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TSV Hartberg crestTSV Hartberg
v
Austria Vienna crestAustria Vienna

Bundesliga | Sun 16 Aug, 16:00

TSV Hartberg v Austria Vienna Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 07:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

TSV Hartberg and Austria Vienna meet in this early Bundesliga clash where both sides are eager to find rhythm after a slow start to the season. With defensive vulnerabilities evident—Hartberg conceding an average of 1.5 goals and Austria Vienna 2.5—expect a contest with open play and territorial battles. Both teams have shown moderate corner counts in recent matches, and tactical setups suggest a game featuring sustained wing play and set-piece opportunities. The fixture's intensity and pressing style forecast a lively contest with frequent corner situations.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Both teams average 2.5 corners per match, indicating steady corner generation.
  • Model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, showing strong statistical support.
  • Recent form shows Austria Vienna with a 50% over 2.5 goals rate, hinting at open play.
  • Player data reveals active wide attackers and midfielders contributing to attacking pressure.
  • Defensive frailties suggest frequent attacking sequences and set-piece chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 69% probability of over 9.5 corners, well above the implied market chance of 54.6%, indicating clear value. Both teams average 2.5 corners per game, and the tactical approach of pressing and wing play supports frequent corner situations. Austria Vienna's attacking players like K. Boateng and Lee Tae-Seok generate notable shot volumes, increasing attacking pressure and corner likelihood. Defensive weaknesses on both sides further enhance the chance of sustained attacks and set pieces. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Chance69%
Strong positive
Average Corners per Team2.5 each
Positive
Player Attacking ActivityHigh shots and pressure from key forwards
Positive
Defensive VulnerabilityConcedes 1.5 and 2.5 goals per game
Positive
Market Implied Chance54.6%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with sustained wing play and pressing from both sides, leading to frequent corner situations. The statistical edge from average corners and attacking player activity supports a bet on over 9.5 corners, reflecting the tactical battle and defensive gaps in this Bundesliga fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“The combination of active wide attackers and defensive frailties on both sides sets the stage for a high-corner game. This match should see plenty of set-piece action as both teams push forward and contest territory aggressively.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Both teams average 2.5 corners per match, indicating steady corner generation.

Model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, showing strong statistical support.

Recent form shows Austria Vienna with a 50% over 2.5 goals rate, hinting at open play.

Player data reveals active wide attackers and midfielders contributing to attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Analysis of the last ten head-to-head matches shows an average of 2.1 goals per game, indicating moderate scoring but not necessarily defensive solidity.
  • The trend suggests a tempo that supports attacking transitions and set pieces, which can generate corners even if goals are limited.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

TSV Hartberg0
Avg goals scored
Austria Vienna0
TSV Hartberg1.5
Avg goals conceded
Austria Vienna2.5
TSV Hartberg0%
BTTS rate
Austria Vienna0%
TSV Hartberg0%
Over 2.5 goals
Austria Vienna50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
While goal scoring has been modest, Austria Vienna's 50% over 2.5 goals rate indicates potential for open play. Both teams' low BTTS rates suggest defenses can be breached but not consistently, supporting a game with attacking bursts that generate corners rather than high goal counts.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 67% · edge +8.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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TSV Hartberg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
TSV Hartberg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Austria Vienna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Austria Vienna Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 46%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
The over 9.5 corners market is priced attractively with a of 69%, significantly higher than the 54.6% implied by of 1.83. This positive suggests the market underestimates the frequency of corners, likely due to both teams' attacking styles and defensive lapses.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

TSV Hartberg2.5
Avg corners for
Austria Vienna2.5
TSV Hartberg16.5
Avg total corners
Austria Vienna10.5
TSV Hartberg1
Avg yellow cards
Austria Vienna1.5
TSV Hartberg5
Avg shots
Austria Vienna6.5
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams average 2.5 corners per match, supported by moderate shot volumes (5 for Hartberg, 6.5 for Austria Vienna). The presence of fouls and yellow cards indicates physical contests that often lead to set-piece situations, reinforcing the likelihood of numerous corners.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

TSV Hartberg

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
08 Aug 2026H Sturm Graz0-2
01 Aug 2026A Red Bull Salzburg0-1

Austria Vienna

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
09 Aug 2026H Lask Linz0-2
02 Aug 2026A Wolfsberger AC0-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 65% · edge +11.1 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
TSV Hartberg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
TSV Hartberg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Austria Vienna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Austria Vienna Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 46%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Recent matches show Austria Vienna with a 50% rate of over 2.5 goals, reflecting intermittent attacking potency. Hartberg's defensive concessions and corner averages align with a game featuring frequent attacking sequences and set-piece chances, supporting the over 9.5 corners pick.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3TSV Hartberg wins
1Draws
6Austria Vienna wins
03 May 2026Austria Vienna v TSV Hartberg1-0
22 Mar 2026TSV Hartberg v Austria Vienna0-1
01 Nov 2025TSV Hartberg v Austria Vienna2-1
24 Aug 2025Austria Vienna v TSV Hartberg1-3
02 Apr 2025Austria Vienna v TSV Hartberg0-1
24 Nov 2024Austria Vienna v TSV Hartberg1-0
Best odds for this sectionTSV Hartberg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 35% · edge +13.5 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Austria Vienna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 33%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
The ten previous meetings between TSV Hartberg and Austria Vienna have averaged 2.1 goals per game, indicating moderately open contests. While goal frequency is average, the matches often feature tactical battles with wing play and set-piece opportunities, indirectly supporting a higher corner count in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Bundesliga

TSV Hartberg2
Played
Austria Vienna2
TSV Hartberg0
Avg goals for
Austria Vienna0
TSV Hartberg1.5
Avg goals against
Austria Vienna2.5
TSV Hartberg0
Clean sheets
Austria Vienna0
Best odds for this sectionTSV Hartberg to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 35% · edge +13.5 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
TSV Hartberg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Austria Vienna to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Austria Vienna Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 46%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Season-long data reveals both teams consistently generate around 2.5 corners per match, reflecting tactical emphasis on wing play and crossing. Defensive vulnerabilities contribute to sustained pressure and corner opportunities, validating the expectation of a corner-heavy match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11TSV Hartberg02002-3
12Austria Vienna02002-5
With both teams positioned in the lower half of the Bundesliga table and yet to secure points, there is added urgency to attack and create chances. This competitive pressure often translates into aggressive wing play and set-piece situations, increasing corner counts.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%TSV Hartberg Over 2.5
50%Austria Vienna Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
Analysis of the last ten head-to-head matches shows an average of 2.1 goals per game, indicating moderate scoring but not necessarily defensive solidity. The trend suggests a tempo that supports attacking transitions and set pieces, which can generate corners even if goals are limited.

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Fixture links

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