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Sudtirol crestSudtirol
v
Bari crestBari

Serie B | Fri 22 May, 19:00

Sudtirol v Bari Stats

BT4Y best bet

Bari to Win

  • At 4.2, Bari to Win is priced at roughly 24% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +46.2-point value edge.
  • Sudtirol have a recent record of 0W-2D-3L, while Bari come in at 2W-1D-2L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Bari to Win angle: Sudtirol have taken 0 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Bari to Win angle: Bari have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 20% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 4.2, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 24% · edge +46.2 pts
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
2.6
Bet HERE @ 2.6
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.48
Bet HERE @ 1.48
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

40%Sudtirol Over 2.5
40%Bari Over 2.5
1.1H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Sudtirol

DDLLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 5D 5L
15 May 2026A Bari0-0
08 May 2026H Juve Stabia1-1
01 May 2026A Sampdoria0-1
25 Apr 2026H Mantova0-3
18 Apr 2026A Spezia1-6

Bari

DWWLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
15 May 2026H Sudtirol0-0
08 May 2026A Catanzaro3-2
01 May 2026H Virtus Entella2-0
24 Apr 2026A Avellino0-2
18 Apr 2026H Venezia0-3
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 24% · edge +46.2 pts
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
2.6
Bet HERE @ 2.6
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.48
Bet HERE @ 1.48
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Sudtirol0.4
Avg goals scored
Bari1
Sudtirol2.2
Avg goals conceded
Bari1.4
Sudtirol40%
BTTS rate
Bari20%
Sudtirol40%
Over 2.5 goals
Bari40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 61% · edge +4.4 pts
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

4Sudtirol wins
3Draws
3Bari wins
15 May 2026Bari v Sudtirol0-0
15 Feb 2026Bari v Sudtirol1-2
13 Dec 2025Sudtirol v Bari0-0
13 May 2025Sudtirol v Bari0-0
21 Dec 2024Bari v Sudtirol0-1
24 Feb 2024Sudtirol v Bari1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 24% · edge +46.2 pts
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Sudtirol3.2
Avg corners for
Bari2.25
Sudtirol6.2
Avg total corners
Bari7.5
Sudtirol1.6
Avg yellow cards
Bari2.25
Sudtirol12
Avg shots
Bari7.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 48% · edge -18.4 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleN. Bellomo Anytime GoalscorerN. Bellomo · 2 goals · 1.73 SOT/90
75/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
M. Çuni 1+ Shot On TargetM. Çuni · 2.29 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
M. Çuni 2+ ShotsM. Çuni · 3.44 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
D. Casiraghi To Assist / Key Pass AngleD. Casiraghi · 7 assists · 2.18 key passes/90
70/100
Bet HERE
D. Casiraghi To Be FouledD. Casiraghi · 3.11 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Filipe Bordon Card RiskFilipe Bordon · 5 yellows · 2.71 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
N. Bellomo
N. BellomoBari · Midfielder
Goal threat62/100
Shots /902.42
SOT /901.73
M. Çuni
M. ÇuniBari · Attacker
Goal threat59/100
Shots /903.44
SOT /902.29
E. Pecorino
E. PecorinoSudtirol · Attacker
Goal threat58/100
Shots /901.99
SOT /900.8
R. Odogwu
R. OdogwuSudtirol · Attacker
Goal threat51/100
Shots /901.96
SOT /901.13
J. Italeng
J. ItalengSudtirol · Attacker
Goal threat13/100
Shots /902.37
SOT /900
Filipe Bordon
Filipe BordonSudtirol · Defender
Goal threat10/100
Shots /900.58
SOT /900.19
A. Partipilo
A. PartipiloBari · Attacker
Goal threat10/100
Shots /901.15
SOT /900
E. Darboe
E. DarboeBari · Midfielder
Goal threat5/100
Shots /900.38
SOT /900
Season team stats

Serie B

Sudtirol39
Played
Bari39
Sudtirol1
Avg goals for
Bari1
Sudtirol1.2
Avg goals against
Bari1.5
Sudtirol9
Clean sheets
Bari8
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 24% · edge +46.2 pts
4.2
Bet HERE @ 4.2
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
2.6
Bet HERE @ 2.6
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.48
Bet HERE @ 1.48
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
16Sudtirol413881713-10
17Bari4038101018-22

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

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