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Audace Cerignola crestAudace Cerignola
v
Giugliano crestGiugliano

Serie C - Girone C | Fri 11 Sep, 20:00

Audace Cerignola v Giugliano Stats

Data last updated: Thu 10 Sep 2026, 08:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Audace Cerignola hosts Giugliano in a Serie C - Girone C clash where Cerignola's strong early season form contrasts sharply with Giugliano's struggles. Cerignola sits comfortably in fourth place with six points from their opening matches, showcasing a solid defensive record and effective attacking transitions. Giugliano, positioned 18th, have managed only a single point and have conceded goals at a high rate, raising questions about their defensive resilience. This fixture offers Cerignola a chance to consolidate their position, while Giugliano must find answers quickly to avoid further slide.

BT4Y best bet

Audace Cerignola to Win

  • Audace Cerignola holds a 72.4% to win, indicating strong in their victory.
  • Cerignola has secured 6 points with a solid defensive record, conceding just 1.33 goals per game.
  • Giugliano has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 3 goals per match.
  • Both teams have a 67% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting open play and scoring chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Audace Cerignola to win based on their superior recent form, defensive solidity, and home advantage. Cerignola's ability to limit goals against while maintaining offensive threat contrasts with Giugliano's defensive vulnerabilities. The 10.7% at of 1.62 reflects a clear pricing advantage, making this a confident selection. The data quality is solid, with no limitations on team stats, reinforcing the reliability of this prediction.

Recent FormCerignola 6 points vs Giugliano 1 point
Strong positive
Defensive RecordCerignola concedes 1.33 goals per game; Giugliano concedes 3
Strong positive
Value Edge10.7% positive at 1.62 odds
Strong positive
Data QualityNo limitations on team data
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Audace Cerignola's tactical discipline and recent defensive form make them the clear favorite to secure victory. Their ability to control matches and limit opposition chances, combined with Giugliano's defensive frailties, supports backing Cerignola to win in this fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Cerignola's early season momentum and defensive strength provide a solid foundation for victory, especially against a Giugliano side that has struggled to contain opponents. This match should see Cerignola impose their game effectively.”

Key Data Signals

Audace Cerignola to Win evidence

Audace Cerignola holds a 72.4% to win, indicating strong in their victory.

Cerignola has secured 6 points with a solid defensive record, conceding just 1.33 goals per game.

Giugliano has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 3 goals per match.

Both teams have a 67% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting open play and scoring chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Audace Cerignola to Win notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.2, supporting a moderate scoring environment.
  • The 67% over 2.5 goals rate suggests matches tend to be open, with both sides contributing to attacking phases.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Audace Cerignola2
Avg goals scored
Giugliano2
Audace Cerignola1.33
Avg goals conceded
Giugliano3
Audace Cerignola67%
BTTS rate
Giugliano67%
Audace Cerignola67%
Over 2.5 goals
Giugliano67%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams have a 67% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating an open style of play and attacking intent. Cerignola's solid defense contrasts with Giugliano's leaky backline, suggesting goals are likely but Cerignola's control may limit excessive scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAudace Cerignola to WinBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Audace Cerignola Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
The current of 1.62 for Audace Cerignola to win offer clear value compared to the model's 72.4% win probability. This pricing reflects in Cerignola's home advantage and form, making the market an attractive proposition without significant price sensitivity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Audace Cerignola

WLW
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
06 Sep 2026A Foggia2-0
28 Aug 2026A Cavese1-3
22 Aug 2026H Cosenza3-1

Giugliano

LLD
Last 50W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 2L
05 Sep 2026H Sorrento0-2
28 Aug 2026A Casarano3-4
21 Aug 2026H Scafatese3-3
Market aligned with main pickAudace Cerignola to WinBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Audace Cerignola Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Cerignola's accumulation of six points early in the season, coupled with a strong defensive record, contrasts with Giugliano's solitary point and defensive struggles. This form disparity underpins Cerignola's favored status and suggests momentum is on their side.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

8Audace Cerignola wins
2Draws
0Giugliano wins
22 Mar 2026Audace Cerignola v Giugliano1-0
16 Nov 2025Giugliano v Audace Cerignola0-1
17 Jan 2025Giugliano v Audace Cerignola1-3
15 Sep 2024Audace Cerignola v Giugliano3-1
07 May 2024Audace Cerignola v Giugliano1-1
27 Apr 2024Audace Cerignola v Giugliano3-0
Market aligned with main pickAudace Cerignola to WinBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
2
Check odds @ 2
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 2.2 goals per game, indicating moderately competitive encounters. While previous meetings provide some context, current form and defensive records offer stronger guidance for this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone C

Audace Cerignola3
Played
Giugliano3
Audace Cerignola2
Avg goals for
Giugliano2
Audace Cerignola1.3
Avg goals against
Giugliano3
Audace Cerignola1
Clean sheets
Giugliano0
Market aligned with main pickAudace Cerignola to WinBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Audace Cerignola Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Cerignola's season stats reveal a balanced attack and defense, conceding just over one goal per game while maintaining scoring consistency. Giugliano's higher goals conceded per match highlights defensive vulnerabilities that Cerignola can exploit.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Audace Cerignola632012
18Giugliano13012-3
Cerignola's fourth-place standing reflects a stable start with positive results, while Giugliano's 18th position indicates early-season challenges. The table context emphasizes Cerignola's motivation to maintain their position and Giugliano's need for improvement.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%Audace Cerignola Over 2.5
67%Giugliano Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.2, supporting a moderate scoring environment. The 67% over 2.5 goals rate suggests matches tend to be open, with both sides contributing to attacking phases.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.