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Iraq crestIraq
v
Venezuela crestVenezuela

Friendlies | Wed 10 Jun, 02:00

Iraq v Venezuela Stats

Data last updated: Wed 08 Jul 2026, 08:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Iraq face Venezuela in Friendlies on Wed 10 Jun, 02:00. Iraq meet Venezuela at SeatGeek Stadium on 10 June 2026 in an international friendly. Venezuela’s recent form produced ten goals scored and ten goals conceded across their latest five fixtures. Tactical preview, team news, form guide and three punchy stats.

BT4Y best bet

Suggests a competitive matchup where both teams possess enough transitional quality to score but lack the specialized depth to pull away

  • At 3.25, Iraq Win implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Iraq have established a solid defensive layout under Graham Arnold, conceding just five times in their last five fixtures.
  • Iraq have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Venezuela.
  • Iraq have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Iraq Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Iraq Win sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Iraq have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Venezuela. Iraq have established a solid defensive layout under Graham Arnold, conceding just five times in their last five fixtures.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Strong positive
Iraq have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Iraq have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Iraq have established a solid defensive layout under Graham.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Iraq Win is the preferred angle because iraq have established a solid defensive layout under Graham Arnold, conceding just five times in their last five fixtures. Iraq have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Venezuela. Oswaldo Vizcarrondo’s side lost 2-1 against Turkey on neutral ground, but they were not passengers.

Main risk

Oswaldo Vizcarrondo’s side lost 2-1 against Turkey on neutral ground, but they were not passengers.

Key Data Signals

Iraq Win evidence

Iraq have established a solid defensive layout under Graham Arnold, conceding just five times in their last five.

Iraq have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Venezuela.

Iraq have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Iraq Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Iraq Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Iraq1
    Avg goals scored
    Venezuela1
    Iraq0.5
    Avg goals conceded
    Venezuela2
    Iraq50%
    BTTS rate
    Venezuela100%
    Iraq0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Venezuela100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 23% · edge +52.9 pts
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickIraq to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 31% · edge +36.6 pts
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Iraq Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 75%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 64%
    2.02
    Check odds @ 2.02
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Iraq to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Iraq3
    Avg corners for
    Venezuela2
    Iraq8
    Avg total corners
    Venezuela14
    Iraq2
    Avg yellow cards
    Venezuela2
    Iraq3
    Avg shots
    Venezuela9
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 40% · edge +17.5 pts
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 64%
    2.02
    Check odds @ 2.02
    Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Iraq

    DW
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    04 Jun 2026A Spain1-1
    29 May 2026H Andorra1-0

    Venezuela

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    06 Jun 2026H Türkiye1-2
    Market aligned with main pickIraq to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 31% · edge +36.6 pts
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Iraq Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 75%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Iraq wins
    0Draws
    0Venezuela wins
    Market aligned with main pickIraq to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 31% · edge +36.6 pts
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Iraq to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Iraq3
    Played
    Venezuela2
    Iraq0.7
    Avg goals for
    Venezuela1.5
    Iraq1
    Avg goals against
    Venezuela1
    Iraq1
    Clean sheets
    Venezuela1
    Market aligned with main pickIraq to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 31% · edge +36.6 pts
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Iraq Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 75%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Season data supports Iraq to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Iraq Over 2.5
    100%Venezuela Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Iraq sit at 0% and Venezuela sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.