Sturm Graz

SCR Altach

Bundesliga | Sat 15 Aug, 18:30

Sturm Graz v SCR Altach Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sturm Graz hosts SCR Altach in this Austrian Bundesliga clash where both teams have shown a cautious approach early in the season. Sturm Graz has demonstrated solid defensive discipline, conceding only 0.5 goals per game, while SCR Altach has a slightly higher concession rate but matches Sturm Graz's 1.5 goals scored per game. The tactical setup suggests a balanced contest with neither side pushing aggressively for high-scoring outcomes, making a low-scoring game likely. Both teams have moderate recent form points, indicating competitive but controlled performances so far.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

Sturm Graz concedes just 0.5 goals per game, highlighting defensive strength
SCR Altach matches Sturm Graz's 1.5 goals scored per game, indicating balanced offense
Both teams have a 50% BTTS rate, showing moderate goal involvement from both sides
Sturm Graz averages 17.5 shots per game but with a low over 2.5 goals rate (0%)
SCR Altach has a 50% over 2.5 goals rate, but overall match context favors fewer goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 66% chance to Under 2.5 Goals, reflecting the defensive solidity of Sturm Graz and the moderate scoring rates of both teams. Sturm Graz's zero over 2.5 goals rate this season contrasts with SCR Altach's 50%, but the overall tactical balance and recent form data support a low-scoring outcome. The at 1.95 offer positive value given the model's higher probability estimate. No data limitations affect , making this a well-supported selection based on current season and recent form trends.

Model Probability66% chance of Under 2.5 Goals

Strong positive

Implied Market Chance51.3%

Positive

Value Edge+14.7%

Strong positive

Recent Form GoalsLow goals scored and conceded by Sturm Graz

Positive

SCR Altach Over 2.5 Rate50%, but balanced by defensive context

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a solid pick given Sturm Graz's strong defensive record and the balanced scoring threat from SCR Altach. The tactical setups suggest a controlled game with limited goal-scoring opportunities, supported by recent form data showing low goals conceded and scored. This bet aligns well with the expected cautious approach from both sides.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive solidity and tactical balance

“Sturm Graz's defensive discipline combined with SCR Altach's moderate attacking output sets the stage for a low-scoring match. Expect a tactical battle where goals will be at a premium, making Under 2.5 Goals a sensible selection.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Sturm Graz concedes just 0.5 goals per game, highlighting defensive strength

SCR Altach matches Sturm Graz's 1.5 goals scored per game, indicating balanced offense

Both teams have a 50% BTTS rate, showing moderate goal involvement from both sides

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

In the last 10 meetings, the average goals scored is 2.4, with a balanced tempo and moderate goal frequency.
Over 2.5 goals occurred in roughly half of these matches, but recent tactical trends and defensive improvements by Sturm Graz suggest a lower tempo and fewer goals in this fixture, favoring Under 2.5 Goals.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Sturm Graz7.5

Avg corners for

SCR Altach4

Sturm Graz9.5

Avg total corners

SCR Altach9.5

Sturm Graz2.5

Avg yellow cards

SCR Altach1.5

Sturm Graz17.5

Avg shots

SCR Altach9.5

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 50% · edge +2.3 pts

Check odds @ 2

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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 58%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Sturm Graz averages 7.5 corners and 17.5 shots per game, indicating territorial control and attacking pressure, but their low goals conceded suggests efficient defense. SCR Altach's lower shot and corner averages (9.5 shots, 4 corners) reflect a more restrained approach. Card averages are moderate, with Sturm Graz at 2.5 yellows and SCR Altach at 1.5, indicating disciplined play that limits disruptive fouls.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sturm Graz1.5

Avg goals scored

SCR Altach1.5

Sturm Graz0.5

Avg goals conceded

SCR Altach1

Sturm Graz50%

BTTS rate

SCR Altach50%

Sturm Graz0%

Over 2.5 goals

SCR Altach50%

Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +14.7 pts

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Both teams have a 50% BTTS rate, suggesting moderate likelihood of both sides scoring. Sturm Graz's defensive record limits high-scoring games, while SCR Altach's attack is capable but not prolific. The average goals in their last 10 meetings is 2.4, supporting a game with fewer than three goals and balanced goal involvement.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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SCR Altach to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%

