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Team Altamura crestTeam Altamura
v
Bari crestBari

Serie C - Girone C | Fri 11 Sep, 20:00

Team Altamura v Bari Stats

Data last updated: Thu 10 Sep 2026, 08:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie C - Girone C fixture features Team Altamura hosting Bari in a contest where scoring has been modest so far this season. Team Altamura has managed just 0.67 goals per game and conceded 1 goal on average, while Bari has a slightly higher scoring rate at 1.33 goals per match but also concedes 1 goal per game. Bari’s recent matches have shown a tendency towards tighter scorelines, and Team Altamura has yet to see a game with more than two goals. Both sides appear to prioritize defensive solidity, setting up for a tactical battle with limited goal-scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Team Altamura has not had any matches go over 2.5 goals this season.
  • Bari has a 67% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, but concedes 1 goal per game on average.
  • Team Altamura scores 0.67 goals per game, indicating limited attacking output.
  • Recent form shows Bari has 6 points and Team Altamura 4 points, with both teams conceding 1 goal per match on average.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 66% chance, reflecting Team Altamura’s low scoring and clean sheet struggles combined with Bari’s moderate scoring but consistent defensive concessions. Team Altamura’s zero over 2.5 goals rate and Bari’s defensive steadiness suggest a match likely to stay tight. The price at 1.62 offers a small positive edge, making this a sensible selection based on current form and season-long defensive trends. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Probability66% chance of Under 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Team Altamura Scoring Rate0.67 goals per game
Positive
Bari Over 2.5 Goals Rate67% but balanced by conceding 1 goal per game
Neutral
Recent Defensive FormBoth teams concede 1 goal per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a cautious encounter with both Team Altamura and Bari focusing on defensive organization. Team Altamura’s limited scoring and Bari’s balanced defense suggest a low-scoring match. The Under 2.5 Goals pick aligns with the tactical setup and recent form data, making it a solid choice for bettors seeking a controlled game outcome.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and scoring analysis

“This fixture looks set for a tactical midfield battle with limited clear-cut chances, making Under 2.5 Goals a logical expectation given the teams’ defensive profiles and scoring patterns so far.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Bari has a 67% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, but concedes 1 goal per game on average.

Team Altamura scores 0.67 goals per game, indicating limited attacking output.

Recent form shows Bari has 6 points and Team Altamura 4 points, with both teams conceding 1 goal per match on average.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last several matches, Team Altamura has had no games exceeding 2.5 goals, while Bari’s matches have a 67% over 2.5 rate.
  • However, the average goals per game for both teams hover around 1 to 1.33, indicating that despite some higher-scoring matches for Bari, the overall tempo and defensive solidity suggest a match likely to stay under 2.5 goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Team Altamura0.67
Avg goals scored
Bari1.33
Team Altamura1
Avg goals conceded
Bari1
Team Altamura33%
BTTS rate
Bari0%
Team Altamura0%
Over 2.5 goals
Bari67%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 62% · edge +4.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Goal trends show Team Altamura has yet to experience a match exceeding 2.5 goals, while Bari’s matches often feature more goals but balanced by conceding one per game. Both teams have relatively low BTTS rates, especially Bari at 0%, suggesting matches often end with one side failing to score. This points to a likelihood of fewer goals and limited BTTS occurrences in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBari to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 49% · edge +5.6 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Bari Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Team Altamura Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Team Altamura to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.62 with a of 66%, indicating a small positive . The reflect the defensive tendencies of Team Altamura and Bari, with the price offering a reasonable return for a low-scoring game. This market is not overly short-priced, allowing for a confident stake without significant price sensitivity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Team Altamura

LDW
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
06 Sep 2026H Savoia0-2
29 Aug 2026A Inter U231-1
24 Aug 2026H SS Monopoli1-0

Bari

WLW
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
05 Sep 2026H Casarano1-0
28 Aug 2026A Barletta0-3
21 Aug 2026H Cavese3-0
Best odds for this sectionBari to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 49% · edge +5.6 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Bari Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Team Altamura Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Team Altamura to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Recent form data shows Team Altamura with 4 points and Bari with 6 points, both conceding an average of 1 goal per match. Team Altamura’s matches have all stayed under 2.5 goals, reinforcing their defensive approach. Bari’s slightly higher scoring rate has not translated into high-scoring games consistently, supporting the expectation of a low-scoring contest.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Team Altamura wins
0Draws
0Bari wins
Best odds for this sectionBari to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 49% · edge +5.6 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Team Altamura to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
No previous head-to-head meetings exist between Team Altamura and Bari, so historical data offers no direct insight. This absence increases the importance of current season form and tactical tendencies in shaping expectations for a low-scoring match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone C

Team Altamura3
Played
Bari3
Team Altamura0.7
Avg goals for
Bari1.3
Team Altamura1
Avg goals against
Bari1
Team Altamura1
Clean sheets
Bari2
Best odds for this sectionBari to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 49% · edge +5.6 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Bari Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Team Altamura Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Team Altamura to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Season-long statistics reveal Team Altamura’s attack is modest at 0.67 goals per game, while Bari scores 1.33 goals per match but concedes equally. The defensive steadiness of both teams supports the Under 2.5 Goals market, as neither side has demonstrated a consistent ability to break down defenses or produce open, high-scoring matches.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Bari632011
10Team Altamura43111-1
Team Altamura sits 10th and Bari 5th in the Serie C - Girone C standings, with points totals reflecting cautious approaches. The mid-table positions suggest both teams are balancing attack and defense carefully to maintain stability, which aligns with the expectation of a tight, low-scoring game rather than a high-risk offensive showdown.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Team Altamura Over 2.5
67%Bari Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last several matches, Team Altamura has had no games exceeding 2.5 goals, while Bari’s matches have a 67% over 2.5 rate. However, the average goals per game for both teams hover around 1 to 1.33, indicating that despite some higher-scoring matches for Bari, the overall tempo and defensive solidity suggest a match likely to stay under 2.5 goals.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.