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Uruguay crestUruguay
v
Cape Verde Islands crestCape Verde Islands

World Cup | Sun 21 Jun, 23:00

Uruguay v Cape Verde Islands Stats

Data last updated: Tue 14 Jul 2026, 01:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Uruguay face Cape Verde Islands in World Cup on Sun 21 Jun, 23:00. Group H Tension Builds In Miami. Their overall 20-match record is also revealing: five wins, 11 draws and four defeats. Cape Verde shut down Spain successfully, meaning another disciplined, low-scoring tactical battle is heavily expected in Miami.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 4/7, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • Uruguay's last five matches have ended under 2.5 goals.
  • Uruguay are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Cape Verde Islands at 0.
  • BTTS rates of 100% for Uruguay and 0% for Cape Verde Islands show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Under that scoring level sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. Uruguay are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Cape Verde Islands at 0. Uruguay's last five matches have ended under 2.5 goals.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Neutral
Uruguay are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.Visible data support
Positive
BTTS rates of 100% for Uruguay and 0% for Cape.Visible data support
Positive
Uruguay's last five matches have ended under 2.5 goals.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because uruguay's last five matches have ended under 2.5 goals. Uruguay are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Cape Verde Islands at 0. That tells a very clear story: they are generally competitive, usually hard to push around, but not always fluent in the final third.

Main risk

That tells a very clear story: they are generally competitive, usually hard to push around, but not always fluent in the final third.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Uruguay's last five matches have ended under 2.5 goals.

Uruguay are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Cape Verde Islands at 0.

BTTS rates of 100% for Uruguay and 0% for Cape Verde Islands show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Uruguay14
Avg corners for
Cape Verde Islands1
Uruguay18
Avg total corners
Cape Verde Islands12
Uruguay0
Avg yellow cards
Cape Verde Islands1
Uruguay27
Avg shots
Cape Verde Islands6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 50% · edge +19 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Uruguay1
Avg goals scored
Cape Verde Islands0
Uruguay1
Avg goals conceded
Cape Verde Islands0
Uruguay100%
BTTS rate
Cape Verde Islands0%
Uruguay0%
Over 2.5 goals
Cape Verde Islands0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 60% · edge +6.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 0% for Uruguay and 0% for Cape Verde Islands, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionCape Verde Islands to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 12% · edge +26.7 pts
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Uruguay Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Cape Verde Islands Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Cape Verde Islands to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Uruguay

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
15 Jun 2026A Saudi Arabia1-1

Cape Verde Islands

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
15 Jun 2026A Spain0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 38% · edge +29.5 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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Cape Verde Islands to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Uruguay Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Cape Verde Islands Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Uruguay to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Uruguay wins
0Draws
0Cape Verde Islands wins
Best odds for this sectionCape Verde Islands to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 12% · edge +26.7 pts
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Uruguay to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Cape Verde Islands to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Season team stats

World Cup

Uruguay3
Played
Cape Verde Islands4
Uruguay1
Avg goals for
Cape Verde Islands1
Uruguay1.3
Avg goals against
Cape Verde Islands1.3
Uruguay0
Clean sheets
Cape Verde Islands2
Best odds for this sectionCape Verde Islands to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 12% · edge +26.7 pts
8.5
Check odds @ 8.5
Load more odds for this section
Uruguay Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Cape Verde Islands Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Uruguay to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Season data supports Cape Verde Islands to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Cape Verde Islands330300
3Uruguay23021-1
12Uruguay23021-1
World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Uruguay Over 2.5
0%Cape Verde Islands Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Uruguay sit at 0% and Cape Verde Islands sit at 0%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.