Tunisia
JapanWorld Cup | Sun 21 Jun, 05:00
Tunisia v Japan Stats
Data last updated: Tue 14 Jul 2026, 03:11 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Tunisia face Japan in World Cup on Sun 21 Jun, 05:00. Group F Pressure Turns Monterrey Into a Tactical Stress Test. Japan possess superior technical control, retaining 88% passing accuracy compared to Tunisia's 82%.
Problem in attack, with Kubo, Doan, Kamada, Ayase Ueda and Daizen Maeda all offering different ways to stress Tunisia
- At 40/85, Tunisia Win implies roughly 68%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
- Tunisia must compress central zones to stop the bleeding following their defensive collapse.
- Japan have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Tunisia.
- Japan have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Tunisia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Problem in attack, with Kubo, Doan, Kamada, Ayase Ueda and Daizen Maeda all offering different ways to stress Tunisia is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 68% while the model sits nearer 27% (-41 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 2.5 Goals shows a +30.4 pts edge at 2.1.
Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive
Football case vs market price
The 27% for Tunisia Win sits against roughly 68% implied by the current price. Japan have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Tunisia. Tunisia must compress central zones to stop the bleeding following their defensive collapse.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Tunisia Win is the preferred angle because tunisia must compress central zones to stop the bleeding following their defensive collapse. Japan have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Tunisia. His 88th-minute equaliser against the Netherlands gives him momentum, but his influence here may be more about timing than volume.
His 88th-minute equaliser against the Netherlands gives him momentum, but his influence here may be more about timing than volume.
Key Data Signals
Tunisia Win evidence
Tunisia must compress central zones to stop the bleeding following their defensive collapse.
Japan have the stronger recent points return, taking 1 points from the sample compared with 0 for Tunisia.
Japan have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Tunisia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
What To Watch In The Data
Tunisia Win notes
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Useful next reads
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Tunisia
Japan
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
World Cup
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Japan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
