Football Stats Hub

Uruguay crestUruguay
v
Spain crestSpain

World Cup | Sat 27 Jun, 01:00

Uruguay v Spain Stats

Data last updated: Tue 11 Aug 2026, 15:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Uruguay face Spain in World Cup on Sat 27 Jun, 01:00. Group H Pressure Meets Spanish Control in Guadalajara. They maintain an impressive 33-match unbeaten streak across all competitions. Spain's relentless possession-based style dictates match tempo, keeping opponents trapped deep in their own territory.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Half a yard too deep, and suddenly Spain are playing through the lines

  • At 1.67, Half a yard too deep, and suddenly Spain are playing through the lines implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 49%.
  • Uruguay have taken 44 shots in the tournament so far but scored only three goals.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Uruguay and 50% for Spain, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Spain are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Uruguay at 1.5.
  • BTTS rates of 100% for Uruguay and 0% for Spain show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
Price warning

Half a yard too deep, and suddenly Spain are playing through the lines is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 60% while the model sits nearer 49% (-10.7 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 8.5 Corners shows a +15 pts edge at 1.8.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 49% for Half a yard too deep, and suddenly Spain are playing through the lines sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Uruguay and 50% for Spain, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Uruguay have taken 44 shots in the tournament so far but scored only three goals.

Model chance vs price49% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Negative
The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Uruguay and 50%.Visible data support
Positive
Spain are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.Visible data support
Positive
Uruguay have taken 44 shots in the tournament so.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because spain's flawless defensive sheet of zero goals conceded makes low-scoring winning margins highly viable statistical options in Guadalajara. Spain are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Uruguay at 1.5. It was sharper, cleaner and more ruthless, but the real story is not just the four goals.

Main risk

It was sharper, cleaner and more ruthless, but the real story is not just the four goals.

Key Data Signals

Half a yard too deep, and suddenly Spain are playing through the lines evidence

Spain's flawless defensive sheet of zero goals conceded makes low-scoring winning margins highly viable statistical options in Guadalajara.

Spain are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Uruguay at 1.5.

BTTS rates of 100% for Uruguay and 0% for Spain show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Half a yard too deep, and suddenly Spain are playing through the lines notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Uruguay12.5
Avg corners for
Spain8.5
Uruguay16.5
Avg total corners
Spain9.5
Uruguay1
Avg yellow cards
Spain0.5
Uruguay22
Avg shots
Spain24.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 4.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 41%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

World Cup hubfull betting preview for Uruguay v Spaincorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Uruguay1.5
Avg goals scored
Spain2
Uruguay1.5
Avg goals conceded
Spain0
Uruguay100%
BTTS rate
Spain0%
Uruguay50%
Over 2.5 goals
Spain50%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 49% vs implied 60% · edge -10.7 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 37%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 50% for Uruguay and 50% for Spain, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Uruguay Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 44%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Spain to WinBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Uruguay to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Spain Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 8.5 Corners is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Uruguay

DD
Last 50W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 0L
21 Jun 2026H Cape Verde Islands2-2
15 Jun 2026A Saudi Arabia1-1

Spain

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
21 Jun 2026H Saudi Arabia4-0
15 Jun 2026H Cape Verde Islands0-0
Best odds for this sectionUruguay Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Spain to WinBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Uruguay to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Spain Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Uruguay wins
0Draws
1Spain wins
16 Jun 2013Spain v Uruguay2-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +10.7 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Spain to WinBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Uruguay to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

World Cup

Uruguay3
Played
Spain8
Uruguay1
Avg goals for
Spain1.8
Uruguay1.3
Avg goals against
Spain0.1
Uruguay0
Clean sheets
Spain7
Best odds for this sectionUruguay Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Load more odds for this section
Spain to WinBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Uruguay to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Spain Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Season data supports Uruguay Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Spain732105
3Uruguay23021-1
12Uruguay23021-1
World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Uruguay Over 2.5
50%Spain Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Uruguay sit at 50% and Spain sit at 50% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Uruguay v Spain prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Browse football stats pages

Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

Competition and hubs

World Cup hubWorld Cup hubfull betting preview for Uruguay v Spaincorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre