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Treviso crestTreviso
v
PRO Vercelli crestPRO Vercelli

Serie C - Girone A | Sun 13 Sep, 14:00

Treviso v PRO Vercelli Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Treviso face PRO Vercelli in Serie C - Girone A on Sun 13 Sep, 14:00. Treviso come in with 4 recent points and 1 goals per match, while PRO Vercelli have 4 points and 0.67 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.57, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 33% for Treviso and 0% for PRO Vercelli, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Treviso are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with PRO Vercelli at 0.67.
  • BTTS rates of 67% for Treviso and 33% for PRO Vercelli show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 33% for Treviso and 0% for PRO Vercelli, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 33% for Treviso and 0%.Visible data support
Positive
Treviso are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Treviso are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with PRO Vercelli at 0.67. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Treviso are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with PRO Vercelli at 0.67.

BTTS rates of 67% for Treviso and 33% for PRO Vercelli show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Treviso1
Avg goals scored
PRO Vercelli0.67
Treviso1
Avg goals conceded
PRO Vercelli0.67
Treviso67%
BTTS rate
PRO Vercelli33%
Treviso33%
Over 2.5 goals
PRO Vercelli0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 64% · edge +2.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 33% for Treviso and 0% for PRO Vercelli, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
PRO Vercelli Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
PRO Vercelli to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Treviso to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Treviso Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Treviso

DWL
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
07 Sep 2026A Alcione1-1
31 Aug 2026H Lecco1-0
23 Aug 2026A Trento1-2

PRO Vercelli

WLD
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
07 Sep 2026H Folgore Caratese1-0
30 Aug 2026A Arzignano Valchiampo0-1
23 Aug 2026H Desenzano Calvina1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 64% · edge +6.2 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
PRO Vercelli Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
PRO Vercelli to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Treviso to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Treviso Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3
Check odds @ 3
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Treviso wins
0Draws
0PRO Vercelli wins
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
PRO Vercelli to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Treviso to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone A

Treviso3
Played
PRO Vercelli3
Treviso1
Avg goals for
PRO Vercelli0.7
Treviso1
Avg goals against
PRO Vercelli0.7
Treviso1
Clean sheets
PRO Vercelli1
Best odds for this sectionPRO Vercelli Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 43% · edge +8 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Load more odds for this section
PRO Vercelli to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Treviso to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Treviso Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Season data supports PRO Vercelli Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Treviso431110
12PRO Vercelli431110
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

33%Treviso Over 2.5
0%PRO Vercelli Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Treviso sit at 33% and PRO Vercelli sit at 0%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Betting context

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