Check odds @ 5

SCR Altach Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 44%

Check odds @ 3

Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 58%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Sturm Graz Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 60%

1.38

Check odds @ 1.38

Sturm Graz to WinBetUK guide price · model 50%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.95 with an implied chance of 51.3%, while the model estimates a 66% probability, indicating clear value. The price reflects cautious market sentiment but undervalues the defensive strengths and recent low-scoring trends, making this a positive value bet without price warnings.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sturm Graz

Last 51W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 1D 0L

08 Aug 2026A TSV Hartberg2-0

01 Aug 2026A WSG Wattens1-1

SCR Altach

Last 51W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 1L

07 Aug 2026H WSG Wattens3-1

02 Aug 2026A Rapid Vienna0-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 48% · edge +14.6 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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SCR Altach to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%

Check odds @ 5

SCR Altach Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 44%

Check odds @ 3

Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 78%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Sturm Graz Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 60%

1.38

Check odds @ 1.38

Sturm Graz to WinBetUK guide price · model 50%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

Recent form shows Sturm Graz with 4 points and a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.5 goals per game, while SCR Altach has 3 points with a slightly higher concession rate. Both teams score 1.5 goals per game, but Sturm Graz's zero over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with SCR Altach's 50%, indicating Sturm Graz's form favors low-scoring matches.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7Sturm Graz wins

2Draws

1SCR Altach wins

08 Mar 2026Sturm Graz v SCR Altach2-0

01 Feb 2026SCR Altach v Sturm Graz3-1

05 Oct 2025SCR Altach v Sturm Graz0-2

30 Nov 2024SCR Altach v Sturm Graz1-1

24 Aug 2024Sturm Graz v SCR Altach2-1

10 Dec 2023Sturm Graz v SCR Altach1-0

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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SCR Altach to WinBet365 guide price · model 34%

Check odds @ 5

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Sturm Graz to WinBetUK guide price · model 50%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 2.4 goals per game, indicating moderately low scoring encounters. While SCR Altach has occasionally contributed to higher-scoring games, Sturm Graz's recent defensive improvements suggest the historical data slightly supports a low-scoring outcome in this matchup.

Season team stats

Bundesliga

Sturm Graz3

Played

SCR Altach3

Sturm Graz1.3

Avg goals for

SCR Altach1

Sturm Graz0.3

Avg goals against

SCR Altach1

Sturm Graz2

Clean sheets

SCR Altach0

Best odds for this sectionSCR Altach to WinBet365 guide price · Model 34% vs implied 20% · edge +14.3 pts

Check odds @ 5

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SCR Altach Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 44%

Check odds @ 3

Sturm Graz Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 60%

1.38

Check odds @ 1.38

Sturm Graz to WinBetUK guide price · model 50%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

Season-long stats reveal Sturm Graz's strong defensive profile with only 0.5 goals conceded per game and no matches exceeding 2.5 goals. SCR Altach's stats show a balanced attack and defense but with a higher over 2.5 goals rate. The overall season data supports a low-scoring match, especially given Sturm Graz's consistency in limiting goals.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
2	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	1	0	3
7	SCR Altach	3	3	1	0	2	0

Sturm Graz sits 4th with 4 points, while SCR Altach is 6th with 3 points early in the Bundesliga season. The close standings reflect competitive balance but do not indicate significant pressure to push for high-scoring outcomes. Both teams are likely to prioritize defensive stability to secure points in this early-season fixture.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Sturm Graz Over 2.5

50%SCR Altach Over 2.5

2.4H2H avg goals

In the last 10 meetings, the average goals scored is 2.4, with a balanced tempo and moderate goal frequency. Over 2.5 goals occurred in roughly half of these matches, but recent tactical trends and defensive improvements by Sturm Graz suggest a lower tempo and fewer goals in this fixture, favoring Under 2.5 Goals.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Sturm Graz v SCR Altach Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Sturm Graz

SCR Altach

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Sturm Graz v SCR Altach Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Sturm Graz

SCR Altach

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