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Tigres UANL crestTigres UANL
v
Atlante FC crestAtlante FC

Liga MX | Sat 22 Aug, 02:00

Tigres UANL v Atlante FC Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 07:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tigres UANL and Atlante FC meet in a Liga MX clash where offensive intent is expected to dominate. Tigres have struggled defensively but maintain a potent attack, while Atlante FC's recent form shows resilience and goal-scoring capability. Both teams have shown tendencies for open play and goal opportunities, setting the stage for a match likely to feature multiple goals. Tactical setups suggest an emphasis on attack, with Tigres eager to improve their position and Atlante FC looking to capitalize on their momentum.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Tigres UANL have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • Atlante FC have scored 1.25 goals per game and have a 50% Over 2.5 rate.
  • Tigres average 18.75 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure.
  • Atlante FC's 4.75 shots on target per game highlight their threat on goal.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model projects a 75% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, supported by Tigres UANL's perfect recent record of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and Atlante FC's solid attacking output. Both teams demonstrate offensive intent with high shot volumes and goal involvement, suggesting a lively encounter. The current reflect positive value with a 15.1% edge, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling selection. No data limitations affect in this prediction.

Tigres UANL Over 2.5 Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Atlante FC Goal Scoring1.25 goals per game
Positive
Shot VolumeTigres 18.75, Atlante 11.25 per game
Strong positive
Model Confidence75% chance
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with Tigres UANL pushing forward aggressively to overturn their defensive struggles, while Atlante FC's consistent attacking efforts add to the goal potential. The combination of Tigres' high shot volume and Atlante's ability to test goalkeepers suggests Over 2.5 Goals is a sound tactical and statistical call for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“The attacking profiles of both teams, especially Tigres' high shot frequency and Atlante's efficiency in shots on target, point to a match where goals are likely to flow. Defensive lapses and offensive ambition create a fertile ground for Over 2.5 Goals.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Tigres UANL have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

Atlante FC have scored 1.25 goals per game and have a 50% Over 2.5 rate.

Tigres average 18.75 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure.

Atlante FC's 4.75 shots on target per game highlight their threat on goal.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • In recent matches, Tigres UANL have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate over their last fixtures, while Atlante FC maintains a 50% rate.
  • This trend over the last five matches indicates a tempo and attacking openness conducive to a high-scoring game.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tigres UANL1.5
Avg goals scored
Atlante FC1.25
Tigres UANL2.5
Avg goals conceded
Atlante FC1.25
Tigres UANL100%
BTTS rate
Atlante FC75%
Tigres UANL100%
Over 2.5 goals
Atlante FC50%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Recent form data shows Tigres UANL matches consistently surpass 2.5 goals, while Atlante FC also contributes to goal-scoring with a 75% BTTS rate. Both teams' attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities suggest goals from both sides, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals outlook.

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Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Atlante FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Atlante FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
Tigres UANL Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Tigres UANL to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively with a 1.67 odd reflecting a 59.9% implied chance, while the model estimates a 75% probability, indicating clear value. This positive supports backing goals in this fixture, with the price offering a good return relative to the statistical likelihood.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Tigres UANL10
Avg corners for
Atlante FC5
Tigres UANL13
Avg total corners
Atlante FC13.5
Tigres UANL2.5
Avg yellow cards
Atlante FC1.5
Tigres UANL18.75
Avg shots
Atlante FC11.25
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Tigres UANL average 10 corners per game, reflecting sustained pressure and attacking territory, while Atlante FC's 5 corners and nearly 5 shots on target per game indicate they create meaningful chances. Card averages are moderate, suggesting a competitive but open game with attacking focus rather than excessive fouling.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tigres UANL

LLDL
Last 50W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 3L
16 Aug 2026A Atlas1-2
02 Aug 2026A Club Queretaro2-3
26 Jul 2026H Atletico San Luis2-2
17 Jul 2026A Club Tijuana1-3

Atlante FC

DWDL
Last 51W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 1L
16 Aug 2026H Toluca0-0
02 Aug 2026A Cruz Azul3-2
25 Jul 2026H Club America1-1
17 Jul 2026A Necaxa1-2
Best odds for this sectionAtlante FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.8 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Atlante FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
Tigres UANL Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Tigres UANL to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Tigres UANL's recent matches have all gone over 2.5 goals, indicating a pattern of open, high-scoring games. Atlante FC's form also supports goal-scoring with a 50% Over 2.5 rate and a strong BTTS presence, suggesting this fixture will continue that trend of multiple goals.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Tigres UANL wins
0Draws
0Atlante FC wins
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Atlante FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Tigres UANL to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
No previous meetings exist between Tigres UANL and Atlante FC to provide direct historical context. Therefore, current form and season statistics offer the most relevant insights for this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Liga MX

Tigres UANL4
Played
Atlante FC4
Tigres UANL1.5
Avg goals for
Atlante FC1.3
Tigres UANL2.5
Avg goals against
Atlante FC1.3
Tigres UANL0
Clean sheets
Atlante FC1
Best odds for this sectionAtlante FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.8 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Atlante FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
Tigres UANL Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Tigres UANL to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Across the season, Tigres UANL's attack averages 1.5 goals per game but concedes 2.5, indicating defensive weaknesses that contribute to higher-scoring matches. Atlante FC's balanced scoring and conceding rates align with a moderate goal environment, supporting the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
13Atlante FC541210
16Tigres UANL14013-4
Tigres UANL sits lower in the standings with only 1 point, likely motivating an aggressive approach to improve their position. Atlante FC's higher point tally suggests but also the need to maintain momentum, creating a scenario where both teams push for goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Tigres UANL Over 2.5
50%Atlante FC Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In recent matches, Tigres UANL have a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate over their last fixtures, while Atlante FC maintains a 50% rate. This trend over the last five matches indicates a tempo and attacking openness conducive to a high-scoring game.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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