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Tenerife crestTenerife
v
Almeria crestAlmeria

Segunda División | Sun 23 Aug, 20:30

Tenerife v Almeria Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tenerife hosts Almeria in a Segunda División clash featuring two teams off to winning starts, each with three points. Tenerife's attack has been prolific, scoring three goals while conceding just once, reflecting an aggressive style underpinned by key creative outlets. Almeria, ranked second, also netted three goals without conceding, showcasing a balanced approach with strong defensive discipline. This fixture promises open play and tactical battles, with both sides eager to maintain momentum and assert control early in the season, setting the stage for a potentially high-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Both Tenerife and Almeria have won their opening matches, each scoring 3 goals.
  • Tenerife has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, Almeria matches this with 100%.
  • Tenerife’s average shots per game are 7 with 4 on target; Almeria averages 15 shots and 5 on target.
  • Head-to-head average goals over last 10 matches is 2.4, indicating a moderately open scoring history.
  • Tenerife ranks 3rd and Almeria 2nd, both with strong offensive records early in the campaign.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors Over 2.5 Goals with a 78% chance, reflecting both teams' attacking potency and recent form. Tenerife and Almeria have demonstrated high shot volumes and goal-scoring efficiency, with Tenerife averaging 7 shots and 4 on target, and Almeria even higher at 15 shots and 5 on target per game. Both teams have maintained perfect Over 2.5 records this season, reinforcing the likelihood of a goal-rich match. The 2.08 offer positive value given the model's and the teams' offensive profiles.

Model Chance78%
Strong positive
Implied Chance48.1%
Strong positive
Value Edge29.9%
Strong positive
Tenerife Over 2.5 Rate100%
Strong positive
Almeria Over 2.5 Rate100%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as Tenerife and Almeria both start the season strongly with high goal outputs. Tenerife’s creative players and Almeria’s shooting volume suggest multiple scoring opportunities. This match is set to deliver goals, making Over 2.5 a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking potency and shot volume

“This fixture features two teams with potent offenses and high shot volumes, which typically leads to a lively, goal-filled contest. The attacking roles and early season form strongly support a bet on Over 2.5 Goals.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Both Tenerife and Almeria have won their opening matches, each scoring 3 goals.

Tenerife has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, Almeria matches this with 100%.

Tenerife’s average shots per game are 7 with 4 on target; Almeria averages 15 shots and 5 on target.

Head-to-head average goals over last 10 matches is 2.4, indicating a moderately open scoring history.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.4 goals per game, indicating a moderately open scoring history between these teams.
  • Combined with both teams’ perfect Over 2.5 records this season, the trend suggests a continuation of goal-rich encounters driven by attacking tempo and tactical openness.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Tenerife3
Avg corners for
Almeria7
Tenerife10
Avg total corners
Almeria15
Tenerife1
Avg yellow cards
Almeria1
Tenerife7
Avg shots
Almeria15
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 64% · edge +11.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Almeria averages 7 corners per game compared to Tenerife’s 3, indicating more sustained pressure and attacking territory for Almeria. Both teams average one yellow card per game, suggesting moderate discipline levels. Tenerife’s 7 shots and 4 on target per game versus Almeria’s 15 shots and 5 on target highlight Almeria’s offensive control in shot volume, supporting an open game scenario.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tenerife3
Avg goals scored
Almeria3
Tenerife1
Avg goals conceded
Almeria0
Tenerife100%
BTTS rate
Almeria0%
Tenerife100%
Over 2.5 goals
Almeria100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Both teams have scored three goals in their opening matches, but only Tenerife has conceded, while Almeria kept a clean sheet. Tenerife’s perfect BTTS and Over 2.5 record contrasts with Almeria’s zero BTTS rate, suggesting Tenerife’s defense is more vulnerable. The goal trends point to a match likely to feature multiple goals, with Tenerife’s openness a key factor.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Almeria Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Almeria to WinBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Tenerife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 2.08 with a of 78%, indicating strong value. The implied chance is significantly lower at 48.1%, highlighting a clear positive edge. This price reflects in both teams' attacking capabilities and recent goal-scoring form, making it a compelling market to consider.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tenerife

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
16 Aug 2026A Eibar3-1

Almeria

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
17 Aug 2026H Eldense3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 71% · edge +3.1 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Almeria Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Almeria to WinBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Tenerife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Tenerife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Both teams have started the season with wins and three goals scored each. Tenerife’s defense has conceded once, while Almeria has kept a clean sheet. Both teams have recorded Over 2.5 Goals in their opening matches, reinforcing the likelihood of continued high-scoring games in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Tenerife wins
1Draws
8Almeria wins
01 Jun 2025Almeria v Tenerife2-0
24 Aug 2024Tenerife v Almeria0-1
21 Mar 2022Tenerife v Almeria0-1
24 Sep 2021Almeria v Tenerife3-1
07 May 2021Tenerife v Almeria0-1
26 Nov 2020Almeria v Tenerife2-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Almeria to WinBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Tenerife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 2.4 goals per game, supporting a moderately open scoring pattern historically. While not overwhelmingly high, this average aligns with the current attacking form of both teams, providing a solid background for expecting multiple goals in this fixture.
Season team stats

Segunda División

Tenerife2
Played
Almeria2
Tenerife2
Avg goals for
Almeria1.5
Tenerife0.5
Avg goals against
Almeria0.5
Tenerife1
Clean sheets
Almeria1
Best odds for this sectionAlmeria Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 56% vs implied 48% · edge +7.9 pts
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Load more odds for this section
Almeria to WinBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Tenerife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Tenerife Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Early season statistics show Tenerife with a strong offensive output and a slightly vulnerable defense, conceding once while scoring three. Almeria’s balanced approach features a solid defense with no goals conceded and an equally potent attack. These season stats support the expectation of a match with multiple goals and attacking intent from both sides.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Tenerife622003
7Almeria321012
Tenerife sits third and Almeria second in the Segunda División standings, both with three points from their opening games. Their high league positions reflect strong early form and offensive efficiency, suggesting both teams are motivated to maintain momentum and continue scoring, which bodes well for an Over 2.5 Goals outcome.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Tenerife Over 2.5
100%Almeria Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.4 goals per game, indicating a moderately open scoring history between these teams. Combined with both teams’ perfect Over 2.5 records this season, the trend suggests a continuation of goal-rich encounters driven by attacking tempo and tactical openness.

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