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FC Juarez crestFC Juarez
v
Club America crestClub America

Liga MX | Sat 22 Aug, 04:10

FC Juarez v Club America Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 07:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Club America arrives in strong form, leading Liga MX with 10 points and a solid defensive record conceding just 0.25 goals per game. FC Juarez struggles at the bottom with no points and a leaky defense allowing 3.25 goals per game. Club America's potent attack, averaging 2 goals per match, contrasts with Juarez's modest 0.5 goals. This clash pits a confident, well-organized away side against a home team yet to find rhythm, setting up a tactical battle where Club America’s quality and momentum are expected to dominate.

BT4Y best bet

Club America to Win

  • Club America leads Liga MX with 10 points and strong defensive stats.
  • FC Juarez is bottom of the table with no points and poor defensive form.
  • Club America averages 20.5 shots and 6.5 shots on target per game, far outshooting Juarez.
  • Juarez concedes over 3 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.7, indicating potential for scoring opportunities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Club America to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their dominant form and statistical superiority. Their high shot volume and clinical finishing contrast sharply with Juarez’s defensive frailties and low scoring output. The at 1.85 offer positive value given the implied chance of 54.1%. This pick is supported by Club America’s league-leading position and recent performances, making it a strong football and data-backed selection.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance54.1%
Positive
Value Edge+15.9%
Strong positive
Recent FormClub America unbeaten, Juarez winless
Strong positive
Defensive RecordsJuarez concedes 3.25 goals per game
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Club America’s superior form and attacking firepower make them the clear favorite in this Liga MX clash. Their ability to create and convert chances, combined with Juarez’s defensive struggles, suggests a controlled away victory. The data supports backing Club America to maintain their winning momentum against a vulnerable opponent.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and statistical superiority of Club America

“Club America’s control in shots and defensive solidity sets a clear tactical advantage over Juarez, whose struggles at the back and lack of points make them vulnerable to a decisive away win.”

Key Data Signals

Club America to Win evidence

Club America leads Liga MX with 10 points and strong defensive stats.

FC Juarez is bottom of the table with no points and poor defensive form.

Club America averages 20.5 shots and 6.5 shots on target per game, far outshooting Juarez.

Juarez concedes over 3 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

What To Watch In The Data

Club America to Win notes

  • Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 2.7, indicating a moderately open fixture with scoring opportunities.
  • Both teams have a 50% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting potential for goals, but Club America’s defensive solidity may temper Juarez’s scoring chances, influencing the overall goal tempo.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

FC Juarez2.25
Avg corners for
Club America8.33
FC Juarez11.25
Avg total corners
Club America13.33
FC Juarez1.25
Avg yellow cards
Club America2.33
FC Juarez7.75
Avg shots
Club America18
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Club America dominates in shots (20.5 per game) and corners (8.75), indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Juarez’s lower averages and higher goals conceded suggest defensive lapses under pressure. The card data shows Club America’s moderate aggression with 2.25 yellows per game, reflecting a competitive but controlled approach.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Juarez0.5
Avg goals scored
Club America2
FC Juarez3.25
Avg goals conceded
Club America0.25
FC Juarez50%
BTTS rate
Club America25%
FC Juarez50%
Over 2.5 goals
Club America50%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 48% · edge +3.6 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams show contrasting goal trends: Club America scores 2 goals per game with a low BTTS rate of 25%, while Juarez scores 0.5 and concedes heavily. The average of 2.7 goals in their last 10 meetings suggests a moderately open game, but Club America’s defensive strength may limit Juarez’s scoring chances, lowering BTTS likelihood.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickClub America to WinBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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Club America Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The price of 1.85 for Club America to win reflects a market that underestimates their 70% , offering clear value. The align well with the team's form and statistical control, making this a price-sensitive but positive value bet with room for further improvement if Club America’s momentum continues.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Juarez

LLLL
Last 50W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 4L
16 Aug 2026A Monterrey1-6
01 Aug 2026H U.N.A.M. - Pumas1-5
26 Jul 2026A Guadalajara Chivas0-1
18 Jul 2026H Puebla0-1

Club America

WWDW
Last 53W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 0L
17 Aug 2026H Atletico San Luis3-0
03 Aug 2026H Santos Laguna3-0
25 Jul 2026A Atlante FC1-1
19 Jul 2026A Club Queretaro1-0
Market aligned with main pickClub America to WinBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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Club America Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Club America’s unbeaten start with 10 points contrasts sharply with Juarez’s zero points, highlighting a significant momentum gap. The away team’s strong defensive record and consistent goal scoring underpin their , while Juarez’s struggles to score and prevent goals suggest ongoing tactical and personnel challenges.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2FC Juarez wins
1Draws
7Club America wins
05 Mar 2026Club America v FC Juarez1-2
12 Jul 2025FC Juarez v Club America1-1
01 Feb 2025Club America v FC Juarez4-0
21 Jul 2024FC Juarez v Club America1-2
25 Jan 2024FC Juarez v Club America0-2
01 Jul 2023Club America v FC Juarez1-2
Market aligned with main pickClub America to WinBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 2.7 goals, supporting a moderately open game. While past meetings provide some context, current form and defensive records weigh more heavily here, with Club America’s recent control making previous results a background factor rather than a decisive guide.
Season team stats

Liga MX

FC Juarez4
Played
Club America4
FC Juarez0.5
Avg goals for
Club America2
FC Juarez3.3
Avg goals against
Club America0.3
FC Juarez0
Clean sheets
Club America3
Market aligned with main pickClub America to WinBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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Club America Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Club America leads Liga MX with a potent attack averaging 2 goals per game and a stingy defense conceding just 0.25 goals, underpinning their top-table status. Juarez’s season stats reveal defensive vulnerabilities and low scoring, reinforcing the expectation that Club America’s superior season-long performance will prevail.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Club America1043107
18FC Juarez04004-11
The standings emphasize Club America’s control at the top with maximum points, while Juarez languishes at the bottom without points. This gap reflects the pressure on Juarez to improve quickly and the Club America holds, though league position alone does not guarantee outcome, it contextualizes the stakes and form disparity.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%FC Juarez Over 2.5
50%Club America Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 2.7, indicating a moderately open fixture with scoring opportunities. Both teams have a 50% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting potential for goals, but Club America’s defensive solidity may temper Juarez’s scoring chances, influencing the overall goal tempo.

Related football research

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Prediction context

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