Football Stats Hub

USA crestUSA
v
Paraguay crestParaguay

World Cup | Sat 13 Jun, 02:00

USA v Paraguay Stats

Data last updated: Fri 31 Jul 2026, 16:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

USA face Paraguay in World Cup on Sat 13 Jun, 02:00. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Paraguay to Win

  • At 3.8, Paraguay to Win implies roughly 26%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 41%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 41% for Paraguay to Win sits against roughly 26% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price41% model chance against roughly 26% implied
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +14.7 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Paraguay Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

What To Watch In The Data

Paraguay to Win notes

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3USA wins
    0Draws
    0Paraguay wins
    15 Nov 2025USA v Paraguay2-1
    28 Mar 2018USA v Paraguay1-0
    12 Jun 2016USA v Paraguay1-0
    Market aligned with main pickParaguay to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +14.7 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 38%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Paraguay to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    USA

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for USA yet.

    Paraguay

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Paraguay yet.

    Market aligned with main pickParaguay to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +14.7 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 71%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Paraguay Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.68
    Check odds @ 1.68

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    World Cup hubUSA v Paraguay predictionplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    USA-
    Avg goals scored
    Paraguay-
    USA-
    Avg goals conceded
    Paraguay-
    USA-
    BTTS rate
    Paraguay-
    USA-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Paraguay-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickParaguay to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +14.7 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 38%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Paraguay Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.68
    Check odds @ 1.68
    Paraguay to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    World Cup

    USA5
    Played
    Paraguay5
    USA2.2
    Avg goals for
    Paraguay0.8
    USA1.6
    Avg goals against
    Paraguay1.2
    USA2
    Clean sheets
    Paraguay2
    Market aligned with main pickParaguay to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +14.7 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Paraguay Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.68
    Check odds @ 1.68
    Season data supports Paraguay to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1USA632014
    3Paraguay43111-2
    7Paraguay43111-2
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -USA Over 2.5
    -Paraguay Over 2.5
    1.67H2H avg goals

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    USA v Paraguay prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

    More stats pages

    Browse football stats pages

    Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

    Competition and hubs

    World Cup hubWorld Cup hubUSA v Paraguay predictionplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictions

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre