Sudtirol
BariSerie B | Fri 22 May, 19:00
Sudtirol v Bari Stats
Data last updated: Wed 24 Jun 2026, 09:16 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Sudtirol face Bari in Serie B on Fri 22 May, 19:00. Südtirol have collected 17 league draws this season, and the first leg finished in a cagey 0-0 stalemate. Across the previous 12 meetings, they have won five times compared to Bari’s three victories.
Under 2.5 Goals
- At 5/1, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 17%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
- Five of the last seven Südtirol matches finished with under 2.5 goals, emphasizing extreme structural restraint.
- Bari are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Sudtirol at 0.4.
- BTTS rates of 40% for Sudtirol and 20% for Bari show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 65% for Under that scoring level sits against roughly 17% implied by the current price. Bari are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Sudtirol at 0.4. Five of the last seven Südtirol matches finished with under 2.5 goals, emphasizing extreme structural restraint.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because five of the last seven Südtirol matches finished with under 2.5 goals, emphasizing extreme structural restraint. Bari are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Sudtirol at 0.4. Matches remain competitive, but there is a lack of authority in decisive moments.
Matches remain competitive, but there is a lack of authority in decisive moments.
Key Data Signals
Under 2.5 Goals evidence
Five of the last seven Südtirol matches finished with under 2.5 goals, emphasizing extreme structural restraint.
Bari are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Sudtirol at 0.4.
BTTS rates of 40% for Sudtirol and 20% for Bari show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
What To Watch In The Data
Under 2.5 Goals notes
- The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Sudtirol
Bari
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Sudtirol | 41 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | -10 |
| 17 | Bari | 40 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | -22 |
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Serie B
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
