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Togo crestTogo
v
Benin crestBenin

Friendlies | Tue 09 Jun, 19:00

Togo v Benin Stats

Data last updated: Wed 10 Jun 2026, 08:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly between Togo and Benin offers a tactical battle with both sides showing cautious attacking intent in recent matches. Togo has scored and conceded at a moderate rate, while Benin's defensive solidity is evident from their low goals conceded per game. Both teams appear focused on maintaining structure rather than open attacking play, suggesting a match where scoring opportunities may be limited. The absence of competitive stakes and the teams' recent low-scoring trends set the stage for a tight contest with few goals.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Togo averages just 1.33 goals scored and 1 conceded per game recently, indicating moderate attacking output.
  • Benin concedes only 0.33 goals per game on average, showing strong defensive discipline.
  • Togo's matches have gone over 2.5 goals only 33% of the time, while Benin's matches have never exceeded 2.5 goals recently.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 1.56 goals per game, reinforcing a low-scoring pattern.
  • Both teams have relatively low BTTS rates, especially Benin at 33%, supporting a tight defensive game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 66% probability based on recent scoring and defensive data. Both teams have shown a tendency for low-scoring matches, with Benin particularly strong defensively, conceding just 0.33 goals per game. The head-to-head average goals of 1.56 further support a cautious game with limited scoring. This suggests a controlled tempo and defensive focus, making Under 2.5 Goals a logical selection for this fixture.

Recent scoring ratesTogo 1.33 GF, Benin 1 GF per game
Positive
Defensive solidityBenin concedes 0.33 GA per game
Strong positive
Head-to-head goals average1.56 goals per game
Positive
Over 2.5 goals frequencyTogo 33%, Benin 0%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible choice given both teams' recent defensive discipline and moderate attacking output. Benin's strong defensive record and the low-scoring history between these sides suggest a match unlikely to produce many goals. The tactical approach in friendlies often prioritizes structure, reinforcing the likelihood of a tight, low-scoring game.

Main risk

The main risk is that friendly matches can sometimes produce unexpected attacking openness or experimental tactics that increase goal chances beyond recent trends.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive solidity and tactical caution

“This fixture's recent data points to a cautious encounter, with Benin's defense particularly hard to break down and Togo's attack lacking sharpness. Expect a tactical game where goals will be at a premium.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Togo averages just 1.33 goals scored and 1 conceded per game recently, indicating moderate attacking output.

Benin concedes only 0.33 goals per game on average, showing strong defensive discipline.

Head-to-head meetings average 1.56 goals per game, reinforcing a low-scoring pattern.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 1.56, indicating a consistent trend toward low-scoring games.
  • This sample suggests a tempo and defensive approach that limits goal opportunities, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals trend.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Togo1.33
Avg goals scored
Benin1
Togo1
Avg goals conceded
Benin0.33
Togo67%
BTTS rate
Benin33%
Togo33%
Over 2.5 goals
Benin0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 65% · edge +0.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Recent form data shows Togo averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1 conceded, while Benin scores 1 and concedes just 0.33. Both teams have low BTTS rates, especially Benin at 33%, indicating matches often end with one or no team scoring. This supports a low-goal outcome with limited goal exchanges.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 50% · edge +16.7 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Benin Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Benin to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Togo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Togo to WinBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
The Under 2.5 Goals market aligns well with the model's 66% probability, indicating a strong likelihood of a low-scoring match. The reflect a price-sensitive but reasonable value given the defensive profiles and recent scoring trends of both teams.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Togo

DWD
Last 51W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 0L
05 Jun 2026A Central African Republic1-1
31 Mar 2026A Niger1-0
27 Mar 2026A Guinea2-2

Benin

DWW
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
05 Jun 2026H Niger1-1
31 Mar 2026A Guinea1-0
27 Mar 2026H Liberia1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 69% · edge +8 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Benin Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Benin to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Togo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Togo to WinBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Togo's recent form includes 5 points with an average of 1.33 goals scored and 1 conceded per game, while Benin has 7 points, scoring 1 and conceding just 0.33. Both teams have low over 2.5 goals rates, reinforcing a trend toward tight matches with limited scoring.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Togo wins
6Draws
1Benin wins
02 Nov 2024Benin v Togo1-1
25 Oct 2024Togo v Benin2-0
29 Mar 2022Togo v Benin1-1
04 Aug 2019Togo v Benin1-0
28 Jul 2019Benin v Togo0-0
24 Mar 2019Benin v Togo2-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 50% · edge +16.7 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Benin to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Togo to WinBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
The nine previous meetings between Togo and Benin have averaged 1.56 goals per game, reflecting a pattern of cautious play and defensive discipline. This historical trend supports expectations of a low-scoring encounter in this friendly.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies

Togo4
Played
Benin4
Togo2.3
Avg goals for
Benin1
Togo1
Avg goals against
Benin1.5
Togo1
Clean sheets
Benin2
Best odds for this sectionBenin Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 51% · edge +8.5 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Benin to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Togo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Togo to WinBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Seasonal data confirms both teams' defensive strengths and moderate attacking output. Benin's low goals against average highlights defensive resilience, while Togo's balanced scoring and conceding rates suggest a match unlikely to exceed 2.5 goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

33%Togo Over 2.5
0%Benin Over 2.5
1.56H2H avg goals
Over the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 1.56, indicating a consistent trend toward low-scoring games. This sample suggests a tempo and defensive approach that limits goal opportunities, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals trend.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.