaps, especially against through balls and central combinations.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and statistical analysis

“AZ Alkmaar's superior shot volume and possession control, paired with GO Ahead Eagles' consistent home scoring and aerial threat, set the stage for a high-tempo, goal-rich encounter where AZ's quality is expected to prevail.”

Key Data Signals

AZ Alkmaar Win & Over 2.5 Goals evidence

AZ Alkmaar have won their last six away matches against GO Ahead Eagles by 2+ goals.

GO Ahead Eagles have scored in 13 consecutive home Eredivisie games and seen over 2.5 goals in their last five home matches.

AZ Alkmaar average 15.6 shots per game compared to GO Ahead Eagles' 11.6, indicating higher offensive pressure.

GO Ahead Eagles exploit aerial duels, winning 13.5 per match, while AZ are defensively weak in the air.

What To Watch In The Data

AZ Alkmaar Win & Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 3.4, supporting the trend for high-scoring encounters.
  • GO Ahead Eagles have consistently produced over 2.5 goals in their last five home matches, while AZ Alkmaar's offensive volume ensures sustained pressure.
  • This trend panel confirms a tempo and chance quality conducive to multiple goals in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

AZ Alkmaar11
Avg corners for
GO Ahead Eagles5.67
AZ Alkmaar14.67
Avg total corners
GO Ahead Eagles9.33
AZ Alkmaar1
Avg yellow cards
GO Ahead Eagles1
AZ Alkmaar20.67
Avg shots
GO Ahead Eagles15
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 74% · edge -4.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
AZ Alkmaar's average of 11 corners per game and 20.67 shots indicate sustained attacking pressure, while GO Ahead Eagles' 5.67 corners and 15 shots reflect a more selective but effective wide play style. Both teams average one yellow card per game, suggesting a moderately physical contest with tactical fouling and set-piece battles likely influencing the flow.

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Useful next reads

Eredivisie hubAZ Alkmaar v GO Ahead Eagles predictioncorners trends hubplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

AZ Alkmaar2.67
Avg goals scored
GO Ahead Eagles3
AZ Alkmaar0.33
Avg goals conceded
GO Ahead Eagles1.33
AZ Alkmaar33%
BTTS rate
GO Ahead Eagles100%
AZ Alkmaar33%
Over 2.5 goals
GO Ahead Eagles100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 87%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have strong scoring records: GO Ahead Eagles have scored in 13 straight home games and consistently see over 2.5 goals, while AZ Alkmaar's high shot volume and possession style support multiple goals. This match is likely to feature open play, with AZ's attacking pressure meeting the Eagles' aerial and set-piece threats, favoring a high-scoring outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAZ Alkmaar Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 81% · edge -17.3 pts
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
AZ Alkmaar to WinBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The market offers substantial value on AZ Alkmaar to win with over 2.5 goals at 15/2 , reflecting a 11.8% implied chance well below the model's 37.2% probability. This price sensitivity highlights a strong opportunity given AZ's offensive metrics and historical control, making it an attractive bet without major price warnings.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

AZ Alkmaar

WWW
Last 53W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 0L
22 Aug 2026A Fortuna Sittard2-0
15 Aug 2026A Utrecht4-1
08 Aug 2026H ADO Den Haag2-0

GO Ahead Eagles

WDW
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
23 Aug 2026H ADO Den Haag3-1
16 Aug 2026A Feyenoord2-2
08 Aug 2026H Willem II4-1
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 81% vs implied 91% · edge -10.3 pts
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Load more odds for this section
AZ Alkmaar Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
AZ Alkmaar to WinBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
AZ Alkmaar have accumulated 9 points with an average of 2.67 goals scored and only 0.33 conceded recently, showing strong form and defensive solidity. GO Ahead Eagles have 7 points, scoring 3 goals per game but conceding 1.33, highlighting their offensive potency but defensive vulnerability. The contrasting recent form supports a competitive match with multiple goals.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6AZ Alkmaar wins
4Draws
0GO Ahead Eagles wins
23 Apr 2026GO Ahead Eagles v AZ Alkmaar0-0
07 Dec 2025AZ Alkmaar v GO Ahead Eagles2-2
04 May 2025GO Ahead Eagles v AZ Alkmaar0-3
21 Apr 2025AZ Alkmaar v GO Ahead Eagles1-1
27 Oct 2024AZ Alkmaar v GO Ahead Eagles2-2
12 May 2024GO Ahead Eagles v AZ Alkmaar0-3
Market aligned with main pickAZ Alkmaar to WinBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 71% · edge -17.5 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The head-to-head record strongly supports AZ Alkmaar, who are unbeaten in their last 13 league meetings with GO Ahead Eagles and have won the last six away matches by at least two goals. This historical control suggests AZ's tactical approach and quality have consistently outmatched the Eagles, reinforcing in an AZ victory despite the home side's scoring threat.
Season team stats

Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar3
Played
GO Ahead Eagles3
AZ Alkmaar2.7
Avg goals for
GO Ahead Eagles3
AZ Alkmaar0.3
Avg goals against
GO Ahead Eagles1.3
AZ Alkmaar2
Clean sheets
GO Ahead Eagles0
Market aligned with main pickAZ Alkmaar Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 81% · edge -17.3 pts
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Load more odds for this section
AZ Alkmaar to WinBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
AZ Alkmaar lead the league with 9 points and demonstrate a balanced attack and defense, scoring frequently while conceding minimally. GO Ahead Eagles rank 3rd with 7 points, boasting a potent attack but a leaky defense. These season-long stats underline AZ's control and efficiency versus the Eagles' high-scoring but less stable defensive profile, supporting the bet on a high-scoring AZ win.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1AZ Alkmaar933007
3GO Ahead Eagles732105
AZ Alkmaar sit top of the Eredivisie with 9 points, reflecting consistent performance and championship ambitions. GO Ahead Eagles are close behind in 3rd with 7 points, indicating competitive pressure. The standings suggest both teams are motivated to secure points, with AZ aiming to maintain their lead and Eagles pushing to close the gap, adding intensity to the fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

33%AZ Alkmaar Over 2.5
100%GO Ahead Eagles Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 3.4, supporting the trend for high-scoring encounters. GO Ahead Eagles have consistently produced over 2.5 goals in their last five home matches, while AZ Alkmaar's offensive volume ensures sustained pressure. This trend panel confirms a tempo and chance quality conducive to multiple goals in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

AZ Alkmaar v GO Ahead Eagles prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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